Beware of richardsonisms and why ALP supporters should not get depressed

Oh dear we are being blessed with richardsonisms. I blame this disease after Graham Richardson who would big note himself when he had nothing to big note about.
Only Alan Ramsey of the Canberra press Gallery realised how much BS Richardson would exude on any topic and his alleged role in it.

In Saturday's SMU Peter Harcher showed he had swallowed hook line and sinker the Textor Crosby line of greatness.
first some context. Crosby first came to prominence when he helped engineer the win in 1996 which a drovers dog could have won.
In 2015 CT bragged about their superior polling ability. Orly problem was they never told anyone what they id right and what others did was wrong. Also very important is why politicians briefed by CT weren't at least quietly confident instead of simply relying on hope.
Come our election here and hey pronto again CT a polling geniuses.
Problems:
1) No-one I saw from the coalition looked confident at all.
2) No-one with said superior polling stats plunged on the betting markets
3) no-one said at the time the Libs polling was different to the public polling

Now why ALP supporters should not get depressed
There is a lot of 1993 about this election but everyone forgets Keating blew it away on his first budget.
so what issues could be front and centre next election

1) Budget and fiscal policy. The tax cuts coming in after the NEXT election are very expensive. If you believe the government will cut expenditure to finance them then I have shares in the Harbour Bridge to sell you.
Allied to this in the very short term is the economy is slowing. RBA government Lowe has argued for active fiscal policy. The government simply cannot do this politically UNLESS Commodity prices are raring.

2) Climate changing will be much more important next time. for example solar PV costs will be nearer $30/ MWh than $40.
There is likely to be blackouts because  units in coal fired power stations break down as it becomes very hot.
The world demand for Thermal coal will be declining and Adani will be seen as the con trick it always was.  We should also remember that this is a hot button issue for those countries in the South Pacific.

3) Water. The Murray/Darling problem will get worse as most of the scientists predict.

Just as Keating had little talent to play with in organising his cabinet after the election of 1993 Morrison is equally bereft of talent. The promotion of Stuart Robert is evidence of that. The promotion of Melissa Price before the election is also evidence that Morrison makes woeful mistakes of recognising talent.

All enough to win comfortably next time