Around the Traps 22/1/21

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy,

• Greg Jericho on the-biggest-coalition-conspiracy-theory-is-climate-change-denial
• Hao Tan et al on forget-about-the-trade-spat-coal-is-passe-in-much-of-china-and-thats-a-bigger-problem-for-australia
• Kevin Davis on ideology-triumphs-over-evidence-morrison-government-drops-the-ball-on-banking-reform
• renew economy on electric-vehicles-help-drive-green-investment-to-new-global-high-in-2020, as-biden-acts-on-climate-morrison-reactivates-fossil-rhetoric
• Gary Mortimer and Louise Grimmer on the-rise-and-rise-of-aldi-two-decades-that-changed-supermarket-shopping-in-australia
• Tama Leaver on webs-inventor-says-news-media-bargaining-code-could-break-the-internet-hes-right-but-theres-a-fix

Northern America

• Menzie Chinn on is-a-dollar-crash-coming, will-joe-bidens-fiscal-stimulus-overheat-the-american-economy
• Jennifer Hunt on as-joe-biden-prepares-to-become-president-the-us-still-reels-from-the-deadly-consequences-of-alternative-facts
• Richard Kreitner on why-its-time-to-take-secessionist-talk-seriously
• Sussan Glasser on obituary-for-a-failed-presidency
• Calculated Risk on comments-on-december-housing-starts
• Scott Lucas on joe-biden-sends-a-clear-message-to-the-watching-world-americas-back
• Richard Holden on bidens-economic-centrism-isnt-exciting-but-right-for-these-divisive-times
• Eric Kramer on trump-on-his-own-terms

Europe

• mumbling and stumbling on debates-fake-and-genuine
• Mainly Macro on who-caused-our-current-covid-crisis
• Alexander Titov on alexei-navalny-novichok-didnt-stop-russian-opposition-leader-but-a-prison-sentence-might
• James empty blog on blueskiesresearchorguk-so-near-and-yet
• Chris Bertram on globalism-and-the-incoherence-of-tory-brexit

Asia

• Aarti Bettigeri on india-launches-mammoth-vaccine-drive
• Shankaran Nambiar on resisting-uncertainty-malaysia-finding-itself
• Alexi Heale on japan-under-suga-the-delicate-balancing-act
• Elliot Zaagman on where-world-jack-ma
• Peter Holmes on the-interpreter/beijing-s-wolf-warriors-score-own-goals
• Barkley Rosser on will-north-korea-explode-after-biden-becomes-president

Wonk

• Tim Harford on what-puzzles-and-poker-teach-us-about-misinformation
• the conversable economist on more-on-origins-of-pushing-on-string
• Robert Waldmann on desirable-incentive-effects-of-income-taxation-iii, public-debt-may-have-no-fiscal-cost
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-increasing-income-tax-progressivity-trickle-up-not-trickle-down-economics
• Verica Rupar and Tom de Smedt on trumps-time-is-up-but-his-twitter-legacy-lives-on-in-the-global-spread-of-qanon-conspiracy-theories
• Damien Spry on why-twitter-was-right-dump-trump
• Tyler Cowen on consistency-about-elasticities
• Dennis Muller on to-publish-or-not-to-publish-the-medias-free-speech-dilemmas-in-a-world-of-division-violence-and-extremism
• stumbling and mumbling on character-context-and-work
• Eric Lonergan on qe-is-debt-reduction

General

• Ramesh Thakur on irrepressibles-tame-invincibles-their-impregnable-fortress
• BOM Blog on explainer-what-influences-air-temperature

Climate

• and Then Theres Physics on on-baselines-and-climate-normals
• Peter Sinclair on master-class-in-climate-denial-gaslighting
• renew economy on ticking-fossil-industry-methane-bomb-must-be-defused-iea
• skeptical Science on global warming attribution study

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• youre-a-data-scientist-at-a-local-hospital-and-youve-been-asked-to-present-to-the-physicians-on-communicating-statistical-information-to-patients-what-should-you-say
  
• weights-in-statistics
  
• simulation-based-calibration-two-theorems
  
• subtleties-of-discretized-density-plots
  
• arsenic
  
• what-about-that-new-paper-estimating-the-effects-of-lockdowns-etc
  
• new-textbook-statistics-for-health-data-science-by-etzioni-mandel-and-gulati
  
• statschat on drunk-graphics, 
• Kaiser Fung on how-nyc-restaurants-manage-queues, record-deaths-every-day vaccines-free-you-from-the-herd

Econometrics

• No Hesitations on mixtures-of-predictive-densities

Dianne Coyle (quirky + book reviews)

• places-and-not
  
• are-humans-or-computers-more-reasonable
  
• Sam Roggeveen on the-interpreter/book-review-ministry-future
• Tyler Cowen on what-ive-been-reading

Vox wonk

• robot-adoption-german-plants
  
• choice-and-outcomes-deceased-donor-kidney-assignment
  
• workplace-integration-and-gender-attitudes
  
• triple-effect-covid-19-chinese-exports
  
• how-networks-influential-individuals-helped-destroy-one-world-s-most-durable-democracies-and-legitimise-racist
  
• bond-returns-sovereign-debt-crises-investors-perspective
  
• merits-fire-sales-and-bailouts-light-covid-19-pandemic
  
• trade-and-covid-19-lessons-first-wave
  
• impact-covid-19-productivity
  
• value-vaccine-end-covid-19-worth-between-5-and-15-wealth
  
• taking-oligopoly-seriously-macroeconomics
  
• interaction-between-macroprudential-and-monetary-policy-through-global-banks-new-cross-country-evidence-international
  
• issue-salience-and-political-stereotypes
  
• trump-berlusconi-and-damage-entrepreneurs-economic-policy
  
• trade-and-welfare-benefits-deep-trade-agreements
  
• policy-responses-corporate-solvency-problem-ongoing-covid-19-crisis
  

What a test what a series

 I did not see that coming.

This was a magnificent win by essentially  India's B side against us. There was a lot of Headingl and Stokes in this win. In essence our batting let us down, India had two bowlers who weren't anywhere near test class yet they got us out twice! Then our bowling did. Starc and Lyons were missing in action in both Sydney and Brisbane.

Let us go back for a minute

 India got thrashed in Adelaide. However the 36 was a one-off. Good balls got edges and catches were taken. It will never occur again. Good balls will be missed and catches will be dropped. It should be noted before India's second innings they were in charge.  Australia got over confident over this  whereas India gained strength . India lost players but grew another leg.

They totally outplayed us in Melbourne. They ALL did. Everyone played their part the captain more so.

In Sydney They almost won as our bowlers tired. More on that later.

I have already written about Brisbane. Clearly they have some promising palyers,

What of Australia. The big L had a good average but that hides how very lucky he was, Dropped catches and a lot of snicks means you are not in good form. We have problems at the top of the order and in the middle.

We also have problems in bowling. Starc has lost his late inswinger. It is because his right foot is pointing to the Keeper not first slip. thus he is open chested. He loses swing and pace. Lyons was unimpressive. He never looked like taking wickets.

It was an enjoyable test and an enjoyable series.

US Politics

 Steve from Brisbane has nailed it so I won't write my thoughts as I do not have to.

See also HERE, HERE and HERE

Spam on the net

 I am getting a bit of spam at present.

Most of it has an unsubscribe link which merely takes to a website about the scam involved.

It is a bit tedious putting it into my spam box but once in it then always goes there.

Very annoying

Around the Traps 15/1/21

 It is time again for Around the Traps

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Greg Jericho  on australias-economy-is-faring-better-than-most-but-thats-not-saying-much
• Miah Hammond-Errey on securing-legal-foundation-australia-s-intelligence-agencies
• renew economy on neoen-plans-massive-500mw-big-battery-west-of-sydney, vales-point-applied-for-8-7m-coal-upgrades-grant-weeks-after-it-was-announced-in-federal-budget, sand-clogs-up-australias-only-operating-carbon-capture-project, agl-picks-wartsila-and-fluence-to-deliver-on-1000mw-big-battery-vision
• Kylie Quinn et al on the-oxford-vaccine-has-unique-advantages-as-does-pfizers-using-both-is-australias-best-strategy

Northern America

• Jennifer Williams on us-capitol-attack-domestic-terrorism-definition
• Peter Dorman on post-putsch-why-there-should-be-consequences-for-enablers-of-the-capitol-invasion
• 538 on why-police-aggression-is-far-more-pronounced-against-left-leaning-protesters
• Alex Tabbarok on approve-the-astrazeneca-vaccine-now
• Fablola Cineas on us-capitol-trump-riot-insurrection
• the grumpy economist on low-interest-rates-and-government-debt
• John Cassidy on trump-cant-be-allowed-to-escape-justice-yet-again
• Jonathan Stephenson on trumps-lingering-menace
• Ankush Khardori on wanted-lead-suspect-in-election-fraud-conspiracy
• Mubashar Hasan on america-s-fantasy-hero
• Zack Beauchamp on trump-republicans-impeachment-case-capitol-fourteenth-amendment
• David Frum on the-conservative-cult-of-victimhood
• Peter Sinclair on trump-anti-science-team-leaving-a-poison-pills-behind
• Michael Blake on is-impeaching-president-trump-pointless-revenge-not-if-it-sends-a-message-to-future-presidents
• Thomas Klassen on a-second-impeachment-is-just-the-start-of-trumps-legal-woes
• Bryan Cranston on trump-is-impeached-again-in-historic-vote-now-republicans-must-decide-the-future-of-their-party

Europe

• Mainly Macro on trump-tries-to-incite-putsch-and-his-uk-apologists
• stumbling and mumbling on on-fantasy-politics
• Mark Beeson on very-british-crisis

Asia

• Michael Schuman on xi-jinping-china-economy-jack-ma
• Khang Vu on why-north-korea-wants-arms-control-deal-united-states
• John Garrick and Yan Bennett on how-china-is-controlling-the-covid-origins-narrative-silencing-critics-and-locking-up-dissenters

Wonk

• Tim Harford on in-praise-of-the-humble-products-all-around-us
• stumbling and mumbling on on-fantasy-politics, on-forecasting
• Dominic Meagher on what-does-arrival-covid-vaccines-mean-2021
• Copolla comment on bitcoin-fixes-microstrategy-or-does-it
• Tyler Cowen on can-open-access-scientific-publishing-work, insurrections-are-contagious
• Menzie Chinn on interpreting-spreads
• Katherine Gelber on no-twitter-is-not-censoring-donald-trump-free-speech-is-not-guaranteed-if-it-harms-others
• Helen Young on why-the-far-right-and-white-supremecists-have-embraced-the-middle-ages-and-their-symbols
• Institutional Economics on lets-talk-about-negative-rates
• Henry Giroux on trump-impeached-a-second-time-but-trumpism-will-live-on
• Jonathan Barret on government-funds-are-not-taxpayer-money-media-and-politicians-should-stop-confusing-the-two

General

• Eliza Middleton and Linda Evans on the-cicadas-deafening-shriek-is-the-sound-of-summer-and-humans-have-been-drawn-to-it-for-thousands-of-years
• Jenny Uglow on joseph-banks-imperial-gardener-kew

Climate

• Real Climate on flyer-tipping
• Skeptical Science on reviewing the horrible bush fire season
• Moyhu on giss-reports-2020-as-warmest-year

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• enhancing-academic-freedom-and-transparency-in-publishing-through-post-publication-debate-some-examples-in-the-study-of-political-conflict
  
• include-all-design-information-as-predictors-in-your-regression-model-then-postratify-if-necessary-no-need-to-include-survey-weights-the-information-that-goes-into-the-weights-will-be-used-in-any
  
• a-headline-that-will-make-global-warming-activists-apoplectic-hows-that-one-going-huh
  
• they-adjusted-for-three-hundred-confounders
  
• routine-hospital-based-sars-cov-2-testing-outperforms-state-based-data-in-predicting-clinical-burden
  
• sketching-the-distribution-of-data-vs-sketching-the-imagined-distribution-of-data
  
• reflections-on-a-talk-gone-wrong
  
• statschat on the-new-variant-r-and-why-its-more-complicated-than-that, predictions-and-constraints
• Kaiser Fung on one-dose-vaccine-elevates-pr-over-science , know-your-data-28-data-breaches-and-tech-contradictions , real-life-demonstration-of-the-value-of-statistical-controls

Econometrics

• nuttin

Dianne Coyle ( quirky +book reviews)

• when-being-fair-to-others-is-efficient
  
• Tyler Cowen on what-ive-been-reading

Vox wonk

• bottom-approach-covid-19-vaccines
  
• economic-impact-ancient-colonisation
  
• edward-lazear-personnel-policy-and-productivity
  
• early-view-euro-area-risk-sharing-during-covid-19-crisis
  
• it-time-auction-slots-congested-airports
  
• trade-preferences-need-predictability
  
• pandemic-endgame
  
• impact-social-security-pension-claiming-and-retirement
  
• leaning-against-wind-and-risk-financial-crises
  
• impact-social-security-pension-claiming-and-retirement
  
• air-pollution-policy-should-focus-most-vulnerable-people-not-just-most-polluted-places
  
• will-inflation-make-comeback-populations-age
  
• financial-globalisation-and-inequality-capital-flows-two-edged-sword
  

Was Trump censored by Twitter?

 Of all the nonsense I have heard Twitter censoring Trump is the worst. A sitting President can hold Press Releases and issue press releases but Katherine Gelber outlines why this censorship argument is complete and utter nonsense.

Remember that stuff about the hiatas on global warming

 Master Stat man Andrew Gelman writes about a-headline-that-will-make-global-warming-activists-apoplectic-hows-that-one-going-huh

Another climate denier bites the dust