Around the Traps 26/11/21

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Salman Shoostarian et al on how-to-make-roads-with-recycled-waste-and-pave-the-way-to-a-circular-economy
• John Roose on why-the-victorian-protests-should-concern-us-all
• Kevin Bonham on labor-dominates-in-recent-victorian-state-polling
• renew economy on rooftop-solar-helps-send-south-australia-grid-to-zero-demand-in-world-first, new-arena-fund-to-help-plug-one-of-last-gaps-to-100-pct-renewables-grid, three-simple-low-cost-actions-that-can-accelerate-transition-to-zero-emissions, australias-de-facto-carbon-price-hits-40-t-as-international-markets-take-off-after-cop26, cheap-renewables-to-keep-pushing-power-bills-down-even-after-liddell-exit
• Madi Day and Bronwyn Carlson on white-supremacist-and-far-right-ideology-underpin-anti-vax-movements
• C Raina MacIntyre on will-australia-follow-europe-into-a-fourth-covid-wave-boosters-vaccinating-kids-ventilation-and-masks-may-help-us-avoid-it
• Kevin Bonham on detailed-comments-on-voter-id-debate
• Croaking Cassandra on interest-rates-3, not-really-up-to-the-job
• Peter Martin on can-do-capitalism-is-delivering-less-than-it-used-to-here-are-3-reasons-why
• James Ha and Alison Reeve on coal-plants-are-closing-faster-than-expected-governments-can-keep-the-exit-orderly
• Greg Jericho on low-interest-rates-and-the-housing-stimulus-keep-australias-construction-strong-but-what-lies-in-store
• Simon Cotton on paul-keating-may-be-grand-appeaser-he-wrong
• Tim Buckley on how-fossil-fuel-subsidies-are-thwarting-queenslands-renewable-energy-ambitions

Northern America

• Menzie Chinn on an-effective-anti-inflationary-measure
• Zack Beauchamp on conservatives-america-chris-rufo-patrick-deneen
• Peter Dorman on the-rittenhouse-verdict-and-future-of-vigilante-violence
• Geoffrey Skulley on texas-voters-have-soured-on-greg-abbott-but-that-doesnt-mean-theyll-vote-for-beto-orourke
• the conversable economist on some-eviction-economics, an-economist-chews-over-thanksgiving
• slow boring on the most important election of our lifetime thanks Brad
• Dylan Mathews on jerome-powell-federal-reserve-unemployment-inflation
• Jim Newell on biden-approval-democrats-midterms-inflation-economy-build-back-better
• Open Mind on north-carolina-sea-level-rise-problem-not-solved
• 538 on there-wont-be-many-competitive-districts-left-after-this-round-of-gerrymandering
• Wendy Edelberg on what_does_current_inflation_tell_us_about_the_future Thanks Brad

Europe

• stumbling and mumbling on frames-stories-and-political-change
• Marcus Colla on revenge-scholzomat
• Mainly Macro on cancellation-of-rail-projects-in-northern-england-just-creatrs=short-termism

Asia

• Surinder Jodhka on 1-year-and-700-lives-lost-but-indian-protestors-have-succeeded-in-repealing-anti-farming-laws
• Saun Cameron on palau-faces-dragon
• noahopinion on is-chinas-catch-up-growth-over
• Helen Clark on vietnam-let-them-eat-steak
• Martin Weiser on north-korea-law-but-not-as-we-know-it
• Mark Tilly on trouble-on-the-mekong

Wonk

• Tim Harford on notes-on-a-statistical-scandal
• the conversable economist on renewable-energy-and-its-need-for-minerals, holding-down-costs-of-megaprojects-the-madrid-subway-example
• Stephen Minas on glasgow-delivered-what-exactly
• Aarti Bettigeri on india-china-and-finger-pointing-climate-politics
• Institutional Economics on structural-reform-productivity-and-monetary-policy
• the time of monsters on you-dont-in-fact-have-to-hand-it-to-mussolini
• Richard Holden on vital-signs-cautious-on-rates-strong-on-climate-action-meet-lael-brainard-bidens-new-pick-at-the-us-federal-reserve

General

• Jen Kirby on global-inflation-us-eu-germany-uk

Climate

• Real Climate on net-zero-not-zero
• and Then Theres Physics on riders-on-the-storm
• skeptical science on how will carbon pricing impact inflation
• Andrew King et al on even-if-we-halt-global-warming-local-climates-will-change-and-we-need-new-experiments-to-understand-how
• Sarah Seabrook et al on the-ocean-is-our-greatest-climate-regulator-it-must-be-a-stronger-part-of-climate-policy-and-action

Andrew Gelman (mainly stats)

• just-another-day-at-the-sausage-factory-its-just-funny-how-regression-discontinuity-analyses-routinely-produce-these-ridiculous-graphs-and-the-authors-and-journals-dont-even-seen-to-notice
  
• some-unexpected-insights-from-the-wall-street-journals-advice-column
  
• kelloggs-in-the-house
  
• scabies
  
• semi-bamboozled-and-cookery-vs-science
  
• statscchat on vaccinate-for-the-holidays, probably-in-the-top-two
• Kaiser Fung on thirty-percent-unvaccinated-in-healthcare-less-than-meets-the-eye, better-late-than-never

Econometrics

• nuttin

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• taking-people-seriously-all-of-them
  
• Tyler Cowen on my-favorite-fiction-of-2021, best-non-fiction-books-of-2021

Vox wonk

• monetary-incentives-increase-covid-19-vaccinations-nudges-do-not
  
• policy-implications-dollar-pricing
  
• assessing-magnitude-domestic-violence-problem-during-covid-19
  
• temporary-vat-cut-unconventional-fiscal-policy
  
• better-roads-increase-domestic-trade-and-improve-regional-economies
  
• why-some-nations-labour-markets-did-better-during-pandemic
  
• german-productivity-paradox-homegrown-affair
  
• mutual-funds-loyalty-helped-stabilise-esg-stocks-during-covid-19
  
• multinational-production-and-investment-provisions-preferential-trade-agreements
  
• dangers-unregulated-artificial-intelligence
  
• global-footprint-chinese-banks
  
• consumption-and-service-sector-demand-played-key-role-covid-19-global-trade-collapse
  
• public-loan-guarantees-and-credit-substitution
  
• central-bank-digital-currency-considerations-projects-outlook
  
• us-china-tariff-war-and-china-s-economy-evidence-night-lights
  

The proscribing of terrorist organisations

 Yesterday the government proscribed The Base and Hizballah as terrorist organisations.

The decision on the base makes sense because they could kill australians. On the other hand no-one has stated anyone from hizballah is ever likely to kill anyone in Australia. Their total concentration is in the Middle East and fighting Israel. Thus it seems the only possible reason for this is to deny hizballah any funds from Australia.

Kevin Bonham on voter ID

 Kevin Bonham ,a must read on polls, has an excellent article on the prosed new laws on voter ID.

A must read

Three simple low cost actions that can accelerate transition to zero emissions

 David Leitch write a thought provoking article with the above title.

Although not in the first three he recommends a price on carbon. I totally agree. The reason is there is no can do capitalism. Pigou a long time ago showed up instances of where ,as in this case, there is negative externalities. The  price of carbon does not have the effect of pollution or emissions in the price. Put it in and only then do you get can do capitalism.

sound advice from Thomas Lumley

 Thomas Lumley runs a wonderful blog called statschat.

his latest article is entitled vaccinate-for-the-holidays.

Short but sweet.

Around the Traps 19/11/21

 It is time again for Around the Traps

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,OyOy

• Peter Martin on how-government-modelling-found-net-zero-would-leave-us-better-off, the-embarrassingly-easy-tax-free-way-for-australia-to-cut-the-cost-of-electric-cars
• Melissa Tyler on australia-has-not-just-had-a-diplomacy-fail-it-has-been-devaluing-the-profession-for-decades
• John Quiggin on government-assumes-90-of-australias-new-car-sales-will-be-electric-by-2050-but-its-a-destination-without-a-route
• Michelle Grattan on -scott-morrison-caught-in-catch-22-over-the-issue-of-his-integrity
• Phillip Adams on the-governments-net-zero-modelling-shows-winners-weve-found-losers-as-well
• Antony Green on john-alexanders-retirement-opens-up-the-contest-in-bennelong
• Bruce Mountain on i-chose-the-electricity-retailer-offering-the-best-deal-for-my-home-thats-not-what-i-got
• Sussannah Patton on australia-relevant
• croaking cassandra on a-cost-benefit-approach-to-thinking-about-vaccine-coercion, reserve-bank-people, 5-7-billion, lallys-paper-on-a-cost-benefit-analysis-of-covid-vaccine-mandates
• renew economy on south-australia-curtailed-nearly-as-much-wind-and-solar-on-sunday-as-it-used, telstra-to-tap-1gw-of-batteries-and-abundant-dirt-cheap-clean-energy-in-big-new-play, taylor-concedes-key-government-policy-was-never-intended-to-cut-emissions, fossil-gas-hydrogen-could-lead-to-substantial-lift-in-emissions-and-higher-prices, south-australia-sets-stunning-new-benchmark-as-gas-output-halved-and-wind-at-record-highs
• Dennis Muller on is-morrison-gaining-a-reputation-for-untrustworthiness-the-answer-could-have-serious-implications-for-the-election
• Nadeem Samnakay on im-an-expert-in-what-makes-good-policy-and-the-morrison-governments-net-zero-plan-fails-on-6-crucial-counts
• Chris Wallace on on-politics-as-performance-morrisons-advantage-is-ebbing-and-that-could-make-a-difference-at-the-next-election
• Anna Boucher and Elisa Choy on cautiously-optimistic-chinese-students-keen-get-back-australia
• Greg Jericho on no-wages-are-not-about-to-explode-they-are-struggling-to-keep-up-with-australias-inflation
• Richard Holden on vital-signs-chill-this-weeks-news-on-wages-points-to-anything-but-hyperinflation
• Robin Smit on we-must-rapidly-decarbonise-road-transport-but-hydrogens-not-the-answer
• Institutional Economics on what-happened-to-the-mortgage-lending

Northern America

• noahopinion on why-steel-tariffs-are-always-bad, inflation-is-up-but-the-inflation-truthers-are-still-wrong, try-patriotism, people-have-a-right-to-be-upset-about-inflation
• Barkley Rosser on repeated-lying-about-lying
• Tyler Cowen on assorted links ( go to 3) ,why-is-inflation-so-bad
• New Deal Democrat on dear-democrats-yes-inflation-is-a-problem
• Lili Loofbourow on trump-news-dropoff-democratic-action
• the conversable economist on the-shifting-center-of-us-population-1790-2020
• Uneasy Money on high-inflation-anxiety
• Neil Lewis on why-many-americans-underestimate-who-is-most-concerned-about-the-environment
• Clark Williams-Derry on the-goldilocks-predicament-for-oil-and-gas-there-are-no-just-right-prices

Europe

• long and variable on team-transitory-vs-team-permanent
• Mainly Macro on why-have-conservative-chancellors-since-Osborne-been-bad-for-households
• Samantha Wong on brewing-crisis-bosnia-and-herzegovina
• Masha Gessen on can-russias-press-ever-be-free
• Mateo Szlapek-Sewillo on nord-stream-2-will-you-go-gazprom-me
• stumbling and mumbling on frames-stories-and-political-change

Asia

• David Goodman on xi-jinping-puts-his-stamp-on-communist-party-history-but-is-his-support-as-strong-as-his-predecessors
• Bill Hare on are-you-kidding-india-your-last-minute-glasgow-intervention-wont-relieve-pressure-to-ditch-coal
• David Hopkins on thailand-s-regressive-royal-insult-law
• Tony Walker on xi-biden-meeting-is-cordial-but-will-anything-change-between-the-superpowers
• Mubashar Hasan on minorities-under-attack-bangladesh
• David Fawcett on myanmar-totalitarian-terror-shouldn-t-fly-our-watch
• Johannes Nugroho on true-challenge-indonesia-s-large-informal-economy

Wonk

• Anthea Roberts and Nicolas Lamp on framing-globalisation
• Menzie Chinn on some-useful-terms-in-economics
• Tim Harford on christmas-i-had-it-wrapped-up-weeks-ago
• stumbling and mumbling on the-decline-of-economics
• the conversable economist on a-primer-on-nfts, the-bottleneck-story
• Brad De Long on why-was-the-20th-century-not-a-chinese-century
• Jake Bernstein on tax-havens-loopholes-for-kleptocrats
• Simon Nicholas and Soroush Basirat on more-than-half-of-current-global-steel-production-may-have-already-reached-peak-carbon-emissions

General

• Jack Feehan and Vasto Apostopolous on no-vaccinated-people-are-not-just-as-infectious-as-unvaccinated-people-if-they-get-covid
• Brendan Chapman on how-do-police-forensic-scientists-investigate-a-case-a-clandestine-gravesite-recovery-expert-explains
• Mathew Hayek and Jan Dutkiewicz on beyond-impossible-plant-based-vegetarian-meat-climate-environmental-impact-sustainability

Climate

• Jeremy Moss on cop26-leaves-too-many-loopholes-for-the-fossil-fuel-industry-here-are-5-of-them
• Simon Lewis and Mark Maslim on five-things-you-need-to-know-about-the-glasgow-climate-pact
• David Appell on divergence-of-lower-troposphere-warming, nasa-giss-4th-warmest-october-warmest
• Moyhu on giss-october-global-temperature-up-from-september
• Open Mind on new-york-the-battery
• and Then Theres Physics on the-hack-that-changed-the-world
• Sally Thompson et al on deforestation-can-raise-local-temperatures-by-up-to-4-5-and-heat-untouched-areas-6km-away
• Des smog on four-major-climate-denial-scare-tactics-twitter

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• tfw-you-can-add-internationally-exhibited-to-your-resume
  
• that-viral-list-of-top-baby-names-is-bs
  
• a-mix-of-obvious-perhaps-useful-and-somewhat-absurd
  
• simulation-based-inference-and-approximate-bayesian-computation-in-ecology-and-population-genetics
  
• a-forecasting-error-in-law-school-admissions-could-this-have-been-avoided
  
• an-economist-and-his-lonely-belief
  
• comparing-bias-and-overfitting-in-learning-from-data-across-social-psych-and-machine-learning
  
• its-so-hard-to-compare-the-efficiency-of-mcmc-samplers
  
• event-frequencies-and-my-dated-mlb-analogy
  
• fake-drug-studies
  
• not-so-easy-to-estimate-the-effects-of-school-mask-requirements-how-to-think-about-this
  
• Mark the Ballot on model-building
• Christopher Drovandi on does-batting-second-in-t20-world-cup-cricket-offer-a-crucial-advantage-a-statistics-professor-explains

Econometrics

• nuttin

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• Tyler Cowen on what-ive-been-reading
• Davis Kedronsky on the-book-of-t Thanks Tyler Cowen

Vox Wonk

• social-insurance-policies-turbulent-times-short-time-work-versus-unemployment-insurance
  
• perceptions-racial-gaps-their-causes-and-ways-reduce-them
  
• what-we-know-about-climate-change-and-inflation
  
• large-public-debts-need-not-imply-fiscal-dominance
  
• loan-guarantees-and-their-implications-post-covid-19-productivity
  
• china-s-new-goal-income-distribution-insights-survey-data
  
• covid-19-and-investment-fund-portfolio-rebalancing
  
• covid-19-uncertainty-tale-two-tails
  
• negative-policy-rates-expansionary-effects-portfolio-rebalancing
  
• recovery-expansion-amid-headwinds-commissions-autumn-2021-forecast
  
• dollar-dominance-and-international-adjustment-global-risk
  
• wealth-and-history-reappraisal
  
• firm-level-policy-support-during-covid-19-crisis
  
• lessons-european-journey-through-two-crises
  

Inflation in America

 No it is not a song.

Quite a few people are writing about it.

Tyler Cowen

A few linked Twitter pieces from Tyler  A twitter conversation from Kruggers  from Tyler

Noah Smith has three pieces

1. HERE
2. HERE
3. HERE

David Glasner

Great and interesting reading