Around the Traps 30/10/26

 It is time for Around the Traps again.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• institutional economics on my-3000-step
• David Hayward on with-an-election-looming-victorias-debt-is-huge-but-are-the-states-finances-really-that-bad
• Michelle Grattan on michelle-landry-announces-retirement-opening-path-for-matt-canavan-to-switch-to-lower-house
• Nathan Gray and Peter Draper on failure-to-ratify-the-eu-trade-deal-would-cost-australia-far-more-than-beef
• Simon Henderson on australia-should-do-more-to-back-japan-and-the-icc-in-the-face-of-us-sanctions
• Yuting Zhang et al on exempting-pensioners-from-private-health-rebate-changes-wont-make-it-fairer-heres-what-would
• Isaac Gross on inflation-jumps-to-4-3-adding-to-pressure-for-rba-rate-rise-next-week
• Margherita Matera on eu-australia-fta-the-threat-to-ratification-runs-both-ways 
• David Vallance on australia-s-usd30-billion-base-boom-needs-scrutiny-too
• Ben Doherty on australian-sas-officers-knew-about-unlawful-throwdowns-on-dead-afghans-report-says
• John Hawkins on mortgage-holders-arent-alone-in-paying-for-rate-hikes-heres-how-the-rba-spreads-the-pain
• Olaf Meynecke on unlike-anything-ive-seen-why-this-whale-season-has-marine-scientists-puzzled
• George Newhouse on we-must-protect-jewish-australians-without-casting-suspicion-on-legitimate-concern-for-palestinians

OZ Climate

• first-new-steel-mill-in-australia-in-35-years-to-be-the-first-to-be-powered-by-100-per-cent-renewables
  
• batteries-and-cells-whether-on-wheels-or-the-grid-its-all-about-chemistry-and-cost
  
• more-batteries-both-big-and-small-mean-solar-farms-dont-have-to-shut-down-so-often
  
• nelsons-new-market-design-could-provide-the-answer-to-decarbonising-australian-industry-and-transport
  
• recap-3-0-doesnt-answer-the-biggest-questions-about-snowys-25-billion-plus-pumped-hydro-gamble
  
• letting-data-centres-build-first-catch-up-on-renewables-later-could-add-40-billion-to-power-bills
  
• keep-the-temperature-down-in-an-anxious-world-we-need-to-make-the-energy-transition-work-for-everyone
  
• we-will-be-the-first-state-to-roll-out-plug-in-solar-and-batteries-to-help-renters-and-apartment-dwellers
  
• simplified-version-of-esem-to-be-used-to-propel-state-beyond-coal-and-to-75-per-cent-renewables
  
• wa-needs-more-renewables-but-that-does-not-mean-it-needs-more-gas
  
• anti-renewables-populism-is-the-largest-unpriced-risk-but-poll-data-shows-support-is-growing-even-in-hot-zones
  
• 
  
• Nicky Morrison et al on we-must-prepare-entire-cities-for-extreme-heat-our-new-study-reveals-how
• Graham Readfearn on bom-temperature-record-keeping-under-attack-again
• Eli Bendall and Rachael Nolan on while-some-eucalypts-are-hard-to-kill-climate-change-may-test-the-ability-of-others-to-survive
• Yeongmin Kweon on australia-s-green-iron-gamble-needs-more-ambition-to-convince-asia 
• Lisa Cox on menindee-lakes-water-levels-drop-mass-fish-death-fears

Northern America

• Brad De Long on torsten-slok-beats-the-ai-bear-drum , crosspost-josh-busby-and-duck-of-minerva
• Don Moynihan on blockers-and-grifters Thanks Nick
• Ian Millhiser on trump-mary-peltola-dans-sullivan-lawsuit
• Quinta Jurecic on fbi-prosecution
• Kruggers on the-crisis-next-time, trump-doesnt-give-a-damn-about-your-problems, will-the-ai-investment-splurge-last
• Benjamin Wallace-Wells on the-republicans-remarkably-bad-midterm-campaigns 
• Christian Paz on kansas-senate-adam-hamilton-religion-democrat-christian-methodist-roger-marshall 
• Tyler Cowen on frances-lee-on-american-elections
• Fred Kaplan on midterms-elon-musk-republicans-china
• Jonathan Guyer on trumps-blob-foreign-policy 
• Liz Dye on comey-third-criminal-charges
• James Hamilton on u-s-gdp-grows-more-in-q3
• Nancy Youseff on brett-sylvia-hegseth-general-pentagon
• Jake Laaperruque on government-hiding-rebuke-warrantless-fisa-surveillance
• Harry Litman on trump-puts-doj-lawyers-in-indefensible-positions

Europe

• Martin Boudry on an army of yesterdays civilians Thanks Nick 
• Ian Hill on ukraine-perils-for-kyiv-in-revived-peace-talks
• Gavin Sullivan and Tereza Capelos on we-changed-the-system-how-serbian-students-ended-alexander-vucics-12-years-in-power
• Zarina Zabrinsky on oleshky-ceasefire-ukraine-press
• Fintan O'Toole on back-to-the-future-andy-burnham
• mainly macro on the-big-picture-for-forthcoming-uk.-budget-that-the-media-largely-ignores 
• Marko Milanovic and Michael Schmitt on data-centers-military-objectives-russia-ukraine

Asia

• Prathap Latchmanan on singapore-s-job-as-asean-chair-fixing-how-the-grouping-decides
• Amnon Aron on israeli-election-why-nobody-has-been-talking-about-palestinian-statehood
• Ran Porat on israel-has-voted-but-the-results-will-be-messy-heres-how-its-next-government-will-be-formed
• Hannah Ridge on why-ultra-orthodox-parties-hold-so-much-sway-in-israeli-politics
• Dov Waxman on israel-has-voted-but-what-comes-next-dissecting-a-messy-ballot-and-coalition-building-process

Wonk

• Michael Powell on city-drug-addiction-harm-reduction-policy Thanks Nick
• bigiftrue on enough is enough Thanks Nick
• Ryan Avent on meaning-and-the-crisis-of-liberalism Thanks Nick
• Samuel Hughes on the-seven-vices-of-highly-effective-victorians Thanks Nick 
• Tim Harford on the-problem-with-pdoom 
• the conversable economist on ai-in-development-world-development-report-2026
• Tyler Cowen on why-are-cybersecurity-losses-not-worse
• noahpinion on the-internet-breaks , roundup-90, a-golden-age-of-science-is-coming
• Guilherme Casaroes on lula-wins-a-miracle-election-in-brazil-now-comes-the-hard-part-putting-the-country-back-on-the-right-track
• Deborah Farias on what-lulas-stunning-comeback-means-for-the-future-of-the-far-right-in-brazil
• Martyn Khomyn on anthropics-record-us-2-trillion-stock-market-listing-highlights-the-growing-risks-for-all-of-us
• Kruggers on hack-apocalypse-now 
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-europe-the-us-and-china-comparing-geoeconomic-size
• Mary McGlasson and Manny Maung on the-aid-system-is-doing-less-with-less-yet-grading-itself-far-too-kindly
• Brad De Long on crosspost-henry-farrell-agentic-ai-is-myth-in-motion

General

• Rachel McCormack on woman-leaves-the-psychoanalyst Thanks Nick
• Brad De Long on crosspost-josh-bernhoff-2019-why-books-work
• Kenya Fernandes on with-an-election-looming-victorias-debt-is-huge-but-are-the-states-finances-really-that-bad

Climate

• Megan Corrarino on unep-emissions-gap-report-seven-questions
• skeptical science on how-not-to-detect-warming-acceleration , new_research
• Bishakhdatta Gayen et al on the-deep-oceans-protection-against-warming-started-to-change-in-2016-nobody-knows-what-happens-now
• Mary Stuart on how-the-far-right-uses-climate-disasters-to-build-political-power

Andrew Gelman (mainly stats)

• ideological-bias-in-ideological-bias-in-the-production-of-research-findings 
  
• worlds-dumbest-spam-just-dropped
  
• skepticism-about-the-reading-the-mind-in-the-eyes-test
  
• six-questions-about-political-polarization-and-my-responses
  
• six-questions-about-political-polarization-and-my-responses
  
• we-interrupt-our-usual-programming-to-inform-you-that-i-was-never-hired-by-facebook-to-do-a-hit-job-on-jonathan-haidt 
  
• tension-vs-excitement-during-nba-games
  
• bou-rabee-square-root-condition-number-dependence
  
• in-the-run-up-to-the-trial-the-brothers-conducted-an-elaborate-public-relations-campaign-also-arranged-for-payments-to-influencers-and-podcasters-who-made-sympathetic-social-media-posts-about
  
• r-hat-august-1990
  
• Eliot Abrams  et al on research registries: facts myths and possible improvements Thanks Nick 
• Kaiser Fung on doper-duper, abstractions-in-data-viz

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• Jonathan Rauch on even-perfect-liberal-governance-could-not-have-stopped-reactionary-populism Thanks Nick
• Ingrid Robeyns on naza-on-being-a-cog-in-a-machine
• Alex Tabarrok on tyler-cowens-strongest-book-recommendations-over-the-years , eleven-outstanding-film-and-television-reviews-by-tyler-cowen-and-alex-tabarrok

Vox Wonk

• chasing-far-right-does-not-pay-centre-right-parties-evidence-germanys-2025-election 
  
• historic-monetary-tightening-benign-output-dynamics-rising-r-stars-across-atlantic 
  
• changes-health-and-longevity-elderly-us 
  
• oil-shocks-no-longer-hit-us-economy-they-used 
  
• washing-away-us-tariff-evasion-other-side-us-china-trade-war 
  
• private-equity-beyond-target-how-buyouts-reshape-supply-chains 
  
• how-agreements-between-suppliers-and-retailers-can-weaken-competition 
  
• adult-social-care-can-be-better-value-health-care-we-already-fund 
  
• not-your-average-firm-heterogeneous-cross-border-financial-allocations 
  
• powerful-pacifism-and-currency-dominance-what-150-years-international-monetary-system 
  
• company-wage-policy-low-wage-labour-market 
  
• real-economy-case-capital-markets-integration-cross-border-shareholders-and-firm
  

the coming rate rise and some other things

 CPI

The ABS released the September CPI yesterday ( the quarterly numbers have to be downloaded). It wasn't good and no-one thought it would be. HERE is Isaac Gross on the figures. I do not disagree.

The trimmed mean has in reality stopped rising BUT it aint falling. The non-tradables rate is rising and is too high. It appears higher fuel prices ( fossil fuel ) has been integrated into the system.

Thus a rate rise is all but guaranteed.

Serbia

 The pro-russian government has fallen due in part to student unrest. This is a good thing unlike in France where it has been overtaken by far-left fanatics..

The Prince

you haven't read the book. you should 

Israel

They have had an election and no-one understands the result. THIS might help.

US DOJ

They are trying to put Jim Comey in gaol but they are sooo incompetent and embarrassing

Elon Musk.

 Steve from Brisbane had a post on Musk. Then Fred Kaplan wrote about Musk and the fall-out from the mid-terms.

I have never had much time for Musk. Tesla always looks over-priced but to give him credit he initially made it a 'new' company but now it is lagging behind competitors mainly from China! He was mad to get into politics where he has made twitter a cesspit and made owners and potential owners of tesla cars very cheesed off.

His space X company looks overpriced as well. It clearly has the worst AI around.

His adventure via DOGE was a disaster where neither he nor his people had a clue about government consequently his group made little savings in dollar terms but cost lives and the USA's soft power status.

His companies get suspiciously good treatment from the government and his  understanding of world politics is pathetic. this can be gauged by his declaration of Ukraine as 'warmongers'.

In irony of irony he has actually admitted he got into the USA on untrue terms.

some stuff on Climate

 Well snowy 2.0 is obviously in the news.

Peter Hannan argues against it.

Andrew Blakkers   is for it. It does last 150 years!

We still have rising temperatures.

Tamino on rising sea temperatures

You have to know how to detect it.

Zeke Hausfather on how not to detect global warming

A Few Things

 France ( and some other countries)

The demonstrations appear to be taken over by the far left more so given the far left leader there has supported them. I have said previously a coalition of islamists and far left rioters would be very strange. The fact some people have seen a palestinian flag has led some to believe this is being exacerbated by islamists. Only problem is when I saw the flag being waved it was by a white man!

Hugh Scofield is reporting the students who started the demonstrations are cheesed off that the far left  have tried to to hijack this.

Macron has attempted to implement some sensible economic policies and has been stymied in parliament. He has been very poor since his disastrous early election gamble which blew up in his face. In some way he could be the reason why the presidential election could be between the far right and the far left both of whom are economically illiterate.

A-League

Well what a difference a week makes. The Melbourne derby was great. a good crowd, good football and a draw probably the best result. The Wanderers  also played good football in Auckland against Auckland and won well.

Ben Roberts-Smith

A judge found him guilty of war crimes based on the balance of probabilities ( not beyond a reasonable doubt.) He is now on a publicity tour but only interviewed by people favourable to him. Thus he is given soft questions. He complains about the definition of war crimes beinde retrospective BUT he is being charged along the previous definition. I do not get why his apologists believe they know more than the judge in the libel case and that he had the best legal practitioners  money could buy but still badly lost . He had little credibility!

Test Cricket

We lost to SA by an innings and one of the crucial SA bowlers only bowled 3.3 overs. It seems all those who criticised SA in the first test and now doing the same to Australia now. Rabada was not fully game fit but still got to over 150k a number of times. I suspect he will be better in the third test.

We have to decide what the batting lineup is and whether Boland plays or not.

Why is the a dearth of supporters watching these matches?

USA

Omar's house in Washington was raided. The justice department are not supposed to do this 60 days prior to an election let alone during the election period.  It is failing the pub test to suggest she would attempt to get out the country since she is running for office again. This does look performative.It also should be in the FBI's hands. Why did they raid her washington house and not where she actually lives if they were actually after new information. Yeah we can guess. How have they come across such information they could not find in 2019 and only just found it now?

Two FBI agents have been charged over lying to congress in the hunter biden laptop debacle. One HUGE problem is they were not indicted via a grand jury but by complaint. So the defendants said let us have the Judge see if there is a case now. The DOJ said nonono. We need time which makes no sense given it was done via a complaint. This again looks performative.

The republicans have allowed their campaign to be swamped by utter trash when an add for the governorship was put on alleging the democrat candidate was a liar by her mother. This is the same woman who deserted their home when her husband The step-father) was indicted for raping her daughter she is now calling a  liar. Naturally Trump joined in this disgusting race to the bottom. I do hope they get their just deserts for this disgraceful act.

Israel

They go to the polls yet it is a tight election. I don't get it. The present government was asleep at the wheel when october 7 occurred yet some people want to vote for them again?

Brazil

They are having an election. It is between Lula who beat a man whol ike trump refused to concede and wanted an insurrection. He failed BUT his son is running

Around the Traps 23/10/26

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Robert Whait and connie Vitalie on the-government-wants-trusts-to-pay-a-minimum-30-tax-whats-behind-the-changes
• Mathew Bowes and Erin-Lea Brown on if-we-want-a-better-australia-we-need-to-raise-the-gst-and-cut-income-taxes
• Mathew Wesley on what-australia-could-learn-from-its-southeast-asian-neighbours-about-power-and-the-changing-global-order
• Jenny Bloomfield on a-smaller-australia-won-t-be-a-stronger-one
• Kristina Murphy on anti-government-violence-is-growing-the-response-needs-to-be-more-than-just-increased-policing
• Joshua Black and Frank Bongiorno on australian-democracy-is-usually-peaceful-but-theres-a-homegrown-history-with-political-violence-that-bears-on-the-future
• Sam Roggeveen on cutting-migration-risks-australia-s-middle-power-clout
• Shane Wright on food-inflation-is-a-bigger-issue-than-oil-and-the-reserve-bank-knows-it
• Mark the Graph on three-failures-behind-rbas-narrow-path
• Andrew Cullen on shares-in-this-data-centre-company-are-down-40-as-investors-lose-faith-in-the-ai-story
• Nicki Hutley on three-things-the-albanese-government-could-do-right-now-to-make-people-feel-better-off
• Patrick Commins on jim-chalmers-hard-choices-economy-inflation-unemployment
• Dominic Ahiaga-Dagbui on why-snowy-hydros-25-billion-cost-blowout-is-a-warning-sign-for-other-megaprojects
• Michael Bachelard on ben-roberts-smith-s-2gb-interview-fact-checked

OZ Climate

• south-australia-unveils-13-gigawatts-of-new-wind-and-solar-projects-to-propel-it-way-beyond-100-pct-net-renewables
  
• wandering-towards-dystopia-csiro-scientists-want-open-discussion-of-climate-impacts-before-its-too-late
  
• two-distressed-and-heavily-curtailed-solar-farms-sold-for-a-song-will-the-battery-bust-be-next
  
• tiny-solar-project-stuck-between-a-dam-and-snowy-2-0-as-angry-and-weary-locals-say-no-more
  
• rooftop-pv-wind-solar-and-batteries-bring-down-prices-despite-record-demand-over-winter
  
• very-disappointing-snowy-confirms-pumped-hydro-costs-double-again-to-a-possible-25bn-hit-with-more-delays
  
• batteries-start-to-drive-up-midday-prices-outstripping-the-fall-in-evening-peaks
  
• recap-3-0-doesnt-answer-the-biggest-questions-about-snowys-25-billion-plus-pumped-hydro-gamble
  
• snowy-profits-steady-amid-pumped-hydro-strains-while-ceo-barnes-sees-his-take-home-benefits-sink-below-2-million
  
• Andrew Blakkers on snowy-2-0-was-never-going-to-be-cheap-but-it-will-be-much-cheaper-than-relying-on-batteries-for-storage
• Adam Morton and Petra Stock on energy-snowy-hydro-2-power-project-costing-explainer

Northern America

• Menzie Chinn on the-term-spread-and-the-case-of-the-missing-2024-recession
• noahpinion on why-are-we-ruled-by-barbarians 
• Kruggers on ai-rising-inequality-and-rising-oligarchy, donald-trump-is-politically-bankrupt-be-very-afraid, the-traitor-in-chief, trump-is-destroying-americans-healthcare, its-time-to-take-starlink-away-from-elon-musk, the-starlink-ukraine-scandal-phase-2
• Nick Miroff and Nancy Youseff on army-wife-ice-deportation-texas
• Tom Nicholls on america-is-now-an-ally-of-russia
• Alex Tabarrok on no-datacenters-are-not-crowding-out-other-investments
• Brad De Long on spending-on-tokens-chart-of-the-day, crosspost-robert-rubin-in-six-decades-in-public-life-I'd-never-thought-I-I'd-have-to-write-this
• Phillips O'Brien on time-for-a-reality-check Thanks Kruggers 
• David Graham onwhat-trump-france-protest-comments-reveal
• Brian O'Neill on foreign-threats-us-elections-maturing 
• Harry Litman on thats-not-a-thing
• Jared Wesley on albertans-soundly-vote-to-stay-in-canada-many-are-asking-why-they-had-to-vote-in-the-first-place
• David Kaye on trump-accountability-legal-acts-impeachment-guide
• David Frum on trump-budget-deficit-debt
• home and away on shameful
• David Lurie on trump-putin-deal-ukraine
• David Kurz on dojs-list-of-noncitizen-voters-exposed-as-crap
• Jeet Heer on trump-corruption-midterms , ilhan-omar-raid-trump-reaction 
• Richard Hasen on 2026-midterm-news-doj-alaska-trump-fraud
• Anne Applebaum on trump-oil-venezuela-exploitation 
• 
  

Europe

• Felix Martin on why-europe-could-be-real-winner-ai-boom Thanks Nick
• Kruggers on is-europe-losing-the-future
• Anthony King on is-the-us-limiting-starlink-in-ukraine-the-consequences-could-be-catastrophic
• Marina Yusupova-Ryder on how-the-geopolitical-stigma-associated-with-putins-russia-is-affecting-ordinary-russians
• Tracey German on sodcit-after-battlefield-setbacks-russia-returns-to-destroying-ukraines-morale
• Peter McPhee on as-french-protests-escalate-into-riots-they-may-prove-a-gift-for-marine-le-pens-right-wing-party
• Chris Dillow on on-legacy-ideas
• Tyler Cowen on how-long-do-wealth-shocks-persist-less-than-three-generations-in-england-1700-2026
• noahpinion on france-and-the-limits-of-liberalism

Asia

• Isel Van Zyl on the-houthi-threat-that-saudi-arabia-couldn-t-end
• Ayesha Jehangir on naza-harrowing-documentary-shows-how-killing-in-gaza-became-just-another-days-work
• Isaac Chotiner on behind-the-settler-attack-on-palestinians-and-a-washington-post-journalist
• Vania Widodo on southeast-asia-who-gets-to-call-haze-a-disaster
• Ved Shinde on china-s-invitation-to-us-students-could-be-a-way-to-rewrite-relations 
• Nicholas Niarchos on yemen-the-endless-siege-the-yemen-model-stark
• Tamir Sorek on palestinian-citizens-face-a-painful-choice-in-israels-election-to-vote-or-not

Wonk

• institutional economics on bonds-redux-always-be-shorting-the-economist
• Paul Graham on two kinds of moderate Thanks Nick
• fake nous on you-dont-agree-with-karl-popper Thanks Nick
• corey robins on eichmann-in-the-ivy-league Thanks Nick
• alexander thompson on exam-of-the-month-all-souls-prize Thanks Nick
• Adrian Pabst on the-varieties-of-postliberalism Thanks Nick
• Tim Harford on ai-can-forecast-the-future-should-we-let-it
• Olga Boichek on ukraines-drone-strikes-on-russian-data-centres-may-change-how-we-see-disinformation
• noahpinion on can-a-million-ai-agents-create-superintelligence 
• Menzie Chinn on insurance-for-ai-hyperscaler-debt-et-al
• Tyler Cowen on the-net-fiscal-impact-of-immigration-should-include-gains-from-trade
• mainly macro on the-decline-of-knowledge-based-policy-and-the-economics-nobel 
• the conversable economist on a-supply-shock-era

General

• Rachel King on hordes-of-yabbies-are-trashing-rivers-in-africa-how-did-this-happen
• James Roberts on guide-to-the-classics-bemused-by-the-contemporary-world-the-red-and-the-black-might-be-just-the-friend-you-need

Climate

• open mind on how-fast-is-earth-warming, sea-surface-temperature-the-most-obvious-acceleration
• skeptical science on strongest-el-nino-in-a-1000-years?, new_research
• mohyu on september-global-surface-templs-down-from-august

Andrew Gelman ( mostly stats)

• why-do-we-like-wind-chimes
  
• I write to seek your help
• death-and-taxes-taking-causal-inference-into-the-real-world
  
• the-paper-creates-the-impression-that-a-certain-intervention-is-effective-while-in-fact-the-evidence-suggests-otherwise
  
• in-the-belly-of-the-whale-portraits-from-a-fractured-israel 
  
• survey-statistics-textbooks-adding-non-probability-sampling-chapters
  
• legit-political-reporters-use-data-journalism-techniques-to-catch-fake-pollsters-at-wedgewood-polls
  
• from-2022-my-exchange-with-yann-lecun-about-killer-robots
  
• how-to-get-the-most-out-of-bayesian-data-analysis
  
• a-big-problem-with-conventional-experimentation-or-a-b-testing-is-that-the-treatment-effect-can-vary-over-time-and-it-can-depend-on-the-entire-history-of-the-treatment-usual-comparisons-miss-this-po
  
• Kaiser Fung on theyre-coming-for-your-subway-stop, replicating-science

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• Tyler Cowen on this-beautiful-country, what-ive-been-reading
• Andrew Gelman on in-the-belly-of-the-whale-portraits-from-a-fractured-israel 
• 
  

Vox Wonk

• mortality-costs-of-climate-change 
  
• never-let-good-crisis-go-waste-term-limits-and-banking-reforms 
  
• fiscal-consolidation-temporary-costs-versus-lasting-scars 
  
• letting-ai-agents-write-econometric-code 
  
• forward-guidance-and-limits-of-public-information 
  
• here-there-and-everywhere-remote-work-and-employment-disabled-and-older-workers-uk
  
• taming-original-sin-redux-role-benchmark-driven-flows 
  
• what-happens-innovation-after-big-tech-buys-startup 
  
• kyiv-love-and-savings-defence-win-win-europe-and-ukraine 
  
• mind-gap-bringing-eu-debt-stability-and-growth-pact 
  
• establishment-level-evidence-californias-fast-food-minimum-wage
  

Let us get it right on Haines attacker

 I see here and overseas people on the far right are alleging the criminal who has thus far caused Haines to lose two legs is a far left terrorist.

Huh.

Firstly if he was say active about being pro-palestine and the environment why in the hell would he run over Haines, It would make more sense to run over Hanson given her views not Haines. ( Yes I know it makes no sense but you know what I mean.)

Secondly if he was a terrorist he would be doing it for ideological reasons and thus Haines would have strong views diametrically opposed to what he believes and that simply is  not true.

Lastly his parents are friends of Haines. On the surface it makes no sense.

Now we find out he is suffering.

The evidence thus far suggests is is personal and irrational.

It reminds me of similar people rushing to the conclusion that the Bondi massacre was due to palestinian  protests when one link to ISIS would show you ISIS hates palestine!