Around the Traps 27/3/26

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Tanya Murphy on when-matter-goes-investigation-what-means-doesnt Thanks Nick
• Mark the Graph on why-housing-is-primarily-supply-problem , australias-oil-reserve-in-america
• Susan Sawyer on early-wins-for-the-social-media-ban-new-survey-claims-but-the-full-picture-is-far-more-complicated
• Tom McIlroy on superannuation-should-be-used-for-aged-care-not-inherited-by-next-generation-aged-care-ceo-says
• Rob Manwaring on one-nations-surge-and-liberal-partys-collapse-in-sa-election-reveal-tectonic-shifts-in-australian-politics
• Tony Barry on south-australian-election-voters-frustrated-angry-one-nation
• Antony Green on sa2026-some-early-observations-on-the-result
• Bec Strating and Elise Stephenson on security-gap-australia-can-t-afford-ignore
• Rod Sims on australian-gas-companies-massive-profits-paying-minimal-tax
• Hazel Moir on prosecco-makers-lose-out-as-australia-seals-eu-free-trade-deal-after-8-long-years-of-talks
• Taul Harper on our-interest-in-electric-vehicles-has-grown-due-to-oil-price-spikes-and-its-likely-to-remain
• David Vallance on conventional-icbms-could-end-australia-s-geographic-sanctuary
• Christian Downie on fake-news-on-everything-from-whales-to-wind-farms-australia-is-flooded-with-climate-misinformation
• Zareh Ghazarian on one-nation-surge-2-0-this-time-there-are-structural-issues-at-play
• Zhara Shahhoseini on australia-must-brace-for-clusters-of-natural-disasters-not-just-isolated-fires-and-floods
• Greg Jericho on australia-inflation-profit-margins-fuel-crisis-supply-chain-shock
• Shane Wright on let-s-not-adopt-drongo-economics-to-deal-with-high-priced-fuel
• Mark Melatos on compulsory-super-is-higher-than-ever-at-12-but-cutting-it-would-hurt-low-paid-workers-most
• Brent Jackson on eu-australia-fta-plays-long-game-critical-minerals-no-short-cuts

OZ Climate

• from-shuttered-coal-plant-to-gigascale-battery-agl-begins-commissioning-of-liddell-bess
  
• why-some-of-australias-energy-market-conventions-should-go-the-way-of-the-dinosaurs
  
• massive-step-state-inks-deals-to-deliver-more-than-1-gw-of-new-wind-power-ahead-of-mass-coal-exodus
  
• pressure-mounts-to-power-up-energy-efficiency-to-unplug-households-from-global-energy-shocks
  
• green-light-for-network-big-battery-sent-to-regulator-by-interstate-and-long-distance-objectors\
  
• diesel-replacement-australias-billion-dollar-opportunity-to-electrify-cut-global-fossil-ties
  
• how-climate-and-renewables-disinformation-networks-are-fuelling-a-major-national-security-threat
  
• gas-shortage-warnings-pushed-out-again-as-big-battery-boom-and-electrification-take-fresh-bite-from-demand
  
• hormuz-is-a-warning-australias-oil-problem-is-its-electrification-gap
  
• a-slam-dunk-rio-tinto-gets-2-billion-lifeline-to-shift-massive-smelter-from-costly-coal-to-firm-renewables
  
• a-home-battery-case-study-from-little-interest-in-storage-to-bills-that-are-always-in-credit
  
• Andrew Blakkers on oil-reserves-last-for-weeks-solar-panels-last-for-decades
• Patrick Commins on australia-generation-alpha-faces-185k-bill-over-lifetime-without-urgent-action-on-climate-crisis-report-finds
• Adam Morton on if-one-nation-wants-to-be-a-serious-political-player-barnaby-joyce-needs-to-get-his-facts-straight-on-the-climate-crisis

Northern America

• Bryan Walsh on iran-strait-hormuz-gas-prices-oil-natural-gas-fertilizer-food
• Kruggers on how-to-burn-less-oil , adventures-in-fantasy-diplomacy , treason-in-the-futures-markets , the-war-on-wind-continues
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-is-immigration-bad-for-america
• Mark Stern on alito-supreme-court-trump-voter-fraud-lies
• Peter Werner on trump-maga-conservatism
• renew economy on trumps-latest-bid-to-snuff-out-offshore-wind-pay-firms-not-to-build-it
• noahpinion on there-isnt-always-a-long-arc-of-morality
• the conversable economist on interview-with-erika-mcentarfer-firings-and-federal-statistics , the-growth-of-big-business-1900-2020
• Rodney Tiffen on trump-is-remaking-the-us-media-in-his-own-image-and-smashing-accountability-with-it
• Eric Levitz on iran-war-trump-george-w-bush-tucker-carlson-rogan
• Jonathan Chait on republican-hawks-israel-iran
• Eliot Cohen on iran-war-reveals-american-weakness
• Isaac Chotiner on how-donald-trump-may-have-sabotaged-his-chances-for-a-deal-with-iran
• home and away on michael-dukakis-had-a-point
• Barno Nouri and Inderjeet Parma on donald-trumps-new-15-point-plan-is-the-biggest-sign-yet-that-washington-fears-it-is-losing-this-war
• David Remnick on the-first-casualty-of-trumps-war-in-iran-was-the-truth

Europe

• Guy Hedgcoe on multiple factors caused  2025 blackout in spain and portugal
• Lisa Martin on denmark-votes-amid-smouldering-us-alliance
• Menzie Chinn on the-ecb-and-its-watchers-xxvi
• Jonathan Lemire and Simon Schuster on nato-iran-war-trump-russia

Asia

• Mathew Powell on why-iran-is-attacking-gulf-energy-infrastructure
• Ian Werely on the-west-has-long-characterized-irans-oil-as-a-prize-to-be-claimed
• Natalie Klein on how-the-law-of-naval-warfare-applies-to-the-strait-of-hormuz
• noahpinion on china-is-quietly-looking-weaker
• Patrick Wintour on ran-war-conflict-middle-east-trump-israel
• Rodger Shanahan on trump-and-netanyahu-have-formed-a-convenient-coalition-behind-it-are-clear-divisions
• Vincent Durac on how-active-have-irans-proxy-groups-been-since-the-start-of-the-war
• Henry Storey on india-s-cautious-embrace-trade
• Jessica Genauer on iran-cant-win-this-war-but-it-can-force-a-us-retreat-using-these-4-insurgency-tactics
• Marianne Hanson on israel-wants-to-destroy-irans-nuclear-program-but-should-it-have-nuclear-weapons-itself
• Jason Reifler on iran-war-lacks-strategy-goals-legitimacy-and-support-in-the-us-and-around-the-world
• Iain Boyd on how-far-can-irans-ballistic-missiles-reach-a-defense-expert-explains-how-the-missiles-work-and-what-iran-can-and-cant-hit
• Neve Gordon on the-gaza-doctrine-iran-lebanon
• Ian Philbrick on iran-war-donald-trump-news-israel

Wonk

• the unpopulist on marco-rubio-gets-western-civilizations-defining-features-all -wrong Thanks Nick
• lament for nations on fukuyamas-schmitt-posting Thanks Nick
• the fitzstack on the-manosphere-as-a-monument-to-progressive-cultural-power Thanks Nick
• ACD on most-work-is-translation Thanks Nick
• for a new democracy on whos-afraid-of-citizens-assemblies Thanks Nick
• persuasion on how-trans-activism-became-so-radical Thanks Nick
• Mark the Graph on energy-costs-are-rising
• Tina Hunter on why-middle-east-gas-field-attacks-could-send-energy-prices-soaring
• Lauren Hall et al on fines-alone-wont-stop-big-tech-behaving-badly-heres-what-might-work
• Mathew Burkholder on evangelical-holy-war-why-some-christians-think-trump-will-end-the-world
• Eric Sand on strategy in the new missile age  Thanks Tyler
• Brad De Long on crosspost-paul-ford-the-ai-disruption-we-have-been-waitimg-for-has-arrived
• Laura Panza on this-is-how-the-1970s-oil-shock-played-out-there-are-lessons-for-the-economy-today
• Jane Kelsey on a-crucial-meeting-aims-to-remake-the-wto-to-fit-the-new-global-order
• Nancy Yousef and Missy Ryan on iran-us-asymmetrical-war
• Adam Hanieh on bottling-the-world-economy-hormuz-gulf
• Sanchari Ghosh on quad-s-coherence-problem
• Chris Dillow on on-advertising-bias
• Rob Nicholls on meta-and-google-just-lost-a-landmark-social-media-addiction-case-a-tech-law-expert-explains-the-fallout
• noahpinion on the-economic-consequences-of-the-iran-war , ai-has-the-worst-sales-pitch-ive-seen
• the conversable economist on when-keynes-did-not-win-the-nobel-peace-prize
• Yogi Febriandi on harnessing-islamic-philanthropy-save-lives-andaman-sea

General

• Darius Sepehri on what-is-nowruz-the-iranian-new-year
• Dan Rockmore on in-defense-of-algebra-paul-lockhart

Climate

• John Cook et al on do-middle-earth-and-westeros-make-sense-climate-scientists-modelled-them-to-find-out
• ocean acidification on ocean-acidification-disrupts-the-biomineralization-process-in-the-oyster-crassostrea-virginica-via-intracellular-calcium-signaling-dysregulation-2 , co2-rise-modulates-the-physiological-performance-of-the-diatoms-thalassiosira-pseudonana-and-thalassiosira-weissflogii-to-light-challenge
• Andrew King on the-latest-world-climate-report-is-grim-but-its-not-the-end-of-the-story
• skeptical science on blue-ca-red-texas-green-power , fact-brief-windsyndrome , new_research

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• nutpie-state-of-the-art-mass-matrix-adaptation-for-hmc
  
• claimed-100-sensitivity-and-specificity-in-differentiating-autistic-individuals-from-typically-developing-controls-using-retinal-photographs-yeah-right
  
• space-mirrors-awesome-solution-to-our-energy-problems-or-ridiculous-public-relations-stunt
  
• how-earthquake-safe-are-vancouver-condos
  
• false-claims-in-a-published-no-corrections-no-consequences-welcome-to-the-business-school
  
• survey-statistics-individualism-and-the-cv-noise-problem
  
• notation-corner-when-you-have-several-different-expressions-that-are-mathematically-equivalent-you-dont-have-to-choose-just-one
  
• what-major-works-of-literature-were-written-after-age-of-85-75-65
  
• considering-some-anti-bayesian-arguments-in-the-context-of-fda-draft-guidance-for-the-use-of-bayesian-methods-in-clinical-trials
  
• frank-harrell-on-why-and-how-to-do-bayes-for-clinical-trials-and-the-recent-fda-draft-guidelines
  
• statschat on cars-vs-public-transport , as-and-when-it-looks-supportive
• Kaiser Fung on guide-to-using-pairs-of-circles
• freakometrics on a scalable toolbox for exposing indirect discrimination in insurance rates

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• Tim Harford on the-link-between-material-and-moral-flourishing-is-real
• open mind on project-hail-mary
• stoat on book-review-case-against-education

vox wonk

• cbdc-neutrality-bank-liquidity-and-hybrid-nature-bank-deposits 
  
• beyond-cost-cutting-how-foundational-process-innovations-drive-sustained-growth 
  
• ageing-china-chinas-pension-reform-debate-enters-new-phase 
  
• our-underappreciated-international-reserve-system 
  
• business-investment-era-digital-transformation
  
• economic-consequences-low-skilled-immigration-sudden-stop-evidence-koreas-guest
  
• dollarisation-waves-insights-bis-international-bond-database
  
• subsidising-supply-chain-how-chinas-industrial-policy-shapes-export-competitiveness 
  
• remote-work-can-blunt-fertility-decline
  
• rise-and-fall-eu-labour-shortages-recent-developments-and-some-forward-looking 
  
• how-interest-rates-affect-spending-household-debt-and-role-asset-prices  
  
• preparing-new-g20-alignment
  

Inflation

 the ABS released our monthly inflation rate. There was both good and bad news. The bad news was inflation barely budged at an annual rate. the good news is that for the second month inflation annualised was running within the RBAs target.

The other bad news was Trump's fooly of declaring war on Iran. This has raised the price of petrol. Because  it is ubiquitous it is like the GST being being raised. I think we can safely say the next CPI will show inflation above 4% and it rising to above 5% this year.

For history read THIS.

A supply side shock like this will cause a recession and the RBA reaction almost guarantees this. Rates wil almost certainly be raised in May and perhaps again after that.

This year is going to be tough!

Gerard Henderson watch

 Since the failure of catallaxy I have had no-one to examine like I could with Sinclair Davidsons absurdums.

However starting today I wil levery so often look at what Gerard Henderson is saying. It is almost always about the ABC.

For those who do not know of him he was the man who coined the Industrial relations club expression. This view has been controversial however I am sympathetic to the view. Henderson became Howard's chief of staff. He later essentially remade the Sydney Institute.

He recently made comments about Peter Hartcher on Insiders. He was quite critical that Hartcher said the vietnam war and the US invasion of Iraq were illegal just like the war on Iran. My guess is Hendo is saying the Gulf of Tonkin incident was fair dinkum, Most people believe it was made up making the war illegal.

Bush attempted to go through the UN in his desire to invade Iraq however he gave up. The USA invaded Iraq when it was under no threat from Iraq and it had no weapons that could pose a threat ( you know the alleged weapons of mass destruction. Few people believed the war had any legality.

I have yet to see any argument that the war with Iran has any legality at all.

Our Gerry doesn't like Grace Tame. He claimed the expression globalise the intifada is an expression of violence if not of murdering jews. He talks of jews being killed in both intifadas. No mention of palestinians being killed however even though their number far outweighed those of Israelis. No mention of the causes of the intifadas one or two.

Gerry does not elaborate on exactly how jews in australia could be killed. Indeed he does not elaborate on how an intifada could exist here.

I should add in ending he hates interviews at the ABC he claims  be soft yet quite easily the softest interview I have ever seen ( if you can call it an interview) was when Sharri Markson interviewed the Israeli PM who still is an indicted war criminal. our Gerry was mute.

what is happening in the middle east

 Clearly when Trump declared an illegal war on Iran he had no idea of what could occur in the strait of hormuz despite being told!

Trump wildy said he would obliterate Iran's energy infrastructure if tankers were not allowed to pass through.  See HERE for example.Trump really has no idea of the hurt Iran wants to do to the USA through the restrictions on oil and the rest. He and Israel has decimated the ruling structure of Iran thus why would they want to accommodate him?

Iran knows the political weakness Trump has regarding petrol prices thus their concentration on asymmetric warfare.

We also know that Trump lies like there is no tomorrow so I do not believe there is any talking between Iran and the USA. Trump now has time to come up with a reason to declare victory and get out. I should add Tr0mmp loves his own voice and has no self awareness and thus does not realise how incoherent he is and he believes his own lies. A terrible combination.

Iran scents blood and wants revenge a lot of revenge. Can Trump avert this. I doubt it.

If you vote a moron into office then you have to face the consequences !!

Oz Stuff

 SA

Well the ALP romped home see also Tony Barry  but it was a bad result.unless the ALP self-destruct there cannot be a change of government at the nest election. This is bad for democracy! The Liberals were decimated by one nation who actually had the second highest amount of votes.If one nation are consistent at one thing it is self destruction which seems always to happen after they get people elected to parliament. Why? I suspect part of the explanation is they do not want to be told to do things by something who is extremely stupid!

I think the main story is the biggest thing going for the the ALP is one nation taking part of the LNP vote hence i think they will start targeting them. This will be hard because they have few policies and you cannot simply say they are racist.

Petrol

Same old same old. People are panicking mainly the cow cockies and miners and then complain about supply. I suspect this problem will be around for some time simply because Trump has no idea about it. He di not understand this would occur despite being told about the dangers and has no idea of how to solve it.

Albo needs to make some phone calls where he says if you give us no petrol we won't give you any resources!

Victoria

One nation might allow the ALP to continue to govern after their election in november. This would be a travesty. Victoria desperately needs a change of government. It would be terrible if one nation stopped this. It could be worse if they were involved in government!

Weather Report

 Weather Report was a jazz rock band and pretty good.

Around the Traps 20/3/26

It is time for Around the Traps again.   This has been compromised by something that occurred on my computer!

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• kvetch on was-white-australia-an-aberration thanks nick
• Mark the Graph on australias-fuel-reserves
• Mark the Ballot on aggregated-polling
• Kieran Hardy and Rebecca Wickes on we-cant-coerce-our-way-to-social-cohesion-heres-what-else-governments-should-be-doing
• John Quiggin on what-does-labor-stand-for-itself
• Antony Green on do-greens-voters-follow-how-to-votes
• John Hawkins on rba-narrowly-votes-to-lift-interest-rates-the-middle-east-war-may-determine-if-theres-more-to-come
• Robert Finkeldey on new-study-shows-global-democracy-hasnt-been-this-bad-since-1978-australia-should-be-worried
• Mark Beeson on australias-strategic-infantilisation-by-the-us-is-undermining-our-security-in-asia
• Nicki Hutley on rba-interest-rate-hike-australia-inflation-economy
• Daniel Flitton on trump-says-america-needs-no-one-s-help-australia-included
• Greg Jericho on australian-government-gas-industry-iran-war-fuel-crisis
• Hussein Dia on electric-vehicles-what-to-know-if-youre-considering-an-ev
• Kurt Sengul and Jordan McSwiney on what-does-one-nation-actually-believe-in
• Warwick Smith on is-the-capital-gains-tax-discount-an-act-of-intergenerational-bastardry
• Brent Jackson on australia-s-fuel-crisis-we-told-you-so

OZ climate

• brilliant-economics-offtake-deal-seals-delivery-of-australias-biggest-solar-battery-hybrid-project
  
• graph-of-the-day-batteries-overtake-gas-in-morning-peaks-in-australias-most-advanced-renewable-grid
  
• rise-of-the-big-orange-blob-australias-biggest-batteries-change-the-game-in-its-largest-isolated-grid
  
• fresh-blow-to-queensland-renewables-as-china-giant-scraps-plan-for-big-battery-called-in-by-state-lnp
  
• want-a-transition-with-less-transmission-and-cheaper-bills-new-report-says-offshore-wind-the-best-bet
  
• nsw-finesses-plan-to-boost-solar-battery-hybrids-as-it-prepares-massive-new-tenders-to-replace-coal
  
• australia-needs-to-kick-its-diesel-habit-and-a-timetable-to-electrify-machines-that-run-on-imported-oil
  
• how-australias-most-populous-state-can-quit-household-gas-while-also-cutting-electricity-demand
  
• home-battery-rebate-changes-could-mean-price-difference-of-thousands-of-dollars-regulator-warns 
  
• how-australias-most-populous-state-can-quit-household-gas-while-also-cutting-electricity-demand
  
• australia-needs-to-kick-its-diesel-habit-and-a-timetable-to-electrify-machines-that-run-on-imported-oil
  
• aemo-is-a-product-of-the-90s-its-governance-needs-to-reflect-the-world-were-in-now
  
• reversion-to-the-mean-corporate-ppa-market-cools-but-still-packs-a-punch
  
• more-wind-and-batteries-raise-hopes-for-electricity-bill-cuts-but-fossil-fuel-woes-could-still-bite
  
• what-fossil-madness-is-this-wars-cant-interrupt-flow-of-wind-and-the-sun-but-all-we-hear-is-drill-baby-drill
  
• Saman Gorgi on remote-communities-are-more-vulnerable-to-fuel-price-shocks-could-microgrids-help

Northern America

• David Smith on why-donald-trump-is-losing-the-war-at-home
• Kruggers on costs-and-benefits-from-the-new-energy , no-america-is-not-respected , is-it-time-to-drive-55-again
• Dahlia Lithwick on lie-trump-birthright-citizenship-supreme-court-case
• Brad De Long on crosspost-horace-dediu-the-most-brilliant-in-corporate-history
• Zack Beauchamp on joe-kent-iran-war-resign-trump-antisemitism
• Christopher Ingraham on democracy-trump-russia-putin-dictator-report
• Thomas Wright on iran-victory-trump 
• the conversable economist on the-us-postal-service-hits-its-debt-ceiling
• Kruggers on donald-trump-petropresident , a-whiff-of-stagflation
• new deal democrat on the-impact-of-the-iran-war-oil-price-spike-on-stagflation
• Anne Applebaum on trump-iran-war-allies
• Pegah Banihashemi and Paul Poast on why-iran-regime-wont-surrender
• Christina Cauterucci on cesar-chavez-dolores-huerta-sexual-abuse-allegations-2026
• Franklin Foer on trump-iran-democracy-protest

Europe

• Ben Seymour and Eszter Simon on why-the-next-escalation-in-the-iran-conflict-could-be-between-the-us-and-turkey
• Joshua Keating on iran-war-oil-russia-ukraine-putin
• Doug Muir on imperia-a-european-culture-story-part-3-and-last
• Chris Dillow on housing-costs-now-vs-1939

Asia

• Sanam Mahoozi on iran-and-the-arabian-peninsula-depend-on-desalination-plants-to-survive-why-water-has-become-a-target
• renew economy on no-wind-farms-in-china-trump-claim-torched-by-record-year-of-new-wind-capacity-mostly-in-china
• Feraz Ockali and Yelena Biberman on other-war-world-ignoring
• Saqlain Rizve on bengali-identity-changing-across-india-bangladesh
• James Dwyer on is-israel-running-low-on-missile-interceptors-how-long-can-it-withstand-irans-retaliatory-attacks
• Hassan Golipour and Mohammad Farzenargen on real-estate-powered-dubais-rise-as-a-magnet-for-expats-can-its-brand-survive-this-war
• Henry Storey on behind-japan-s-us-investment-pledge-china-problem
• Amin Saikal on as-the-war-drags-on-what-does-victory-look-like-for-the-us-israel-and-iran
• Amir Arian on of-fire-and-rain-iran-war
• Orly Noy on longing-for-my-tehran-iran-war
• Ruth Margalit on israels-gulf-state-gamble-in-the-iran-war
• Sudarsan Raghavan on the-limits-of-irans-proxy-empire
• Mohd Yunus on the-interpreter/southeast-asia-paying-environmental-price-rare-earth-boom
• Robert Walker on beware-long-reach-iran-war-asia-s-food-systems
• Patrick Wintour on ignorance-misunderstanding-obfuscation-iran-nuclear-talks-trump
• home and away on the-strait-of-hormuz-it-must-be-open-for-all-or-closed-for-all
• Mariam Farida on as-israel-invades-again-lebanon-faces-more-turmoil-and-possible-civil-war-here-are-3-ways-this-could-go
• Jing Ge on japan-s-bid-build-de-chinafied-rare-earth-supply-system-australia-brazil-board

Wonk

• riggery pokery on theyre-taking-the-peace Thanks Nick
• Quay Ma on design-is-the-new-political-economy thanks nick
• Craig Newman et al on citizens in democratic countries have more benevolent traits less malevolent traits  and greater well being  Thanks Nick
• Uri Gal on tech-companies-are-blaming-massive-layoffs-on-ai-whats-really-going-on
• Zachary Aman on oil-petrol-gasoline-a-chemical-engineer-explains-how-crude-turns-into-fuel
• noahpinion on the-future-isnt-what-it-used-to-be , the-revenge-of-macroeconomics , save-us-digital-cronkite
• Marcus Colla on mirror-future
• Uri Gai on tech-companies-are-blaming-massive-layoffs-on-ai-whats-really-going-on
• Lyndsey Collins-Praino on largest-ever-parkinsons-study-shows-how-symptoms-differ-between-men-and-women
• the conversable economist on the-wealth-of-nations-whats-it-all-about , snapshots-of-cross-border-financial-centers
• Brad De Long on rashomon-ai-fear-hype-and-platform-power
• Shannon Bosch on attacks-on-hospitals-are-surging-in-war-zones-what-do-the-laws-of-war-say-about-protecting-them
• James Quach on a-world-first-quantum-battery-charges-faster-when-it-gets-bigger-but-its-tiny-and-only-lasts-nanoseconds
• Gockay Balci and Ebru Surucu-Balci on from-the-strait-of-hormuz-to-malacca-global-trade-relies-almost-entirely-on-these-five-narrow-waterways
• Mark the Graph on the-most-dangerous-scenario-and-why-it-explains-this-war
• Tyler Cowen on who-profits-from-prediction-markets , some-simple-economics-of-ai
• Miah Hammond-Errey on when-war-reaches-cloud-ai-becomes-target
• understanding AI on software-didnt-eat-the-world Thanks Brad
• Mathew Burkholder on evangelical-holy-war-why-some-christians-think-trump-will-end-the-world
• Christopher Watterson on nuclear-ban-treaty-isn-t-winning-over-states-matter

General

• Tim Harford on ping-the-whatsapps-that-should-have-been-an-email

Climate

• skeptical science on iran-war-cost-of-fossil-fuel-economy ,do-middle-earth-and-westeros-make-sense , new_research
• open mind on the-does-climate-working-group
• Bill McKibben on the-iran-war-is-another-reason-to-quit-oil
• ocean acidification on contrasting-effects-of-river-and-erosion-derived-inputs-on-arctic-ocean-acidification , influence-of-ocean-warming-and-acidification-on-juveniles-of-the-true-giant-clam-tridacna-gigas-and-its-microalgal-symbionts
• real climate on the-puzzling-pleistocene

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• the-effect-of-high-tech-statistical-analysis-on-the-p-values-of-top-researchers
  
• the-paradox-of-derivatives-and-integrals
  
• its-speciation-time
  
• which-means-that-im-qualified-to-write-books-on-the-topic-and-go-on-npr-regularly-and-give-ted-talks-and-advise-the-government-but-thats-about-it
  
• more-reasons-to-hate-on-prediction-markets
  
• fascist-academics-today-and-communist-academics-in-the-1930s-1950s
  
• survey-statistics-individualism-doesnt-work-even-when-weighted
  
• i-disagree-with-the-wikipedia-definition-of-bayesian-statistics-the-merriam-webster-definition-is-much-better
  
• a-data-model-is-not-just-a-likelihood
  
• the conversable economist on statgpt-the-dangers-of-asking-ai-about-statistics
• freakometrics on decomposing probabilistic scores
• Kaiser Fung on getting-metrics-right-is-half-the-battle
• statschat on trashed

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• Gaby Hinscliff on power-to-the-people Thanks Nick
• econjeff on book-great-oom-improbable-birth-of-yoga
• James Ley et al on 5-books-to-help-you-understand-iran-recommended-by-experts
• Tyler Cowen on recession

Vox wonk

• carbon-pricing-and-inequality-understanding-distributional-costs-climate-policy 
  
• outside-how-international-manager-rotations-narrow-gender-pay-gap-and-change-cultural 
  
• how-rising-bank-lending-non-bank-financial-institutions-reallocates-credit-away-firms 
  
• safe-until-crisis-what-300-years-wars-reveal-about-government-debt-safety 
  
• europe-2050-geometries-peace-power-and-prosperity 
  
• prize-kill-management-lessons-german-air-force-wwii
  
• measuring-national-technological-trajectories-using-200-years-international-patent 
  
• causal-evidence-cost-living-shocks-how-energy-crisis-affected-energy-demand-labour 
  
• decentralisation-money-contracts-and-finance-using-blockchain
  
• forward-looking-labour-supply-lessons-polands-pension-reform
  
• tall-buildings-lead-more-compact-and-productive-cities
  
• too-fast-adjust-adoption-speed-and-permanent-cost-ai-transitions