Tuesday, 31 January 2023

My experience with State polling

 A couple of days ago I got a phone call from EMRS. They asked me which suburb i lived in and the poatcode. I told them and they said great. They wanted to do a poll on the seat of ryde for the NSW election. I told them I was not in Ryde but Epping.  The man was insistent no you are in Ryde.

I told him where Ryse changed into Epping and how eastwood public school had booths for both Ryde and Epping. He wanted to go ahead nevertheless. This we di until the last question which was who I voted for in the last election and who i would vote for in the next election.

I again had to tell him I do not live in the Ryde electorate. now he relented and said he would tell his supervisor!

Kevin Bonham has often told us about how useless these poll seat surveys are. My experience simply confirms this.

Monday, 30 January 2023

Covid, dying from it and with it.

 Kathy Eagar comes to our rescue to help explain what the difference is between dying from covid and dying with it.

More people dies from covid in January this year  than from the flu for the WHOLE of last year.

It needs to be taken seriously.

Sunday, 29 January 2023

NSW election should go to the ALP

 We have two polls before the NSW election on the last saturday in March.

If history is any guide the ALP will win. They will either win in a landslide, win easily or be a minority government. An easy win is possibly the clearest option.

Firstly voters come back to the government when the campaign starts. Secondly campaigns rarely make a difference and in those rare circumstances only if it is very close.

Although the present government had made a fair go of governing there is a definite smell of its time about them. Infighting only exacerbates this. Chris Minns the ALP leader has rarely made a bad step although on gambling he does look all at sea.

Let us see what happens

Thursday, 26 January 2023

Around the Traps 27/1/23

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

Northern America

Europe

Asia

Wonk

General

Climate

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats) 

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

vox wonk

Wednesday, 25 January 2023

Australia Day should NEVER be on January 26

 Governor Phillip landed at botany Bay on January 19 but di not like it and then made his way to the magnificent sydney harbour.

Australia became Australia on January 1 1901. This is the only day we should celebrate Australia day on. Any other date is absurd. We do have an absurd history


It is like celebrating your birthday on the wrong day!!

Monday, 23 January 2023

David Crosby

 David Crosby dies on the weekend.

He was a gifted musician but was 'difficult' to work  ( like our own renee geyer) with. the Byrds flicked him and
Graham Nash said at one stage he wanted nothing to do with him.

Here are two examples of him

Firstly the Byrds doing a song where the words come from the bible!


and now CSN&Y doing cinnamon girl