Wednesday 22 May 2019

Poll Problems, ALP Leadership etc

Well the POLLBLUDGER has done us all a favour by giving us most of the best articles on why the polls were wrong. Kevin Bonham's article is a MUST READ IMHO. POLLBLUDGER 11,  Mark the Ballot 11, POLLBLUDGER 111 POLLBLUDGER again
KEVIN BONHAM
Why did the ALP lose the unlosable election? Well this helps us understand.
In the irony of ironies low income and low educated people were the main reason there was a swing against the ALP!
These are the VERY people who would have gained from ALP policies. It is very hard to think they were swayed by either franking credits or negative gearing! Ben Phillips finds this ironic as well. Actually he also finds the very people who would have been hit by the policy voted for it.
Ross Gittins to the rescue as well

There is an ALP leadership contest at least I think there is.
Chris Bowen has no self awareness. He was one of the chief architects of the ALP policy which was rejected yer he though he could be leader!  I am amused about the explanation of why he decided not to stand. how does anyone know how the ALP rank and file will vote?

Albo is the clear favourite. He is apparently a great guy. Loves a beer and South Sydney. A shame he has a weakness for very fast trains.

My preference would be either Tony Burke ( although I dislike him) as he is very f good at prosecuting a case. However it seems he won't run. That being the case Jim Chalmers is a new generation leader who understands economics without being technically being an economist. Economists have a bad record in politics ever since the great Bertie Ohlin failed in Sweden
Given Morrison will have a lot of trouble funding his tax cuts he will present for the next election it follows economics will be the main subject on offer. More so as climate change increases in importance.

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