Around the Traps 17/9/21

 It is time for Around the Traps again.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Ricardian Ambivalence on the-rbas-other-taper , lowes-watershed-speech
• Greg Jericho on whether-on-covid-or-climate-it-seems-our-politicians-really-arent-like-you-and-me, australias-climate-failures-are-costing-its-economy-and-scott-morrisons-government-is-being-blamed, australias-house-prices-are-disconnected-from-reality-and-the-rba-wants-you-to-know-it-isnt-to-blame
• Julian Waters-Lynch on why-cant-australia-make-mrna-vaccines-because-we-dont-make-enough-deep-technology-companies
• Amaalie Dyda on nsw-and-victoria-admit-they-wont-get-back-to-covid-zero-what-does-this-mean-for-a-fractured-australia
• James Laurenson on why-pushing-for-an-economic-alliance-with-the-us-to-counter-chinese-coercion-would-be-a-mistake
• Albert Palazzo on risks-versus-opportunities-national-security-thinking
• Amalie Dyda on nsw-and-victoria-admit-they-wont-get-back-to-covid-zero-what-does-this-mean-for-a-fractured-australia
• Peter Wark and Lucy Morgan on were-two-frontline-covid-doctors-heres-what-we-see-as-case-numbers-rise
• renew economy on snowy-2-0-hit-by-another-blow-out-in-costs-and-consumers-will-foot-the-bill, australias-breakthrough-solar-tech-has-eye-on-rooftop-and-mega-project-markets, battery-storage-will-force-us-to-rethink-network-tariffs-and-structures
• Peter Martin on delta-is-tempting-us-to-trade-lives-for-freedoms-a-choice-it-had-looked-like-we-wouldnt-have-to-make
• Michelle Grattan on doctors-and-farmers-turn-up-heat-on-morrison-ahead-of-glasgow
• C Raina McIntyre on nsw-risks-a-second-larger-covid-peak-by-christmas-if-it-eases-restrictions-too-quickly
• Richard Holden on were-doing-well-despite-delta-but-3-major-economic-challenges-loom
• Jeff Borland on just-4-5-jobless-during-lockdowns-the-unemployment-rate-is-now-meaningless
• Alexander Gillespie on anzus-without-nz-why-the-new-security-pact-between-australia-the-uk-and-us-might-not-be-all-it-seems
• John Blaxland on why-nuclear-submarines-are-a-smart-military-move-for-australia-and-could-deter-china-further
• Patricia O'Brien on the-aukus-pact-born-in-secrecy-will-have-huge-implications-for-australia-and-the-region
• Sam Roggeveen on how-nuclear-subs-could-transform-australia-its-alliance-and-asia
• Croaking Cassandra on tightening-lvr-restrictions

Northern America

• Calculated Risk on the-rapid-increase-in-rents, cleveland-fed-key-measures-of-inflation, household-formation-drives-housing
• Jordan Weismann on biden-vaccine-mandate-right-call-5-reasons
• noahopinion on the-911-era-is-over-good, guest-post-vic-bradley-on-critical
• Beth Mole on unvaccinated-are-5x-more-likely-to-catch-delta-11x-more-likely-to-die Thanks Brad
• David Reifschneider and David Wilcox on another reason to raise the Fed's inflation target thanks Brad
• the time of monsters on robert-e-lee-loses-again Thanks Brad
• Dylan Mathews on cost-deaths-war-on-terror-afghanistan-iraq-911
• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-conservatives-abortion-constitution-roe-wade
• the conversable economist on how-poverty-changed-in-2020-mixed-measures
• Andrew Prokop on newsom-wins-california-recall-elder
• Molly Omstead on human-interest/2021/09/lee-greenwood-bible-christian-publishing
• Bryan Caplan on why-are-there-zero-republican-mega-cities Thanks Tyler
• The time of monsters on coup-and-countercoup

Europe

• stumbling and mumbling on the-politics-of-abstraction
• Mainly Macro on three-myths-about-johnsons-social-care-package
• John Sexton on  sunk-france-cries-outrage-over-snubbed-subs

Asia

• Colin Christiansen on fears-china-will-play-games-2022-winter-olympics
• Rodger Shanahan on iran-s-energy-diplomacy
• Julian Droogan and Malcolm Choat on the-talibans-rule-threatens-whats-left-of-afghanistans-dazzlingly-diverse-cultural-history
• Menzie Chinn on more-on-the-china-slowdown
• Yun Chang and Collin Koh on us-engagement-southeast-asia-how-much-will-be-enough
• Khang Vu on north-korea-s-calculated-restraint

Wonk

• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-is-policy-effective-at-promoting-the-international-role-of-the-renminbi
• Lydia Khalil on many-consequences-clear-blue-day-11-september-2001
• Tim Harford on from-the-clinical-trial-to-role-playing-games-why-do-some-ideas-arrive-so-late
• Eric Kramer on criticizing-covid-policy-is-fine-but-you-need-to-roll-up-your-sleeves-and-do-some-policy-analysis
• the conversable economist on the-covid-instant-experts
• the grumpy economist on inflation-in-shadow-of-debt
• noahopinion on its-time-for-variant-specific-boosters
• argmin on effect-size Thanks Tyler Cowen

General

• A J Mitchell on how-do-nuclear-powered-submarines-work-a-nuclear-scientist-explains

Climate

• Kim Heacox on greenland-ice-sheet-melting-fridtjof-nansen
• Douglas Eliffe and Lindsay Mathews on we-managed-to-toilet-train-cows-and-they-learned-faster-than-a-toddler-it-could-help-combat-climate-change
• Kewei Lyu et al on how-much-will-our-oceans-warm-and-cause-sea-levels-to-rise-this-century-weve-just-improved-our-estimate
• Oliver Milman on governments-falling-short-paris-climate-pledges-study
• Christina Schallenberg et al on smoke-from-the-black-summer-fires-created-an-algal-bloom-bigger-than-australia-in-the-southern-ocean
• and Then Theres Physics on the-effect-of-permafrost-on-the-zec

Andrew Gelman (mainly stats)

• whats-the-best-way-to-interact-with-a-computer-do-we-want-conversations-or-do-we-want-to-poke-it-like-a-thing
  
• progress-3
  
• public-opinion-on-vaccine-mandates-etc
  
• as-you-all-know-first-prize-is-a-cadillac-el-dorado-anyone-wanna-see-second-prize-second-prize-is-youre-governor-of-california-third-prize-is-youre-fired
  
• the-bayesian-cringe
  
• breaking-benfords-law-violations-in-california-hollywood-tv-and-movie-franchises-have-some-splainin-to-do
  
• reassessing Nate Silver's claim
• wanna-bet-a-covid-19-example
  
• comparing-collaborative-to-non-collaborative-research
  
• Kaiser Fung on the-children, the-unexpected-gift-of-a-well-conducted-study

Econometrics

• nuttin

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• unwound
  
• Institutional economics on market-monetarism-10-years-on

Vox Wonk

• wage-setting-macroeconomic-policy
  
• labour-market-implications-economic-uncertainty
  
• equity-premium-predictability-over-business-cycle
  
• impact-covid-19-global-production
  
• what-drives-house-prices-some-lessons-literature
  
• financial-innovation-today-and-tomorrow
  
• ripple-effects-monetary-policy
  
• successful-democracies-breed-their-own-support
  
• carbon-tax-cross-border-carbon-leakage-and-border-tax-adjustments
  
• fostering-fintech-financial-transformation