Around the Traps 12/3/21

 It is time for Around the Traps

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Ross Gittins on qe-is-lobster-pot, stuck-with-crappy-aged-care-because-Morrison-won't-ask-us-to-pay-for-them
• renew economy on the-ever-shrinking-role-of-gas-in-australias-power-system, agl-has-second-crack-at-rooftop-solar-market-in-bid-to-catch-up-with-energy-transition, energyaustralia-says-yallourn-coal-generator-to-close-early-in-2028, massive-3-billion-wind-solar-and-battery-project-approved-in-south-australia
• Peter Martin on you-cant-fix-the-economy-if-you-cant-see-it-how-the-abs-became-our-secret-weapon
• Mark Limb and Cameron Murray on zoning-isnt-to-blame-for-australias-soaring-house-prices
• Kevin Davis on hard-bump-ahead-drop-in-insolvencies-and-bankruptcies-is-a-ticking-time-bomb
• Institutional Economics on the-weakest-link-wages-and-inflation
• Adam Morton on outcry-at-australias-coal-plant-closures-misses-the-point-change-is-coming
• Richard Holden on timing-of-yallourns-closure-shows-its-high-time-for-a-carbon-price
• Chris Briggs on the-death-of-coal-fired-power-is-inevitable-yet-the-government-still-has-no-plan-to-help-its-workforce
• Kevin Bonham on when-federal-polls-are-50-50-oppositions-rarely-win

Northern America

• Menzie Chinn on are-market-expectations-of-inflation-rising, recent-developments-in-interest-rates-and-spreads
• the conversable economist on debt-and-deficits-nostalgia-for-1980s, the-case-for-more-activist-antitrust-policy, retail-investors-show-exuberance
• Dahlia Lithwick and Mark Stern on hr1-republicans-voting-rights-fight
• Ian Millhiser on voting-rights-georgia-arizona-voting-by-mail-republican-absentee-donald-trump
• Calculated Risk on cleveland-fed-key-measures-show-inflation-soft-in-inflation
• David Graham on end-republican-party
• run75441 on making-healthcare-affordable
• Noah Smith on how-long-will-the-covid-recession Thanks Brad
• Bess Levin on donald-trump-manhattan-da-criminal-probe

Europe

• stumbling and mumbling on the-left-after-the-budget, on-hans-in-luck-effects
• Mainly Macro on why-are-conservatives-so-bad-at-running-the-economy
• Jon Allsop on labours-leader-in-the-wilderness
• Coppolla comment on the-dismal-decade

Asia

• Bates Gill on endorsing-self-reliance-beijing-raises-geopolitical-stakes
• Adam Simpson and Nicholas Farrelly on as-killings-beatings-and-disappearances-escalate-whats-the-end-game-in-myanmar
• Roya Hakakarian on unveiling-iran
• Branko Milovanic and Max Roberts on chinas economic success
• Greg Earl on economic-diplomacy-business-coups-and-china-s-quad-response

Wonk

• Tim Harford on the-hard-lessons-of-home-schooling, why-investing-in-data-is-money-well-spent
• Barkley Rosser on is-there-no-hope-for-muslim-social-democracy
• Ken Melvin on the-role-of-the-big-lie
• and Then Theres Physics on the-social-construction-of-science
• the conversable economist on intergenerational-mobility-and-neighbourhood-effects, whats-happening-with-global-connectness-in-the-pandemic
• Croaking Cassandra on negative-rates-and-the-option-of-more
• Iona Main on smarter-use-voting-technology-stop-election-related-violence

General

• Stephen Knight on my-favourite-detective-martin-hewitt-the-cheery-yet-gritty-antidote-to-sherlock-holmes

Climate

• Skeptical Science on Peter-Brannens-Paleo-Proxy-Twitter-Thread, texas-cant-blame-renewables
• John Carr and Tema Milstein on a-manatee-with-trump-scraped-into-its-back-was-itself-disturbing-but-it-reflects-a-deeper-environmental-problem
• Desmog on half-million-people-exposed-flaring-increased-health-risks-ucla-study

Andrew Gelman (mainly stats)

• alan-sokal-on-exponential-growth-and-coronavirus-rebound
  
• this-one-pushes-all-my-buttons
  
• bayesian-methods-and-what-they-offer-compared-to-classical-econometrics
  
• what-is-the-landscape-of-uncertainty-outside-the-clinical-trials-methods
  
• there-is-such-a-thing-as-eurocentric-science
  
• ahhhh-cornell
  
• from-socrates-to-darwin-and-beyond-what-children-can-teach-us-about-the-human-mind
  
• the-presumption-of-wisdom-and-or-virtue-causes-intellectuals-to-personalize-situations-where-contending-ideas-are-involved
  
• it-was-a-year-ago-today
  
• regression-discontinuity-analysis-is-often-a-disaster-so-what-should-you-do-instead-do-we-just-give-up-on-the-whole-natural-experiment-idea-heres-my-recommendation
  
• the-social-sciences-are-useless-so-why-do-we-study-them-heres-a-good-reason
  
• no-i-dont-like-talk-of-false-positive-false-negative-etc-but-it-can-still-be-useful-to-warn-people-about-systematic-biases-in-meta-analysis
  
• Kaiser Fung on real-world-studies-how-to-interpret-them, real-world-studies-limits-of-knowledge, the-confusing-pictures-in-israel-and-in-the-israel-study, saying-it-again-timing-traps
• statschat on briefly

Econometrics

• No Hesitations on network-cluster-robust-inference
• Freakometrics on autocalibration for insurance pricing with machine learning

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

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• Michael Wesley on her-brilliant-career
• Tyler Cowen on the-scout-mindset-why-some-people-see-things-clearly-and-others-dont, what-ive-been-reading
• Peter Tregear on book-review-open-minds-explores-how-academic-freedom-and-the-public-university-are-at-risk

Vox Wonk

• informality-and-effects-trade-developing-countries
  
• firms-exporting-behaviour-countries-under-sanctions
  
• sick-stay-home
  
• what-academics-think-central-banks-current-inflation-targets-and-other-objectives
  
• mayoral-accountability-and-provision-policing
  
• politics-and-gender-executive-suite
  
• opening-k-12-schools-us-no-mask-requirement-staff-may-increase-spread-covid-19
  
• rules-based-fiscal-frameworks-under-stress
  
• health-toll-import-competition
  
• supply-chains-and-trade-flows-volatility-face-global-shocks
  
• ecb-s-green-agenda
  
• bank-performance-time-covid-19
  
• why-educated-parents-have-healthier-children-environmental-versus-genetic-factors