Film Review The Keeper

I was astonished but pleased my wife wanted to watch the movie called The Keeper which is the life story of Bert Trautmann.
As a kid who unnaturally loved football in Australia the stories of Bert Trautmann was legend. Breaking his neck but playing on in the last 20 minutes of the FA cup was the indeed the stuff of legends.Reading this and other stories in Charles Buchan;s Football Monthly or a football comic called Scorcher was a real thrill for me.

The Movie is essentially in three unequal parts .
Firstly there is Trautmann as a soldier and then POW.
Secondly we have him and his football career.
Lastly there is his first child's death.

He is traumatised by the fact he does nothing to stop a fellow soldier killing an innocent your boy. He feels this is the reason his child is killed. With the help of his wife he eventually moves on.

You do not have to be a football fan to enjoy this film as it is a bewdy. My wife loved the film and she does not like football. If you do enjoy football then the film is more enjoyable.

I highly recommend this film.

Update:

My youngest son also loved it.

What in the hell is The Energy regulator doing?

The Energy regulator is taking action against some  wind farm operators for the black out in South Australia in 2016.

Samantha Hepburn is good on this. Renew Economy is as well.

Two things stand out in this.

1. This action is at odds with the report on the incident.
2. Why has no action taken place against the owners of the coal fired power station whose units broke down because of very high temperature. It is ironic they are partly responsible for the high temperatures!)

We have to ask is there any political pressure being made here.

We do not know but this action does not add to any credibility to the energy regulator

Around the Traps 9/8/19

It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Croaking Cassandra on contemptible, interest-rates,wages-have-risen-faster-than-output-per-hour, keep-the-focus-on-monetary-policy, mixed-feelings-but-the-mpc-really-needs-to-improve-its-communications, reserve-bank-mps-part-2, fiscal-policy
• Ross Gittins on are-low-interest-rates-bad-it-depends-on-your-perspective
• Heiko Timmers on australia-should-explore-nuclear-waste-before-we-try-domestic-nuclear-power
• Stephen Duckett on we-can-cut-private-health-insurance-costs-by-fixing-how-we-pay-for-hip-replacements-and-other-implants
• Michelle Petrie et al on these-job-snob-claims-dont-match-the-evidence
• Watna Mori on png-making-sense-massacre
• John Quiggin on rethinking-nuclear, hard-cases-make-bad-laws-bad-judges-make-them-worse
• Tony Wood on gas-prices-are-set-to-stay-high-the-governments-moves-while-welcome-wont-achieve-much
• Hui Feng on the-china-trump-trade-war-has-spread-to-australia-were-now-at-risk-of-global-currency-war
• Anthony Forsyth on will-the-high-court-ruling-on-public-servants-tweets-have-a-powerful-chill-on-free-speech
• Jason Pallant and Sean Sands on death-of-the-department-store-dont-just-blame-the-internet-its-to-do-with-a-dwindling-middle-class
• Louise Grimmer and Gary Mortimer on more-than-milk-and-bread-corner-store-revival-can-rebuild-neighbourhood-ties
• renew economy on aer-sues-four-wind-farm-companies-over-south-australian-blackout, is-regulators-parting-power-play-against-wind-farms-just-a-political-stunt
• Tony Walker on as-australia-looks-to-join-a-coalition-in-iran-the-risks-are-many

Northern America

• Gregory Treverton on trump-and-question-intelligence
• noahopinion on why-kevin-williamson-is-wrong-about-povert-and-bad0behaviour
• Robert Waldmann on krugman-on-trump-and-trade-not-tariffic
• Spencer England on economy-may-be-weaker-than-generally-recognized
• Robert E Kelly on us-foreign-policy-restraint-without-retrenchment
• John Cassidy on donald-trump-and-lax-gun-laws-are-tearing-america-apart
• the conversable economist on innovation-policy-federal-support-for-r&d-falls-as-its-importance-rises
• the grumpy economist on trade-and-fed
• run 75441 on 4-out-of-5-mass-shooters-were-not-diagnosed-with-mental-iillness.
• Kruggers on trumps-china-shock, trumps-trade-quagmire-wonkish Thanks Mark
• Macroblog on what-the-wage-growth-of-hourly-workers-is-telling-us Thanks Mark
• Tim Duy on trade-wars-escalate, the-fed-cant-give-markets-the-certainty-they-desire Thanks Mark
• Richard Holden on vital-signs-blame-trump-not-china-for-the-looming-trade-and-currency-war

Europe

• Mainly Macro on fiscal-tightening-in-uk-recessions-1981-and-201-compared, does-brexit-represent-alliance-of-rentiers
• stumbling and mumbling on the-missing-backlash
• Alex Tabarrok on the-entire-german-yield-curve-is-trading-below-zero
• long and variable on lewis-goodalls-remainers-are-rubbish-conclusion

Asia

• Amanda Tattersall on the-hong-kong-protesters-have-turned-militant-and-more-strategic-and-this-unnerves-beijing
• Pooja Bhatt on what-china-s-defence-white-tells-us-about-beijing-s-regional-ambition
• the conversable economist on china-and-currency-manipulation
• Khang Vu on north-korea-still-interested-working-level-talks

Wonk

• Macromania on why-kevin-williamson-is-wrong-about-the-phillips-curve
• the conversable economist on some-thoughts-on-markups
• Menzie Chinn on purchasing-power-parity-and-real-exchange-rates
• Roland Rajah on china-us-currency-clash-whos-manipulating-who
• Tyler Cowen on has-the-time-come-and-past-for-negative-interest-rates
• Uneasy Money on irving-fisher-demolishes-the-loanable-funds-theory-of-interest
• Bank Underground on is-there-really-a-global-decline-in-the-non-housing-labour-share Thanks Mark 
• Promarket on global-declining-competition Thanks Mark
• Cacchetti and Schoenholtz on just-say-no-to-exchange-rate-intervention Thanks Mark

General

• Cynthia Mathew on viruses-arent-all-nasty-some-can-actually-protect-our-health

Climate

• David Appell on how-large-is-urban-heat-island-effect, what-rcp-is-world-actually-on
• moyhu on july-ncepncar-global-surface-anomaly-up, july-global-surface-templs-up-0033-from-july
• and Then Theres Physics on the-popper-ratio, a-little-knowledge-2
• Real Climate on how-much-co2-your-country-can-still-emit-in-three-simple-steps
• Skeptical Science on climate change made Europe's 2019 heatwave record up to 100 times more likely
• Alwyn Scott on general-electric-to-scrap-california-power-plant-20-years-early Thanks Brad
• Mark Howden on un-climate-change-report-land-clearing-and-farming-contribute-a-third-of-the-worlds-greenhouse-gases
• Arctic Sea Ice on piomas-august-2019

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• allowing-intercepts-and-slopes-to-vary-in-a-logistic-regression-how-does-this-change-the-roc-curve
• a-weird-new-form-of-scam
• are-supercentenarians-mostly-superfrauds
• you-are-invited-to-join-replication-markets
• study-finds-growth-mindset-intervention-taking-less-than-an-hour-raises-grades-for-ninth-graders
• multilevel-bayesian-analyses-of-the-growth-mindset-experiment
• Tim Harford on the-strange-power-of-the-idea-of-average
• John Cook on nearly-parallel
• statschat on business-confidence-2
• Kaiser Fung on where-is-the-app-that-makes-one-look-younger,more-grubhub-theatrics-with-yelp-as-supporting-actor

Genial Dave Giles ( econometrics)

• suggested-reading-for-august
• including-more-history-in-your-teaching
• the conversable economist on administrative-data-moves-toward-center

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• the-end-of-capitalism-as-people-knew-it
• Tyler Cowen on how-i-choose-fiction

Vox wonk

• retail-investor-leverage-and-speculation
• censorship-family-planning-and-historical-fertility-transition
• structure-global-trade-finance-very-long-run-view
• central-banks-and-reputation-risk
• how-private-prisons-affect-sentencing
• parliamentary-brexit-endgame

The Ashes are ours

Do you think that is presumptuous?  Perhaps but before I enlarge on why we will keep the ashes let us remember a few things from the first test.
We should have been our for less that 150 and we would not have made 100 had Anderson been fit
we bowled last and it is very hard to bat when you cannot win and are trying not to get out. conversely it is much easier to bowl.

Let us examine in detail why we have won the ashes.

1. England have too many players suffering a hangover from winning the World Cup. They are finding it very hard to motivate themselves after that historic win.Just remember this is all your are aiming for for four years. you climb Everest and suddenly you have to play in an Ashes series. Previous winners have lost the series just after the World Cup.
2. It is very hard to envisage England taking 20 wickets with Jimmy Anderson injured. IMHO Anderson is the best bowler i have seen of his ilk and he could play test cricket and take wickets when he is 50 playing in England.
3. Moen Ali is shot psychologically. This is occurred in the last tour of Australia and he has not recovered. Root's offspinners were more dangerous than his. They have no decent spinners.
4. Their batsman is Joe root and he simply cannot convert 50s into 100s.. Perhaps Stokes could but he appears to be suffering from a world cup hangover.

Therefore to England to recover the Ashes they need to make sufficient runs and then take 220 wickets. I cannot see it.

Oh and AFTERGROGCRICKET is the best cricket blog around.

Postscript:
Apparently root after the test with Ireland protested loudly about the pitch.It was too bowler friendly.
Mate it you get a flat wicket as you got at Egbaston then ?Steve smith gets centuries. Put a green tinge on it and smith then becomes very vulnerable.
you are an idiot!!

Abortion in NSW

We are having another debate on changing the legislation on abortion in NSW.

For all the talk of women becoming pregnant because of incest or rape this very rarely occurs.

The most common 'problem' that occurs is that two people who are not married have sex and pregnancy occurs.  Presumably neither wants to be a parent so the pregnancy is terminated.

This is the nub of the matter.  Abortion is seen as the final point of contraception.if everything else fails.

It is an utter evil concept.  That is Australia now.

Nuclear Power??

Our Hapless and hopeless Energy minister wants a parliamentary committee to examine nuclear power.

Let us help him out

Emissions
It is very good in this area HOWEVER it does use a lot of water. Where are you going to get it from?

Development

It takes a coal plant about 8-10 years to build a coal plant and something like twice as much , maybe a little less, in building a nuclear  plant.  There is a lot more regulation as would be expected.

Costs
Last time I looked nuclear energy has costs of around $120/MWh. New coal is around $80MWh whereas new Solar is below $40 MWh and could wel lbe $30 MWh by 2025.

Baseload Power

Angus Taylor says we need baseload power. ( google baseload power and john quiggin for a retort on that.). In short baseload power is only of use when State governments own the assets, This makes sense as having a lot more supply than demand means no blackouts which are electoral poison.
However when the assets are owned by the private sector It makes no sense at all.
Dispatchable power is what they want and coal, gas or nuclear energy is very poor at dispatchable power..

so Nuclear power makes no sense at all.

update:

John Quiggin
Renew Economy

Around the Traps 2/8/19

It is time again for Around the Traps

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Croaking Cassandra on overselling-past-reforms, mpc-appointments-prioritising-sex-over-expertise, where-there-is-no-vision, thoughtful-analysis-of-productivity-from-the-opposition, why-does-good-government-matter, appointing-an-mpc-worse-than-trump
• Ross Gittins on memo-pm-governing-goes-better-with-a-sharper-public-service, higher-super-good-for-fund-managers-not-for-workers
• Barry Hart on nsws-water-plan-is-not-working-but-we-can-save-the-barwon-darling
• Adam Masters on meet-reece-kershaw-the-new-afp-commissioner-hes-confronted-superiors-before-and-will-need-to-again
• Peter Martin on theres-a-reason-youre-feeling-no-better-off-than-10-years-ago-heres-what-hilda-says-about-well-being
• Peter Whiteford on are-most-people-on-the-newstart-unemployment-benefit-for-a-short-or-long-time
• Michael Pascoe on low-wages-growth-continuing Thanks Peter Whiteford
• Greg Jericho on without-a-wages-boost-we-face-a-lost-decade-of-living-standard-growth
• Charles Livingstone on the-crown-allegations-show-the-repeated-failures-of-our-gambling-regulators
• Kevin Bonham on poll-roundup-newspolls-back-but-should-anyone-care
• Michelle Grattan on high-court-challenge-to-treasurer-josh-frydenberg-under-section-44
• Robert McLaughlan on new-zealand-poised-to-introduce-clean-car-standards-and-incentives-to-cut-emissions
• Renew Economy on how-quickly-can-australia-transition-to-100-renewables, agl-buckles-in-political-heat-agrees-to-delay-closure-of-liddell
• Graeme Orr on high-court-challenge-in-kooyong-and-chisholm-unlikely-to-win-but-may-still-land-a-blow
• Nick Economou on renters-hold-the-key-to-low-voter-turn-out-at-federal-elections

Northern America

• Robert Waldmann on the-strange-anti-inflation-coalition
• Brandan O'Connor and Daniel Cooper on mueller-testimony-does-not-produce-smoking-gun-but-the-issues-it-raised-are-far-from-resolved
• Daniel Drezner on how-donald-trump-is-sanctioning-us-economy Thanks Brad
• Barkley Rosser on origin-of-2-percent-inflation-target
• Christopher Condon and Craig Torres on fed-cuts-rates-by-quarter-point-and-signals-potential-for-more Thanks Brad
• Mathew Yglesias on federal-reserve-interest-rate-cut-powel
• the conversable economist on can-market-price-housing-construction-help-low-price-affordability
• Richard Holden on vital-signs-the-battle-for-the-soul-of-the-us-democrats-thats-taking-place-before-our-eyes
• Alex Ward on trump-china-tariff-300-billion-10-percent-iphone
• Menzie Chinn on equipment-investment-capital-goods-imports-and-the-impending-slowdown-again
• Robert Waldmann on rick-wilson-his-former-party-and-1984
• Robert J Barro on trump-powell-politics-fed Thanks Mark
• Promarket on how-reforming-antitrust-can-restore-a-competitive-economy Thanks Mark
• Microeconomic insights on subsidizing-health-insurance-for-low-income-adults Thanks Mark

Europe

• Mainly Macro on there-is-no-mandate-for-no-deal
• stumbling and mumbling on johnsons-spending-challenge

Asia

• Nick Aspinall on can-taiwan-s-president-fend-populist-wave
• Amy Chew on malaysia-s-mahathir-has-no-interest-dynasty
• Peter Layton on trouble-air-tense-tuesday-northeast-asia
• James Goldrick on china-intelligence-gathering-ships-change-equation
• the conversable economist on chinas-belt-and-road-initiative
• Brad Setser on vietnam-looks-be-winning-trumps-trade-war Thanks Brad 
• Peter Walters and Naomi Smith on how-hong-kong-protesters-have-been-winning-the-battle-for-public-space
• Salagna Basu and Alexandre Dayant on china-s-aid-lend-your-money-don-t-lose-your-friend

Wonk

• Macro Mania on blanchard-and-farmer-on-phillips-curve
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-lets-forget-about-2-inflation, guest-contribution-political-pressure-on-central-banks
• Tim Harford on how-economics-can-raise-its-game
• stumbling and mumbling on against-adaptation
• Tyler Cowen on how-hard-is-it-to-stimulate-demand
• Uneasy Money on the-mendacity-of-yoram-hazony-virtue-signaler
• Eric Lonergan on cyclical-sovereignty
• the conversable economist on summer-2019-journal-of-economic-perspectives, administrative-data-moves-toward-center-stage
• Austan Goolsbee on business/federal-reserve-rate-cut Thanks Mark 
• Justin Wolfers on economics-useful-superpower-education Thanks Mark
• Raghuram Rajan on central-bank-fall-guys Thanks Mark
• Roger Farmer onwhy-rick-rieder-is-right

General

• Tony Press on importance-trust-preserving-antarctica-s-future
• Erin Hurley on bob-mueller-exits-stage

Climate

• Dan Crawford on climate-chaos
• Moyhu on comparison-of-surface-temperature, why-is-this-june-hotter , unadjusted-ghcn-v3-and-v4-global-differences-due-to-coverage-not-content
• and Then Theres Physics on climate-sensitivity-and-decadal-temperature-variability
• Hugh Saddler on national energy emissions audit
• Robert Engle et al on hedging-climate-change-news
• Peter Dorman on climate-equity-what-is-it

Andrew Gelman (mainly stats)

• the-economist-does-mister-p
• swimming-upstream-monitoring-escaped-statistical-inferences-in-wild-populations
• concerned-about-demand-effects-in-psychology-experiments-incorporate-them-into-the-design
• just-forget-the-type-1-error-thing
• i-dont-have-a-clever-title-but-this-is-an-interesting-paper
• this-is-a-case-where-frequentist-methods-are-simple-and-mostly-work-well-and-the-bayesian-analogs-look-unpleasant-requiring-inference-on-lots-of-nuisance-parameters-that-frequentists-can-bypass
• the-garden-of-forking-paths
• this-one-goes-in-the-zombies-category-for-sure
• causal-inference-workshop-at-neurips-2019-looking-for-submissions
• John Cook on data-breach-trends
• Kaiser Fung on the-facebook-data-privacy-settlement-fails-to-impress, proving-to-a-machine-that-you-are-not-a-machine

Genial Dave Giles ( econmstrics)

• aaea-meeting-2019

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• Tyler Cowen on the-great-reversal-how-america-gave-up-on-free-markets

Vox wonk

• legal-origins
• earmarked-paternity-leave-and-relative-income-within-couples
• who-are-you-going-believe-me-or-evidence-your-own-eyes
• trade-and-investment-global-economy
• investor-ideology
• hedging-climate-change-news
• perspectives-soft-power-eu-trade-policy-new-ebook
• international-evidence-forward-guidance
• potential-impact-machine-translation-foreign-trade