Wednesday 26 October 2022

the Inflation data was bad

 The ABS released the quarterly CPI data yesterday.

It was a shocker. The trimmed mean was bad as well although the weighted median less so for reasons i am unsure about.

Two things arise from this. The RBA will go harder and longer then previously thought. Perhaps they may go 50 points next tuesday but I think It will be 25 points and another 25 points in december.

The odds of a recession just increased.

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