I do like the way Brad De Long marks his beliefs to market every so often. Thus the election proves the perfect time to mark mine.
- The election campaign would be too long to help the Liberals. I was correct. Essentially this election was like 2013 in that the polls rarely changed at all.
- Morrison is not a great campaigner. I was correct. He did not gain any votes in the campaign.
- Albo would get a rails run by journos in the campaign and they would be much harder on Morrison. I was wrong. They went very hard on Albo. Sometimes they were embarrassing. Morrison rarely answered questions which in the end exacerbated concerns about him.
- Parachuting Charlton and Kenneally into Parramatta and fowler were two different propositions. Charlton was a high quality candidate whilst Kenneally vastly over-rated. Lets say I was mostly right.
- News corp , Sky after dark ( and 2GB in sydanee) would get a black eye from their blatant biased coverage. I was right on this.
- Climate change would not be the most important policy of the campaign. I was wrong big time on this. The climate wars are over. I hope the ALP understands this. They have won but others have gained.
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