Around the Traps 16/4/22

 It is time for Around the Traps again.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Croaking Cassandra on forecasting-failure
• James Ha on more-coal-fired-power-or-100-renewables-for-the-next-few-decades-both-paths-are-wrong
• Brendan Coates on housing-affordability-is-a-problem-heres-why-super-for-housing-isnt-a-solution
• Mark Kenny on as-australias-vaccination-bungle-becomes-clear-morrisons-political-pain-is-only-just-beginning
• renew economy on taylor-names-gas-industry-advocates-to-climate-change-authority-board, climate-agencies-are-being-gassified-as-australia-ramps-up-international-greenwash, faster-cheaper-cleaner-big-batteries-the-new-king-of-peaking-services, solar-switch-off-rule-to-extend-to-ev-chargers-pool-pumps-and-air-con, south-australia-to-introduce-flexible-export-option-for-rooftop-solar, south-australia-to-introduce-flexible-export-option-for-rooftop-solar
• Jim Stanford on resistance-to-raising-the-minimum-wage-reflects-obsolete-economic-thinking
• Jane Frawley on new-astrazeneca-advice-is-a-safer-path-but-its-damaged-vaccine-confidence-the-government-must-urgently-restore-it
• Greg Jericho on inflation-will-reappear-in-australia-but-that-shouldnt-mean-the-end-of-stimulus, yes-interest-rates-are-low-but-that-doesnt-mean-australian-housing-is-getting-more-affordable
• Michael O'Neil on not-wiped-out-even-after-the-collapse-of-greensill-theres-time-to-save-whyalla
• Peter Martin on home-prices-are-climbing-alright-but-not-for-the-reason-you-might-think
• Michelle Grattan on christine-holgate-presents-a-compelling-story-of-morrisons-bullying
• Thomas the Think Engine on oblivion-part-3
• Tom Hubble on sydneys-disastrous-flood-wasnt-unprecedented-and-we-can-expect-more-major-floods-in-just-10-years
• Richard Holden on christine-holgates-principal-error-was-applying-corporate-logic-to-australia-post
• John Blaxland on incomplete-strategy-and-niche-contributions-australia-leaves-afghanistan-after-20-years

Northern America

• Menzie Chinn on when-us-corporate-tax-rates-reductions-last-bloomed
• Kruggers on trump-corporate-tax-reform
• noahopinion on i-dont-get-the-high-speed-rail-thing, republicans-and-the-great-replacement
• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-amy-coney-barrett-religion-california-tandon-newsom-first-amendment
• Julie Azari on democratic-values-are-still-under-attack-even-without-trump-in-the-white-house
• the conversable economist on the-us-productivity-slowdown-after-2005
• Calculated Risk on cleveland-fed-key-measures-show-small-uptick-in-inflation-in-august
• Wesley Morgan on america-never-knew-why-it-was-afghanistan
• Howard French on can-america-remain-preeminent

Europe

• Barkley Rosser on vignette
• stumbling and mumbling on the-need-for-institutional-brains, prince-philip-the-communist-ideal
• Mainly Macro on two-types-of-recovery-from-covid
• James O'Neill on northern-ireland-born-of-strife-100-years-ago-again-erupts-in-political-violence

Asia

• Akimoto Daisuke on legalising-same-sex-marriage-japan
• Susan Thornton on quad-finally-delivers-can-it-be-sustained
• Nicolas Boorst on has-china-given-state-owned-enterprise-reform
• Anita Singh on russia-s-asia-diplomacy
• James Laurenson on will-five-eyes-stare-down-china-s-economic-coercion

Wonk

• John Quiggin on public-debt-isnt-money-for-nothing-but-we-shouldnt-panic-about-it
• Tim Harford on technology-has-turned-back-the-clock-on-productivity
• John Edwards on covid-recovery-australia-and-world
• Rodger Shanahan on iran-us-israel-boxing-out-shadows
• Nick Gruen on the-more-things-change-stefan-zweig-on-the-difference-in-mood-attending-the-outbreak-the-two-world-wars
• the conversable economist onwhat-do-you-call-bigger-wave-of-debt, pharma-r-vaccines-and-other-drugs

General

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Climate

• Seeing the Environmental Forest on shifting-bell-curves-revisited
• the conversable economist on electrify-everything-some-limitations
• Des Smog blog on methane-emissions-spiked-in-2020-scientists-fear-feedback-loops
• and Then Theres Physics on plausible-emission-scenarios
• Will Steffen on failure-is-not-an-option-after-a-lost-decade-on-climate-action-the-2020s-offer-one-last-chance
• noahopinion on why-has-climate-economics-failed
• Kevin Cowton on robust comparison of climate models Thanks Brad
• Lijing Cheng on how fast are oceans warming Thanks Brad
• Noah Smith on economists-are-out-of-touch-with-climate-change

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• whats-the-biggest-mistake-revealed-by-this-table-a-puzzle
  
• when-can-we-challenge-authority-with-authority
  
• relative-vs-absolute-risk-reduction-500-doctors-want-to-know
  
• is-explainability-the-new-uncertainty
  
• rob-tibshirani-yuling-yao-and-aki-vehtari-on-cross-validation
  
• more-on-that-credulity-thing
  
• which-sorts-of-posts-get-more-blog-comments
  
• do-you-come-from-liverpool
  
• in-making-minimal-corrections-and-not-acknowledging-that-he-made-these-errors-rajan-is-dealing-with-the-symptoms-but-not-the-underlying-problem-which-is-that-hes-processing-recent-history-via-conv
  
• a-fill-in-the-blanks-contest-attributing-the-persistence-of-the-7-25-minimum-wage-to-the-median-voter-theorem-is-as-silly-as
• a-recommender-system-for-scientific-papers
  
• statschat on briefly, why-the-concern-about-vaccine-blood-clotting

Econometrics

• No Hesitations on practical-guide-to-climate-econometrics

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

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Vox Wonk

• measuring-human-capital-learning-matters-more-schooling
  
• cost-benefit-analysis-and-covid-vaccination-campaign-france
  
• effects-health-shocks-crime
  
• mortality-spanish-nursing-homes-during-first-wave-covid-19
  
• harming-ocean-impacts-children-low-and-middle-income-countries
  
• mundell-difference
  
• latin-america-and-caribbean-after-covid-19
  
• economic-recessions-and-age-discrimination
  
• emerging-markets-amid-us-and-china-cross-currents
  
• solution-mystery-excess-trade-balances
  
• longer-term-impact-african-growth-and-opportunity-act
  
• solution-mystery-excess-trade-balances
  
• inflation-aftermath-wars-and-pandemics
  
• pandemics-make-us-more-averse-inequality