Around the Traps 19/7/13

Time for Around the Traps again.
The original place for the best blogging articles of the week and the BEST!!

Simon Wren-Lewis and Noah Smith were on fire this week.

updates on the week-end.

All done now!


Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Ross Gittins on sorry-productivity-isnt-almost-everything, return-to-surplus-less-urgent-as-economy-slows
• Mumble on is_tony_toast, do_men_vote_labor_and_women_liberal, capitulation_and_termination,electorates_by_2010_swing
• Kathryn Crosby on come-back-again-kevs-just-crazy
• Peter Martin on mostly-false-fact-checking-coaltions- carbon- tax -costing, whats-difference-between-carbon-tax-and-ETS
• Kevin Bonham on poll-roundup-and-seat-betting-watch-16 july
• Mark the Ballot on when-models-fail-us
• The pollbludger on bludgertrack-50-1-49-9-to-coalition
• John Quiggin on the-return-of-the-ets, rent-seeking-rampant,is-there-a-solution-to-the-refugee-problem
• Brian Banisch on rudds-emissions-trading-play
• Harry Clarke on big-deal-rudd-repeals-carbon-tax-one-year-early
• Andrew Elder on sweetening-base
• The Ashes , Second test with Tony the Teacher!!
• Andrew Elder on my-review-of-stalking-of-julia-gillard and then Mr Denmore
• Simon Jackman on watching the Liberal leadership betting markets 
• John R Walker on on-mr-rudds-multitude-of-policy-positions-or-syntax-without-semantics

Northern America

• Jared Bernstein on checking-in-on-the-taylor-rule-and-the-fed, taylor-the-taylor-rule-and-marsupials, when-guidance-is-misguided-seek-new-guidance
• Mark Thoma gives us Tim Duy and fed-watch-time-to-move-on, fed-watch-bernanke-takes-a-dovish-stance, fed-watch-changing-the-mix-not-level-of-accommodationl
• Menzie Chinn on what_were_they-thinking, slow_2013q2_growth
• Calculated Risk on key-measures-show-low-inflation-in-june
• Mark Thoma on on-the-folly-of-wage-cuts-in-a-recession
• Kruggers on the-paradox-of-flexibility, obamacare-is-the-rights-worst-nightmare
• The admirable David Glasner on bhide-and-phelps-v-reality
• Brad De Long on what-i-wish-that-i-had-said-on-the-foreign-affairs-conference-call
• Calculated Risk on janet-yellen-for-fed-chair Kruggers agrees

Asia

• nuttin

Europe

• ECBwatchers on the-trichet-doctrine-and-the-separation-between-standard-and-non-standard-measures
• Simon Wren-Lewis on the-eurozones-founding-mistake

Wonk

• Robert Waldeman on a-quote-from-samuelson-and-solow-1960 Thanks Mark
• Noah Smith onjapans-stagnation-demand-side-or-supply-side then read
• Kruggers on wage-price-flexibility-in-a-liquidity-trap-again-again-again
• and then Noah again
• Mark Thoma on frbsf-economic-letter-the-path-of-wage-growth-and-unemployment
• Menzie Chinn on assessing_the_trilemma 
• Lord Keynes on moggridge-on-keyness-theory-of.-probability,a-classification-of-types-of-probability, keyness-interval-probabilities
• Simon Wren-Lewis on fiscal-backing, what-recessionl and unemployment-output-gap-and-wage-flexibilityl
• Mike Konzal on mirowski-vacuum-and-obscurity-current-economics
• Mark Thoma on responses-evoution-theory-in-economics-and-the-paradox-of-flexibility (heaps of links)

General

• Kruggers on there-is-no-true-unemployment-rate
• Simon Wren-Lewis on behaving-like-luddites
• Livio De Matteo on crime-and-macroeconomics
• Noah Smith on what-does-it-even-mean-to-believe-something , peak-oil-lives, asset-price-inflation-is-not-inflation, how-normal-people-see-macroeconomics, the-hard-money-people-throw-gene-fama-under-a-bus
• Robert Waldeman on show-me-the-model, finally-i-disagree-with-paul-krugman
• Brad De Long on quantitative-easing-once-again-monday-hoisted-from-comments-weblogging,elizabeth-anderson-friedrich-von-hayek-says-those-who-have-thought-it-through-understand-they-deserve-their-wealth-full-stop
• Progrowth liberal on rewriting-taylor-rule
• Macroblog on commodity-prices-and-inflation-the-perspective-of-firms
• Lord Keynes on herbert-hoover-myths

Brian Banisch ( climate)

• pine-island-glacier-spawns-a-giant-iceberg
• Menzie Chinn on its_been_a_hot_July
• Lord Keynes on is-long-term-climate-non-ergodic
• Harry Clarke on mortality-costs-of-chinese-air-pollution

Andrew Gelman (Statistics)

• forward-causal-inference-is-about-estimation-reverse-causal-inference-is-about-model-checking-and-hypothesis-generation
• priors
• a-poll-that-throws-away-data
• stop-and-frisk-statistics
• data-to-use-for-in-class-sampling-exercises
• youll-get-a-high-type-s-error-rate-if-you-use-classical-statistical-methods-to-analyze-data-from-underpowered-studies
• how-big-is-your-chance-of-dying-in-an-ordinary-play
• prior-distributions-on-derived-quantities-rather-than-on-parameters-themselves
• what-we-are-studying
• Normal Deviate on lost-causes-in-statistics-ii-noninformative-priors thanks Mark
• Kaiser Fong on how-to-consume-big-data, welcome-message, causal-thinking
• Good Stats Bad Stats on retirement stats and dementia and diabetes causes people to skip breakfast

Dave Giles (Econometrics)

• vintage-years-in-econometrics-the-1950s

Quirky

• The highly satisfying Frances Woolley on satisfaction
• Dianne Coyle on political-bubbles 
• Paul Fritjers on is-paying-for-votes-really-a-bad-thing

Voxwonk

• redesigning-ecb
• pseudo-flexible-exchange-rate-regimes
• what-long-term-impact-incarcerating-juveniles
• global-race-inventors
• going-beyond-mystery-italy-s-price-competitiveness-indicators
• asymmetric-oil-fuel-conflict
• when-is-the-time-for-austerity
• supranational-supervision-how-much-and-whom
• does-education-lead-more-innovation