Lets make a forecast on US election

 I have said previously polling out now is useless at telling us who will win the US Presidential election. I have academic support it appears!

So with nothing to go on let me make a prediction.

Joe Biden will win. Why?

• In every special election democrats have gained significant swings. It just occurred in Florida!
• Abortion is still a strong issue. with one possible death due to anti-abortion laws there and a legal battle about possible poor scenarios for some women and with several states voting for it this issue is a winner for Democrats. It makes you ask why are they sooo mad on this topic. Make the mother's life THE priority and it goes away
• Donald Trump is a vote loser. He lost the vote in 22016 pretty easily and lost two mid terms as well , one biden should have been thrashed in  and lost 2023 pretty easily.
• When the election come around he will be convicted of sexual assault, company fraud and his case on January 6 should be decided. ( loch him up lock him up!!)
• Trump says a lot that is great for his base BUT it goes over like a lead balloon for anyone else.

So I have gone out on a limb but if I am right Trump will be in a gaol cell.