Boris Johnson is taking off all controls re covid on July 19. no social distancing, no masks no nothing.
This is a very big gamble. Although the death rate from the delta variant surging through the UK is 0.3$ compared to say 1% for the original covid the hospital patients is not.
Let us assume 60% of poms are fully vaccinated on that date. That means 40% are quite vulnerable to a variant that spreads like wildfire. Remember those models tell us 80% is the magic figure not 60%.The major problem could well be covid patients crowding out patients of everything else. The NHS is close to destruction and workers are over-worked which would mean deaths will rise.
At this stage there is no reason to assume long covid ( which affects between 1 in 3 to 1 in 8 of people that get covid) is lower under the delta variant nor people dying from problems exacerbated by covid ( roughly 1 in 12).
As I said Johnson is taking a gamble.
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