Donald Trump is a minority President. He may even won the election in a fluke however he acted like he won in a landslide. Unlike say Nixon or Clinton ( you cannot get more diversified than that) he has made no attempt to reach out to the middle ground. sure he has solidified his base but that rarely wins elections.
He and his party has had massive swings against them in what we Aussies call by-elections.
The Mid-terms were a disaster. Unlike Clinton or Obama has has learnt no lessons from this.
He is no longer an outsider whom punters might just bet on just to see how he goes. He has a record and it is bad.
His ads such as the one with Fauci are lies and Fauci has called them out on it.
His campaign has no consistent them to it. It is all over the place but that is Trump.
The Senate is looking bad for Republicans. Iowa possibly the most prominent example. ( Wouldn't it be ironic if both Graham and McConnell lost their very safe seats!)
Trump is now hitting out anywhere now. today at Fauci. He does not apparently know Fauci has much more credibility than he does.)
The debates rarely change votes but Trump was way over the top.
Trump getting the virus makes the virus the number one issue. It is a vote loser for trump.
Can I just finish that Trump was never a politician and it is showing up big time at present. He is all over the place because he needs to make up a lot of ground and simply does not know what to do and thus is throwing a lot of what yanks call 'hail marys'
Coming into election day my advice is to examine 538 and Andrew Gelman very carefully.
Just remember the national polls were not wrong last time some state polls were and my guess they have had modifications made to them.
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