When we look at Afghanistan two things stand out like a shag on a rock.
Firstly why the intelligence failures. how was the Taliban underestimated and the Afghani army overestimated. There were two red flags. The first was the attrition rate of the army. No sooner had the US and allies trained up the army when most resigned then they had to train a new lot of recruits. A high turnover rate tells you something is wrong and you should not need an MBA to understand that.
Secondly and related those in the Army had not been paid for times up to 9 months. Would you be willing to be killed for nothing?
Yet no-one anywhere thought to put the dots together.
Hence all countries were very slow in helping those who helped them escape Afghanistan.
The next is the military failures. the US had complete control of the air yet did very little to assist the local army. Why? Such actions would have slowed the Taliban advance considerably.
Trump announced getting out of Afghanistan last February yet everyone was caught flat footed.
WHY?
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