The Liberals are in a mess

Before I start we should digest the latest poll roundup by the  imitable Kevin Bonham.

The members of the Liberal party are in an absolute mess.

They will lose bigtime if  Turnbull continues as PM. They will lose bigtime if Dutton displaces him.

Let us go back in time.No-one understood why the ALP got rid of Rudd. Clearly they were in a winning position. Both ex-ante and expost the only reason why Rudd was displaces was faction heavies were worried about what Rudd was doing to their factional power.

When Turnbull displaced Abbott this was clearly done for electoral reasons. The Liberals were headed for a train wreck. Turnbull only just saved them. The electorate who was initially very happy Abbot was gone went off Turnbull when it was clear Turnbull was simply a mere figurehead. There was no change in policies.

Now we have some who want Dutton to displace Turnbull.
Why is a very good reason. As the pollbludger notes his political judgement is highly questionable. He also notes Dutton has a constitutional cloud over his head. See also Kevin Bonham for latest developments.
We should note that the ALP have had Brett Walker's opinion on this since April. Clearly they were just waiting for this to  erupt.
Dutton as a mate of mine pretty accurately stated is Keating but without the eloquence nor the intelligence.
His only policy stance  of late is to be frank absurd. Is his policy advisor Mad Steve Kates ??
He has a spectacularly poor ministerial career, This was the case with Abbott and we saw how well that went.

The 'conservatives are correct to believe One Nation takes votes away from them. They then leak preferences to the ALP.
however installing Dutton may well shore up a defence against them but would lose votes big time to the centre.
Moreover the public do not like the changing of leaders every two years. More so if there is no reason for it if Dutton becomes leader.
The public have never liked a divided party although it must be said they vote against the ALP more heavily than the LNP.

Whatever way this goes the Libs and Nats are in for a large loss.

Whoopsy.
 I forgot the Abbott factor. Abbott is toxic to most of the electorate except Ray Hadley , Alan Jones and Andrew Bolt. Having Abbott is his 'cabinet' would simply make Dutton the puppet for Abbott.
You could not make this up.

Kevin Hogan whom I used to know ( I attended his wedding given I had worked with his lovely wife, has been quite honorable to the  inevitable displacement of Turnbull. He knows people are sick of this.

Its Scomo V Dutton.
Scomo would easily be the better candidate for the Libs but I would love Dutton to become leader.
His incompetence would easily be seen and I would like to see the third PM  lose his seat at an election.

I should add the ABC has been outstanding. Fran Kelly not included

As much as I detest Tony Burke as a person he is very good in parliament