Tuesday 15 August 2023

Another Trump indictment

 Trump ( and a lot of others) have been indicted by a grand jury in Georgia.

HERE is an article ranking how important each indictment is.

Without even attempting to be a legal scholar practising in the USA here is what I have picked up from listening to some respected ones.

The case in New York might well lose in the appeal courts even if a jury finds Trump guilty because of the way state and federal law is triangulated.

The case in florida is very tight and eventually would be found in their favour even if there is a rogue juror.

Given the Judges we can expect the cases to go Fed case in NY first, then the case in florida then Georgia and finally the 'state' case in NY.

The federal case in New York is very strong. the case in Georgia is also strong. If Trump runs in the Presidential election ( and some say he should be allowed to) and wins he would try to pardon himself.  I think we can see the present Supreme court would allow that. He cannot pardon himself or anybody else in the Georgia case.

If Trump actually believes he is facing trumped up cases ( pun intended) then he would want very speedy trials with the strong possibility of the case being thrown out as occurred when He directed his Justice Department to prosecute. Since he is doing the direct opposite we know this is complete shite.

He is also in the invidious position of not being able to testify. He is an inveterate liar and a prosecutor would eat him alive. 

I should have added his lawyers thus far have only argued political defences rarely a legal defence.


I also should have added Rudy is in deep trouble.

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