Thursday, 15 November 2018

Around the Traps 16/9/18

It is time again for Around the Traps

Northern America
Andrew Gelman ( mainly statistics)
Genial Dave Giles (econometrics)
Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)
Vox Wonk

Wednesday, 14 November 2018

Woeful TV Writing

Time off from serious stuff and i am finding as I graduate into being a grumpy old man I am needing more escapism thus needing more enjoyable TV shows.

What makes this impossible is very poor writing. I initially thought this the province of the USA. In this I was influenced by CASTLE. What should have been the greatest series of all time turned into a complete joke.
Just a few things to highlight very poor and lazy writing.

  • A mere detective is promoted to Captain. She leapfrogs every Sergeant and Lieutenant in New York
  • This detective resigned from the NYPD to pursue a career in a National Security agency ( which was given not one but THREE different names ). 
  • She was given a hefty suspension for going rogue only three years hence. She was sacked by the same national security agency.
  • On her first day as Captain she does not turn up to work but no-one does a thing.
  • A hit squad who has killed all of the people Beckett worked with at the said Agency fall for the oldest trick in the game broken glass!
however to my horror I have recently found a few british series where the writing are equally poor.

Bancroft. Here we have a detective murdering people tampering with evidence. Even when her story constantly changes ( always a problem) her Boss still does nothing.I could not help but compare with Line of Duty  ( season 4) where there are some similarities but done very well.

The Split was simply terrible. Here a woman rails against her father who left the family. Yet this woman had sex with a man on the night BEFORE her wedding. It ends with her continuing this adulterous affair despite her waxing lyrical against her  husband who had done the same. Indeed the only consistent theme of this series was that everyone lied.

What is the common denominator here.
Firstly the writing needs to be as accurate as possible and thus true to life. When poetic licence is used it must be made explicit.
Secondly in a series the writers must be cognisant of what has occurred in previous programs.

Tuesday, 13 November 2018

Poll Roundup

The inimitable Kevin Bonham has his first poll round up since the coup and it aint pretty.

What I find interesting is that most people expect the LNP coalition to get a thumping.

  • Scott Morrison does. He is campaigning as an Opposition Leader and each strategy gets shot down in flames. The moving of the Australian embassy to Jerusalem is merely an example of a government attempting to do anything to try and get a lift in the polls
  • Bill Shorten does and he earnestly ties to show a confident but not smug face.
  • 'Conservative' commentators believe a landslide is on and are saying hyperbolic things about Shorten and the ALP
And there is two state elections before the Federal election.

Monday, 12 November 2018

What can Muslim leaders do?

Every time I have a great idea about something to write something much better does it.
Greg Barton who had made a reputation on terrorism amongst other matters has a very good article on morrison-wants-muslim-leaders-to-do-more-to-prevent-terrorism-but-what-more-can-they-do.

Let's face it when politicians say things like the above it is for political reasons usually gross political reasons.

That they never think they maybe putting in danger the relationships various intelligence and security organisations have with the Islamic community never enters their heads or they simply do not care!!

Rodger Shanahan on a related issue.

Thursday, 8 November 2018

Around the Traps 9/11/18

It is time again for Around the Traps.

Northern America
Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)
Genial Dave Giles (econometrics)
Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)
Vox Wonk

Wednesday, 7 November 2018

Luke Foley is finished

Luke Foley the ALP leader in NSW and likely winner of the State election in NSW in march is finished. His behaviour whilst drunk with as female reporter is simply not acceptable.

A very short comment on the US Mid Terms

The Democrats gained a 9.2% swing. This is the second largest in recent years. The largest was in 2010.
To win back the house of Representatives the Democrats had to win 55% of the vote!! That is landslide territory.

Tuesday, 6 November 2018

Super is fine

That is the surprising conclusion that the Grattan Insitute has come to. A SGC of 9.5% is more than enough for most people to be comfortable in retirement.

I had always thought 15% was needed just to provide for health in old age but apparently not.

Good news all round.

Here Ross Gittins

Sunday, 4 November 2018


I do find it amusing people called commentators have either little idea of what they are talking about or are outright liars.
Take Andrew Bolt. He is in the John Quiggin or Ken Parish league of prognosticating on politics.
He wonders why the people of Nauru do not have the same problems that Asylum Seekers have. Mate They live there. If they have the means they can go anywhere. Asylum Seekers cannot leave the Island. It is a prison. Indeed if you are not used to the climate it is horrible.
He says the people there are illegal immigrants. No Asylum Seekers can go to any country they wish to go to.

However you would expect this from a person which a court found his article was inaccurate , In Boltspeak that is a lie.

Let us now take Gerry Henderson. He claimed the changing of our embassy had been taken to cabinet. No it had not. If it had the cabinet would have had informational from DFAT and even defence. The DFAT Secretary did not even know about it until the last minute.
Henderson was Howard's chief of staff when Howard was in Opposition. clearly he had no experience or background for the job. his comments here says he is completely ignorant of cabinet procedure or he is a patent liar.
What is worse neither of the other people in Insiders picked him up on this. They ( Barrie Cassidy, Malcolm Farr and Katherine Murphy) are just as bad. clearly no-one on that panel were insiders at all.


I should have mentioned Bolt is one of those who denies Trump sais the media are an enemy of the people. Whoopsy ever tried reading Trump's tweets?
Let us just remember no conservative would be a Trump apologist like Bolt is. for a start a conservative is a defender of a rules based tracing scheme. Trump is not and wants to tear it down.

Thursday, 1 November 2018

Around the Traps 2/11/18

It is time for Around the Traps again.

Northern America
Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)
Genial Dave Giles (econometrics)
Dianne Coyle  (quirky + book reviews)
vox wonk