Monday, 18 June 2018

Scott Morrison caught out again.

Liberals as slow  learners.
when they originally won office Abbott and hockey tries the cupboard is bare argument. Only problem was PEFO. It showed their argument was cobblers. It seemed  neither understood fully what the charter of Budget Honesty really means, Strange they were ministers when the legislation was brought in.

Now Scott Morrison has been caught out again on PBO costings. Neither his office nor even Morrison himself seem to understand that the PBO can cost any policy as well as Treasury. Trying to 'fiddle' with their costings is stupid.

Introducing the PBO was the best thing Wayne Swan ever did besides ensuring we did not get a recession from the GFC.
Anyone in Parliament has access to it thus Oppostions now have no excuse for poor costings. the ALP are using it very well.

Sunday, 17 June 2018

Australia V France

So near yet so far away.

We deserved a draw yet were denied. in this family of referees we were absolutely perplexed by the VAR decision. When the FIFA technical committee decided to give reasons why the decision was correct it got worse. Risdon got the the ball yet it was a trip?
I maybe a tad too cynical but if the incident happened at the other end then I very much doubt any decision to review the decision would have been made!

'Aussie' Bert made one bad decision. Rogic should not have played. He was never going to get the space to do any attacking and his defending is always on the light side. Irvine would have been a better selection and would have let both Jedinek and Local Carlo boy Mooy to less defending and thus more energy in the last 10 minutes.

I also did not understand putting on Juric.

Some might say we did not look like scoring. Well neither did France.
Sainsbury and Mooy were magnificent. But there was not a bad player on the filed.

I am confident we can beat both Denmark and Peru.

I suspect Mooy is buggered after this game so I would pick McClaren up front for his pace and striking ability, Azhari in stead of Kruse, Irvine instead of Mooy.

Go you good things.

I should have added Aussie Bert and his crew performed wonders in the defence. We would have leaked a number of goals against France under Ange, not under Aussie Bert.

Thursday, 14 June 2018

Around the Traps 15/6/18

It is time again for Around the Traps.

Northern America
Andrew Gelman (mainly stats)
Genial Dave Giles (econometrics)
Dianne Coyle (quirky + book reviews)
vox wonk

Tuesday, 12 June 2018

Trump and Kim meet

Well they both have met.
We know for example Trump gets on with the dictator better than the elected leader of Canada, Says a lot really.
We again find out Trump is hopeless with alliances. He knows the costs of everything but the value of nothing.
He again does something which he does not tell South Korea about.

I tend to agree with Benjamin Habib. as Walter Mondale might say wheres the beef? We might have gotten a definition of what denuclearisation means!

added bonus Daniel Flitton

I forgot two things.  Why the 1994 deal failed.

Why would the most stringent inspections succeed in North Korea when they were clearly succeeding in Iran but Trump broke the deal.

Sunday, 10 June 2018

The Socceroos and Russia

I must be honest. I am not optimistic about our game with France on Saturday night.

First the good news.
History shows France is a slow starter, If you must play them then the first game is the best.
It also shows south American teams do not play well in Europe.
We also know Denmark have injury problems in their defence and the replacements are slow ( which is why McClaren is still in the squad.

Now for realism.
We have played four games under 'Aussie' Bert. We have only played well once.
both Milligan and Risdon look out of their depth in their respective positions.
Abbout is fast, fit and will ling upfront but lacks touch.
Mooy is not giving any killer passes to Leckie or anyone else.
It appears Milo is on the outer and he was a tower of strength against Honduras. He never lost a tackle or header. He was inspiring.
Rogic and Mooy appear not to be able to play together, They have defensive limitations.

My thoughts.

  • Move Rogic to Striker. He does have one hellva strike on him 
  • Move Milo to centreback back
  • Pick Arzani ahead of Kruse. Kruse has not been the same player since he was badly injured.
  • Pray!!!
I always live in hope however

Thursday, 7 June 2018

Around the Traps 8/6/18

It is time again for Around the Traps.

Northern America
Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)
Genial Dave Giles (econometrics)
Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)
Vox wonk

Wednesday, 6 June 2018

A few comments on Australian politics

We had recently Reach-Tel polls both nationally and on two by-election seats.
A few things to note. polls on by-elections are quite unreliable. As a resident of Bennelong I know this only too well.
We can add to that by asking why the two seat polls are so different to the national poll particularly since both are marginal seats.

I do wish Joyce would leave politics and get a job with Hancock. He is insufferably embarrassing these days. For  such a 'wonderful' retail politician and she being a PR guru they both stuff up every time when they front cameras or give an interview.

One Nation

I talked before about Pauline Hanson. doesn't she look old and haggard these days!  I am afraid implosion will always occur in One Nation as it is essentially a cult built on Hanson. When people are elected and realise she is not very smart ( euphemism) and has a Svengali behind her there is always a dispute. What makes this worse is that she demands loyalty and gives none herself.