The Ashes A Review

 I do not want this Ashes to end. It has been thrilling from start to end.

Let us go through the basics.

• The Crowds have been fantastic. The poms dress up in crazy costumes and create a wonderful atmosphere. 
• The pitches except of Headingley have been too flat and favouring the batsmen. Without 'bazball' we would have had three maybe four easy pommy wins given they batted first. Bazball created risk and wickets for our bowlers.
• The poms were the best team. They lost the first two tests , we di not win them.
• Four of the test were very close. The ebbs and flows in those four tests simply took your breath away. England did monster us in Manchester.
• Stokes is right up there with Mark Taylor and Ian Chappell as one of the best captains i have ever seen. given his limited bowling resources he is perhaps the best.
• Has Anderson lost his outswinger. Yes he had little luck but that magnificent outswinger seemed to be lost and if he does not find it he will not play test cricket again.
• The umpires were poor. Robinson should have been reported in the first test  for swearing at Kawaja of all people and they should have inquired about all the circumstances in the Bairstow stumping.
• Can they get the dukes ball back to swinging at the start please

Both teams are aging. England will not have any of their bowlers in Australia and our side will be missing a number of batsmen and bowlers as well  in the next Ashes.

A bonus. bazball-by-the-numbers-what-the-stats-say-about-english-crickets-ambitious-but-risky-change-of-pace

A little bit on energy

 A bit busy and it has nothing to do with cricket!

See:

• we-operate-independently-china-inverter-giant-answers-coalition-pv-scare-campaign
  
• the-end-of-oppenheimers-nuclear-energy-dream-modular-reactors-supported-by-ideology-alone
  

Around the Traps 28/7/23

 It is time for Around the Traps again.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Ross Gittins on beating-inflation-shouldnt-just-be-left-to-higher-interest-rates
• renew economy on works-complete-to-connect-south-australias-biggest-wind-farm-to-grid, extend-the-ret-renewables-industry-has-a-new-battle-cry-but-will-labor-listen, coalition-says-inverters-in-rooftop-solar-systems-are-national-security-risk, coal-generation-is-very-profitable-right-now-thanks-to-the-nsw-government, landmark-decision-energy-bodies-figure-out-how-to-put-environment-back-into-market, we-need-to-be-smarter-coal-closure-delays-could-add-thousands-to-consumer-bills, australia-is-touted-as-a-future-clean-energy-superpower-but-research-suggests-other-nations-will-outperform-us, rooftop-solar-takes-biggest-bite-yet-out-of-fossil-fuel-industrys-energy-lunch, another-4gw-of-wind-and-solar-sought-grid-connections-in-last-quarter, green-hydrogen-on-track-to-be-cheaper-than-fossil-gas-hydrogen-by-2030, discovery-of-room-temperature-superconductors-could-revolutionise-energy-systems, farming-lobby-wants-ban-on-new-solar-farms-as-renewables-resentment-festers-in-regions
• John Quiggin on china-economy-slowing-impact-on-australia-collapse
• croaking cassandra on inflation-outlooks, tweaky-tools
• Kantha Dayaran and Lisa Heap on every-worker-is-entitled-to-be-safe-at-work-but-casual-workers-can-fall-through-the-cracks
• Kevin Bonham on voice-referendum-polling-no-leads
• Roy Green on chris-barrett-has-a-formidable-job-ahead-as-the-new-productivity-commission-chief
• John Hawkins on underlying-inflation-has-slipped-below-6-but-is-the-slide-enough-to-stop-the-rba-pushing-up-rates-further
• Roland Rajah on it-s-no-surprise-australia-shrugged-china-s-campaign-trade-coercion
• Ambika Vishwanath on why-australian-voice-referendum-matters-globally
• Greg Jericho on rba-inflation-rate-australia-rising-interest-low-unemployment

Northern America

• lawyers gun money on time-to-set-the-meter-on-hack-pop-country-artist-releases-shitty-pro-lynching-song-back-to-zero-days Thanks Brad
• Justin Fox on san-francisco-isn-t-destined-to-be-the-next-detroit Thanks Brad
• Kruggers on more thoughts on good inflation news Thanks Brad
• Christina Cauterucci on texas-abortion-ban-infant-deaths-samantha-casiano
• new deal democrat on a-big-picture-summary-of-why-a-recession-still-looks-likely-even-if-it-hasnt-occurred-yet
• the conversable economist on end-of-covid-pandemic-in-the-us-the-excess-deaths-measure, the-decarceration-trend-for-black-americans
• Mohamed A El-Erian on markets-are-propelled-by-what-hasn-t-happened Thanks Brad
• noahopinion on yes-the-us-were-the-good-guys-in-ww2, americans-are-falling-out-of-love-with-the-idea-of-college
• Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux on americans-increasingly-against-abortion-limits
• Dennis Aftergut and Laurence Tribe on next-trump-indictment-supreme-court-jack-smith
• Jeet Heer on trump-unitary-executive
• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-voting-rights-act-allen-milligan-defiance-brett-kavanaugh, trump-indictment-documents-carlos-de-oliveira
• Andrew Prokop on hunter-biden-investigation-taxes-indictment
• Nicole Narea on interest-rates-federal-reserve-inflation
• Molly Omstead and Christina Cauterucci on hunter-biden-scandals-court-plea-deal-democrats
• Shirin Ali on trump-indictment-legal-case-which-is-strongest
• Paul Rosenzweig on trump-2024-election-candidacy-criminal-appeal
• Menzie Chinn on still-chugging-along
• the grumpy economist on on-2-inflation-target

Europe

• Mark Edele on has-russia-contained-the-prigozhin-threat-its-long-history-of-managing-violent-mercenaries-suggests-so
• Mainly Macro on labour-tax-and-spend-is-question-of-when-not-if
• John Quiggin on how-dangerous-is-the-european-far-right
• Galyna Piskorska on will-ukraine-be-able-to-win-over-the-global-south-in-its-fight-against-russian-aggression
• Fred Kaplan on ukraine-russia-war-news-counteroffensive

Asia

• Menzie Chinn on a-search-for-a-phillips-curve-in-china
• Khang Vu on forget-washington-pyongyang-s-most-important-target-has-always-been-beijing
• Ellen Ioannes on thailand-democracy-pita-prime-minister-prayuth, israel-protests-judicial-reforms-netanyahu-likud-idf
• noahopinion on the-china-2023-series, what-should-china-do-to-revive-its-economy
• Zack Beachamp on israel-judicial-overhaul-reasonableness
• renew economics on japan-can-reach-net-zero-with-solar-wind-and-evs-and-minimal-hydrogen
• Milton Osborne on hun-sen-really-stepping-down
• Melissa Jardine on far-limelight-forgotten-afghans-continue-fight

Wonk

• Florian Ederer et al on anonymity and identity online Thanks Brad
• Daniel Flitton on who-leads-world-longest-charge-their-country
• Tim Harford on is-it-even-possible-to-prepare-for-a-pandemic
• John Quiggin on disaster-and-denial
• the conversable economist on second-thoughts-about-nudge-based-behavioral-policies
• Tyler Cowen on when-is-best-in-life-to-read-or-reread-many-of-the-greatest-classic-novels
• Elliycia Harrould-Kolieb on could-the-law-of-the-sea-be-used-to-protect-small-island-states-from-climate-change
• stumbling and mumbling on the-rights-woke-capitalism-problem
• Jacob Soll on adam-smith-why-it-is-unfair-to-label-scottish-economist-and-philosopher-a-proponent-of-greed-is-good Thanks Brad
• Cameron Sholl on do-rebrands-work-can-you-trademark-an-x-an-expert-answers-the-burning-questions-on-musks-twitter-pivot
• Ved Shinde on return-to-old-school-mercantilism
• Martin Filler on oppies-problem-oppenheimer
• Chris Bertram on freedom-house-and-the-impact-of-immigration-restrictions-on-freedom
• Stochastic Trend on are-benefits-of-electrification-reaalised-in-the-long-run
• Alex Tabarrok on the-economics-of-export-bans
• Alexander Gillespie on oppenheimers-warning-lives-on-international-laws-and-treaties-are-failing-to-stop-a-new-arms-race

General

• Jose Ruiz on tony-bennett-the-timeless-visionary-who-with-a-nod-to-americas-musical-heritage-embraced-the-future
• Weiwei Wang and Hsiaso-Chun Hung on researchers-find-evidence-of-a-2-000-year-old-curry-the-oldest-ever-found-in-southeast-asia
• Roberta Davidson on who-lived-at-machu-picchu-dna-analysis-shows-surprising-diversity-at-the-ancient-inca-palace
• Kate Sprogis on an-expert-explains-the-stranding-of-97-pilot-whales-in-wa-and-their-mysterious-huddling-before-the-tragedy

Climate

• Terri Adams on extreme-heat-is-deadlier-than-hurricanes-floods-and-tornadoes-combined Thanks Brad
• and Then Theres Physics on abandoning-the-idea-of-an-optimal-pathway-for-climate-policy
• Real Climate on area-based-global-hydro-climatological-indicators, what-is-happening-in-the-atlantic-ocean-to-the-amoc
• Joel Eissenburg on carbon-capture-and-geoengineering
• sceptical science on at-a-glance-greenhouse, 1-million-years-climate-past
• Umair Irfan on heat-wave-record-temperature-history-death-valley-climate
• Bill McKibben on heat-waves-and-the-sweep-of-history
• Corey Bradshaw and Giovanni Strona on ancient-pathogens-released-from-melting-ice-could-wreak-havoc-on-the-world-new-analysis-reveals
• ocean acidification on contaminants-disrupt-aquatic-food-webs-via-decreased-consumer-efficiency

Andrew Gelman (mainly stats)

• problem-with-the-university-of-wisconsins-area-deprivation-index-and-no-face-validity-is-not-the-weakest-of-all-possible-arguments
  
• a-time-series-so-great-they-plotted-it-twice-and-heres-a-better-way-to-do-it
  
• recently-in-the-sister-blog
  
• slate-runs-embarrassingly-bad-article-on-ufos
  
• whats-the-story-with-news-media-insiders-getting-all-excited-about-ufos
  
• slides-on-large-language-models-for-statisticians
  
• hes-looking-for-student-participation-activities-for-a-survey-sampling-class
  
• new-research-on-social-media-during-the-2020-election-and-my-predictions
  

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• Mark Pierce on nobody-ever-teaches-anyone-how-be-minister
• noahopinion on book-review-the-end-of-the-world-is-just-the-beginning

Vox Wonk

• reasons-behind-2022-energy-price-increases-and-prospects-next-year
  
• fantastic-tax-cuts-and-where-find-them
  
• loss-aversion-and-consumer-inertia-new-evidence-phone-subscriptions
  
• labour-markets-during-wartime-evidence-online-job-advertisements
  
• why-high-income-patients-go-higher-quality-doctors
  
• importance-anticipating-climate-change
  
• internationalising-chinas-equity-markets-role-domestic-and-foreign-investors
  
• benefits-working-victorious-political-campaign
  
• sources-employer-market-power-and-avenues-pro-competitive-labour-market-policies
  
• impact-gas-supply-shocks-europe
  
• black-enfranchisement-and-white-mobilisation-evidence-voting-rights-act
  
• corporate-credit-and-leverage-eu-long-term-view
  
• large-language-models-economic-research-four-key-questions
  
• gender-neutral-job-ads-and-diversity-experimental-evidence-latin-americas-tech-sector
  

Inflation is dropping.

 Well the CPI was released yesterday and we found out inflation is stil lfalling however the fall is not fast ( as in other countries.

Here is the Quarterly CPI and Monthly CPI.

John Hawkins has a good article on it.

I do not think there is any reason to further raise interest rates but I tend to think the RBA will raise them another 25 basis points. If for no other reason to ensure the new governor ( governess?) has no reason to raise rates but mainly to ensure inflation does fall back to where the RBA wants it.

Raising rates to combat a supply side shock is a bad way to combat this kind of inflation BUT the RBA has NO other weapon.

Papa John Creach

 I am still in awe of Oppenheimer and looking forward to the 5th test so why not some music.

Papa John Creech was a master of the fiddle. ( what is the difference between a violin and a fiddle?). I was never a fan of  Jefferson airplane or in any further manifestations but he was the star!

What do you think.

Oppenheimer

 My whole family went to see Oppenheimer last night.

I have just two words. WATCH IT!  Warning it is long but you really do not 'feel' it.

I do think Robert Downey Jnr stole the film.

the 4th Test

 Unfortunately rain ruined this test. It would have been nice and exciting to have the oval test as the decider HOWEVER the poms have only themselves to blame. They should have won the 1st test and lost the 2nd test because of irresponsible batting.

What did we learn?

First to the poms. Their batting has arrived. They positively flogged our bowling and made it look send rate. Bairstow returned to form both as a batsman and WK. In terms of bowling what has happened to Jimmy Anderson. I had previously said he could play until he is 50 in England. In this series he has barely swung the ball.  The reason he is one of the all-time greats is his ability to bowl late outswingers. If he had done this in this series the poms would have already won the Ashes. both Wood and Woakes need to be in the team. ( Woakes can swing the ball but anderson cannot. Go figure.)

Now to us.

Our batting is suspect to late swing as usual and high pace. ( We are lucky the poms have three 90mph bowlers injured.)  Smith clearly affected by Wood's pace as he was by Archers in the last Ashes in the UK. Our bowling is looking very poor. Cummins is easily out best bowler but appears to have no clue. He is like a shot duck. Why are we bowling so many poor short balls that get hit for six? Crawley has a weakness to hitting on the up outside the offstump. Why di we not bowl to him there. The easiest way to reduce runs is to take wickets yet our fields are set to save runs and they do not even do that.  

Why di we not select a spinner on a pitch that is always friendly to spinners?

We were lucky it rained for two days.

Onto the oval on friday!

Just a thought but few bowlers on each side will be playing in the next Ashes

Around the Traps 21/7/23

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Isaac Gross on meet-michele-bullock-the-rba-insider-tasked-with-making-the-reserve-bank-more-outward-looking-as-its-next-governor
• Ross Gittins on bullock-safe-choice-as-rba-governor-but-is-it-the-right-choice, dont-let-political-duopoly-block-the-little-guys
• renew economy on vales-point-coal-closure-date-pushed-back-four-years-in-latest-threat-to-renewables-transition, australias-carbon-dumping-bill-is-based-on-falsehoods-and-hidden-costs, why-time-stamping-renewable-certificates-will-take-us-closer-to-net-zero-emissions, australia-annual-renewables-share-ticks-over-to-37-per-cent-lot-more-needed, wind-and-solar-remain-cheapest-new-sources-of-power-even-after-inflation-hit, worlds-biggest-solar-project-to-add-wind-as-new-owners-prepare-to-take-charge, australias-biggest-coal-plant-can-close-in-2025-and-lights-wont-go-out-heres-how, if-youre-not-paris-aligned-youre-anti-humanity-garnaut-slams-australias-disorderly-transition, truly-world-leading-australia-heads-to-100-pct-renewables-and-new-heartbeat-for-grid, ultra-low-cost-solar-why-pv-needs-to-get-much-cheaper-to-finish-off-fossil-fuels, can-australia-manufacture-the-billion-solar-panels-it-needs-to-be-a-renewable-superpower, energy-oligopoly-turns-screws-on-customers-after-liddell-exit-and-renewable-pause
• Alex Milmow on how-a-secret-plan-50-years-ago-changed-australias-economy-forever-in-just-one-night
• Charles Livingstone on victoria-cracks-down-on-pokies-but-supporters-fear-interest-groups-could-hold-the-winning-hand
• James Pittocck on with-less-than-a-year-to-go-the-murray-darling-basin-plan-is-in-a-dreadful-mess-these-5-steps-are-needed-to-fix-it
• Andrew King on a-climate-expert-explains-the-northern-hemispheres-weird-wild-summer-and-what-it-means-for-australia
• Peter Martin on australia-is-on-the-brink-of-ending-interest-rate-hikes-and-an-economic-first-beating-inflation-without-a-recession
• Michelle Grattan on andrew-leigh-calls-out-how-labors-factional-duopoly-is-undermining-the-party
• Jeff Borland on unemployment-is-staying-low-at-3-5-but-for-those-out-of-work-heres-why-its-become-harder-to-get-a-job
• Stephen Bartos on my-3-point-plan-to-untangle-the-public-service-from-consultants-such-as-pwc
• croaking cassandra on inflation-monetary-policy-and-central-bank-spin

Northern America

• Lawyers guns money on journalists-against-journalism Thanks Brad
• Kruggers on almost everyone thought we would get one and here we are Thanks Brad
• Daniel Gros on biden-trade-agenda-will-not-bring-back-american-manufacturing-jobs thanks Brad
• Shirin Ali on when-will-trump-be-indicted-in-georgia
• noahopinion on the-pushback-against-industrial-policy
• Mark Stern on alabama-republicans-supreme-court-voting-rights-dare
• Macromania on constrained-efficient-inflation
• noahopinion on refusing-to-teach-kids-math-will-not-improve-equity, no-nepa-really-is-a-problem-for-clean-energy
• Nicole Narea on donald-trump-indictment-special-counsel-jack-smith-jan-6-classified-documents, ron-desantis-2024-election-republican-primary-trump-cnn-staffing-finances
• Alexander Salmon on 2024-election-new-york-redistricting-congress-speaker
• Jeet Heer on tommy-tuberville-white-nationalism-stupid
• Gabriel Chin on what-is-a-target-letter-3-things-to-know-about-how-the-justice-department-notifies-suspects-like-donald-trump-ahead-of-possible-charges
• Anne Applebaum on tennessee-republican-partisanship-one-party-state
• Isaac Chotiner on donald-trumps-plan-to-make-the-presidency-more-like-a-kingship
• Tyler Cowen on the-disinflation-as-american-triumph
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-isnt-this-what-a-soft-landing-would-look-like

Europe

• Mick Ryan on russia-ukraine-battle-to-adapt-war-strategy
• Mainly Macro on why-nationalisation-can-be-gift-to-a-future-conservative-government
• Jennifer Mathers on ukraine-war-wagner-group-boss-and-belaruss-president-are-still-manoeuvring-for-power
• Stefan Wolff on ukraine-war-crimean-bridge-attack-is-another-blow-to-putins-strongman-image
• John Denton on why-black-sea-grain-initiative-must-be-restored
• Jen Kirby on black-sea-grain-deal-ukraine-russia-odesa-strikes
• Omar Encarnicion on spanish-elections-separatist-parties
• stumbling and mumbling on fiscal-conservatism-economic-radicalism
• Tyler Cowen on matt-yglesias-on-european-politics

Asia

• Menzie Chinn on china-in-recession, china-upside-surprise
• Abjihit Singh on despite-excitement-india-s-south-china-sea-policy-remains-unchanged
• Rupert Schulenburg on emergence-collective-strategic-ambiguity-taiwan
• Edward Cavanough on pacific-power-play-could-prove-quad-s-relevance
• noahopinion on tokyo-is-the-new-paris
• Andrew Seth on has-history-left-aung-san-suu-kyi-behind
• Joseph Seth on why-china-tripled-its-heavy-truck-shipments-central-asia-unravelling-influence
• Adam Simpson on explainer-why-was-the-winner-of-thailands-election-blocked-from-becoming-prime-minister
• Graeme Smith on china-is-playing-the-long-game-in-the-pacific-heres-why-its-efforts-are-beginning-to-pay-off
• Greg Earl on economic-diplomacy-japan-s-message-gas-bottle
• Shadi Saif on world-needs-new-plan-deal-taliban-afghanistan
• Hidayatal Rohmawati and Ackmad Hanan on indonesia-s-new-capital-power-can-t-afford-tangled-wires-jakarta
• the overshoot on chinas-missing-post-pandemic-rebound Thanks Brad

Wonk

• Evangeline Mantzioris on does-artificial-sweetener-aspartame-really-cause-cancer-what-the-who-listing-means-for-your-diet-soft-drink-habit
• Tim Harford on what-the-price-of-an-ancient-roman-nail-teaches-us-about-value
• the conversable economist on interview-with-bernanke-topics-in-monetary-policy, what-are-the-10-top-challenges-for-health-policy
• Tyler Cowen on bottlenecks-and-the-productivity-slowdown
• Noel Castree on did-the-anthropocene-start-in-1950-or-much-earlier-heres-why-debate-over-our-world-changing-impact-matters
• John Holbo on kafka-chesterton-cold-war-liberalism-hippy-noir

General

• Katherine Sievert and Gary Sacks on talking-about-eating-less-red-and-processed-meat-provokes-strong-feelings-thats-why-this-new-evidence-based-report-is-welcome
• Darious Sporzwynski on now-i-am-become-death-the-destroyer-of-worlds-who-was-atom-bomb-pioneer-robert-oppenheimer
• Hunter Fujak and Damien Whitburn on existential-questions-is-this-the-beginning-of-the-end-of-the-commonwealth-games
• Natassha Turley-Walker on a-mysterious-interstellar-radio-signal-has-been-blinking-on-and-off-every-22-minutes-for-over-30-years
• Adam Rorlach and Sandra Penske on ancient-dna-reveals-the-earliest-evidence-of-the-last-massive-human-migration-to-western-europe
• Katlain Cook on curious-kids-what-does-a-nuclear-bomb-actually-do

Climate

• Michelle Lyons on setting-standard-important-step-path-net-zero-emissions
• David Appell on norman-page-again-with-cooling
• Moyhu on giss-june-global-temperature-up-by-014-from-april
• Emma Hill and Ben Vivian on european-heatwave-whats-causing-it-and-is-climate-change-to-blame
• skeptical science on extreme-heat-health-care-costs-1b, at-a-glance-evidencehumans-are-causing-global warming
• the science of doom on natural-variability-attribution-and-climate-models-6
• DeSmog on the-chilling-question-about-this-weeks-record-heat-wave
• Ocean Acidification on carbonate-pump-feedbacks-on-alkalinity-and-the-carbon-cycle-in-the-21st-century-and-beyond
• Claudio Bozzi on mining-the-seabed-for-clean-tech-minerals-could-destroy-ecosystems-will-it-get-the-green-light
• and Then Theres Physics on are-the-impacts-of-climate-change-non-linear
• Zahra Hirji on 2023-is-already-on-track-to-be-the-hottest-year-ever-recorded Thanks Brad
• Dennis Amsted on coal-closures-battery-storage-solar-generation-energy-transition-everywhere

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• do-ultra-processed-data-cause-excess-publication-and-publicity-gain
  
• a-quote-on-data-transparency-from-1662
  
• what-data-to-include-in-an-analysis-not-always-such-an-easy-question-elliott-morris-and-nate-silver-edition
  
• when-your-regression-model-has-interactions-do-you-need-to-include-all-the-corresponding-main-effects
  
• some-questions-on-regression
  
• the-ten-craziest-facts-you-should-know-about-a-giraffe
  
• deja-vu-on-researching-whether-people-combined-with-llms-can-do-things-people-can-do
  
• statschat on briefly, election-poll-accuracy
• Kaiser Fung on how-hard-can-counting-be

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• financial-geopolitics-economic-statecraft
  
• the Big Picture on weekend-reads
• Tyler Cowen on what-ive-been-reading

Vox Wonk

• role-public-sector-lending-supporting-firm-growth-and-investment-evidence-lending
  
• natural-resource-exploitation-ethnic-group-identification
  
• beyond-mandated-sanctions-western-firms-voluntary-departure-russia
  
• techies-and-firm-level-productivity
  
• tackling-terrorism-africa-needs-urgent-collective-efforts
  
• information-sharing-access-finance-and-jobs
  
• many-channels-firms-adjustments-energy-shocks-evidence-france
  
• revisiting-china-japan-rare-earths-dispute-2010
  
• impact-place-based-policies-regional-inequality
  

Trump and the Law

 I have given you some great articles to read over the last few days so it is time to vent my feelings.

It appears Trump wil lbe indicted again only this time on crimes due to the Jan 6 insurrection. It is important to note he could not be indicted if a grand jury did not agree.

It is important to not if the DOJ was being weaponised as alleged then the charges would be thrown out or he would be found innocent as occurred not once but twice under Trump. Trump has lost a number of cases in trying to stop any of these cases. trump has never explained how a weaponised DOJ were able to convince a number of grand juries!

If any of these cases were bullshit as alleged by Trump he would want a very speedy trial to show how poor these cases are. In fact he is doing all he can to ensure thy are as long as possible and start , if they do, after the nest election.

If he is the Republican candidate and wins then my guess is the Supreme court will allow him to pardon himself. However it is important to note If the cases against go ahead and he loses he cannot do this. Then we have the weird thing of a President ruling from gaol!

I have no doubt Trump would bring an authoritarian bent to another Presidency but I do not think the institutions are so far gone as to allow this.

More Pot Pouri

 Is the Northern Hemisphere showing us what will occur here? ANDREW KING answers.

Are we seeing the end of the commonwealth games. I hope so but MAYBE.

OPPENHEIMER. I am seeing it on Monday when the cricket is over.

Will We see a reduction in inflation without a recession. PETER MARTIN opines.

Can we close Eraring and Vales Point and still have electricity. TIM BUCKLEY says yes.

Ross Garnaut not happy with our TRANSITION.

A pot pouri of articles

 Some great reading this morning.

• wind-and-solar-remain-cheapest-new-sources-of-power-even-after-inflation-hit
  
• what-data-to-include-in-an-analysis-not-always-such-an-easy-question-elliott-morris-and-nate-silver-edition
  
• with-less-than-a-year-to-go-the-murray-darling-basin-plan-is-in-a-dreadful-mess-these-5-steps-are-needed-to-fix-it
  
• how-a-secret-plan-50-years-ago-changed-australias-economy-forever-in-just-one-night
  

Enjoy as none are lengthy!!

New RBA governor and more

 We will have a new governor whose first day of work is my birthday!

Here is Issac Gross on Bullock.  I am with Ross Gittins.  Why you ask?  The RBA was consistently wrong on rates BEFORE covid.  Rates were too high for too long and thus unemployment was higher than it should have been. Bullock was part of the problem there and with and after covid.

Look to Bernie Fraser. By far the best governor we have had. As Harry Callaghan would say he knew his limitations. As at treasury he allowed the bright young things their heads on almost any topis. The RBA having an inflation possibly the most important. He was innovative.

The RBA needed an outsider who was innovative  who would lead another intellectual renaissance. The obvious candidate was David Gruen. A man who is the brightest of the brightest but allows people to think outside the square. his term thus far at the ABS shows him to be an innovator. 

A sort of Bernie Fraser with an intellect. The RBA needed to be 'stirred up' and Bullock will not do it.

Let me add another policy measure when tightening is needed. Increase the SGC temporarily. People have less money in their pockets b\ut more in their super. It cuts consumption but makes people better off in the future. something to think about.

The Fadden by-election was a snooze. nothing much happened so everyone won!

Around the Traps 14/7/23

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Kevin Bonham on 1951-and-reason-to-avoid-early-double-dissolution
• renew economy on bowen-sets-1000mw-electrolyser-target-as-hydrogen-strategy-gets-revamp, nuclear-coalition-remains-trapped-by-climate-and-technology-denial, whats-really-behind-that-meter-new-study-to-unlock-hidden-network-secrets, wind-energy-smashes-output-record-in-big-blow-across-southern-states, first-turbine-goes-up-at-australias-largest-wind-farm-foundations-laid-for-big-battery, queensland-slammed-for-bespoke-demands-on-inverters-in-controversial-rule-change, wa-to-use-solar-duck-to-give-free-power-to-states-households-doing-it-tough, bowen-were-playing-catch-up-but-82-pct-renewables-target-can-be-met, energy-experts-says-chasing-nuclear-would-likely-stop-australia-reaching-net-zero, offshore-wind-race-for-space-as-pared-back-hunter-zone-officially-declared, aemo-targets-inverters-and-small-solar-in-engineering-roadmap-to-100-pct-renewables, tight-grid-reliability-standard-extended-to-deal-with-tail-risk-and-extreme-weather-events
• Lasantha Meegapola on new-transmission-lines-are-controversial-for-nearby-communities-but-batteries-and-virtual-lines-could-cut-how-many-we-need
• croaking cassandra on an-external-mpc-member-speaks, flabbergasted
• Lisa Cox on nuclear-power-too-expensive-and-slow-to-be-part-of-australias-plans-to-reach-net-zero-study-finds
• Mario Peucker on what-is-reverse-racism-and-whats-wrong-with-the-term
• Honni van Rijswick and Penny Crofts on explainer-what-is-the-tort-of-misfeasance-and-how-might-it-apply-in-the-case-of-robodebt
• John Quiggin on this-nuclear-renaissance-will-fail-just-like-the-last-one
• Ross Gittins on robodebt-politicians-behaving-badly
• Institutional Economics on governor-lowes-response-to-the-rba
• Chris Wallace on after-robodebt-heres-how-australia-can-have-a-truly-frank-and-fearless-public-service-again
• Kai Lim and Scott Hardman on how-far-to-the-next-electric-vehicle-charging-station-and-will-i-be-able-to-use-it-heres-how-to-create-a-reliable-network
• Kevin Morrison on australia-losing-strategy-plan-global-co2-trade-deal
• Issac Gross on why-was-philip-lowe-not-reappointed-as-rba-governor-we-can-rule-out-interest-rates-as-a-reason

Northern America

• Adam Ozimek on inflation-jobs-unemployment-recession
• Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal on what-could-go-wrong-for-the-us-labor-market Thanks Brad
• Fisher Investments on chartflation-five-charts-showing-inflation-isnt-as-sticky-as-feared Thanks Brad
• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-2022-term-affirmative-action-religion-voting-rights-abortion
• Ellen Ioannes on dobbs-roe-wade-abortion-supreme-court-iowa-ohio
• noahopinion on california-needs-real-math-education-not-gimmicks
• the conversable economist on has-chinas-industrial-policy-worked-interview-with-lee-branstetter
• Tyler Cowen on why-the-nyc-congestion-pricing-plan-is-bad
• Menzie Chinn on more-on-nfp-employment-overestimation
• the grumpy economist on new-york-times-on-hank-and-questions
• calculated risk on cleveland-fed-median-cpi-increased-01
• Benji Jones and Umair Irfan on excessive-heat-wave-summer-climate-el-nino
• Rachel Cohen on abortion-ballot-measure-ohio-reproductive-rights-2024
• David Graham on trump-wants-use-his-campaign-escape-prosecution
• Jeffrey Toobin on keeping-speech-robust-and-free-new-york-times-v-sullivan
• Bill McKibben on is-it-hot-enough-yet-for-politicians-to-take-real-action
• Nicole Narau on fbi-republicans-wray-defund-hearing
• Dennis Aftergut on will-fani-willis-doj-trump-indictment
• Dahlia Lithwick on liberal-dissents-this-term-lessons
• Barbara McQuade on hunter-biden-irs-whistleblower-controversy-fizzling
• and Then Theres Physics on proximal-origins
• New Deal Democrat on june-inflation-almost-non-existent-except-for-the-fictitious-measures-of-shelter
• Geoffrey Skelley on third-party-candidate-spoiler-trump-biden
• Li Zhou on house-defense-bill-republicans-abortion-trans-rights-culture-war

Europe

• Gorana Grgic on why-is-nato-expanding-its-reach-to-the-asia-pacific-region
• Mark Pierce on french-fragmentation
• Jen Kirby on sweden-turkey-nato-membership-summit-drama
• Jonathan Portes on impact-brexit-uk-economy-reviewing-evidence
• stumbling and mumbling on on-being-conservative
• the conversable economist on poland-since-1938-into-a-planned-economy-and-back-again
• Claire Rioult and Romain Faithi on the-french-revolution-executed-royals-and-nobles-yes-but-most-people-killed-were-commoners
• Tilman Ruff on the-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-power-plant-is-a-dirty-bomb-waiting-to-happen-a-nuclear-expert-explains
• Nikola Mikovic on how-long-can-putin-s-special-relationship-erdogan-last

Asia

• Ravi Nayyar on quad-tackling-spider-not-cobwebs-cyberspace
• noahopinion on china-at-the-peak
• Anne Irfan on jenin-attack-created-4-000-new-refugees-part-of-the-endless-cycle-of-palestinian-displacement-since-1948
• Menzie Chinn on china-mid-2023-teetering-on-deflation
• Ved Shine on beijing-s-bad-bet-moscow
• Ben Scott on putin-xi-s-useful-idiot
• the conversable economist on chinas-belt-and-road-initiative-reaches-the-debt-bailout-stage

Wonk

• James Ball on the-slow-sad-death-of-twitter Thanks Brad
• Ben Winnick on odysseus-shot-first-signs-differing-traditions Thanks Brad
• Tim Harford on what-an-amusement-park-can-teach-us-about-central-banks
• Brad De Long on the-modern-world-reconceived
• Tom Barber on existential-risk-whole-society-challenge
• noahopinion on the-world-is-big-and-no-one-is-listening, grading-the-economic-schools-of-thought
• the conversable economist on can-exports-of-services-spearhead-development-2
• mainly macro on inflation-and-pandemic-recoveries-in-5-major-economies
• Claire Young on charting-new-paths-antarctic-protection-despite-china-s-resistance
• Robert Walker et al on scrapping-imf-surcharges-key-cutting-debt-burden-distressed-nations
• Steven Greenland on whats-in-a-name-quite-a-lot-if-its-prosecco-parmesan-or-mozzarella
• Nick Gruen on why-esg-is-a-puppet-show-and-what-to-do-about-it, elite-capture-how-christianity-wrote-the-playbook
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-nowcasting-with-machine-learning-two-lessons-from-our-recent-paper

General

• Practical Engineering on why-is-desalination-so-difficult Thanks Brad
• Nic Rawlence et al on the-true-origins-of-the-worlds-smallest-and-weirdest-whale
• Kovi Rose and Tara Murphy on weve-detected-a-star-barely-hotter-than-a-pizza-oven-the-coldest-ever-found-to-emit-radio-waves

Climate

• Will Mathis and Aaron Clark on world-records-hottest-day-ever-on-july-3 Thanks Brad
• David Stern and Khalid Ahmed on china-is-pumping-out-carbon-emissions-as-if-covid-never-happened-thats-bad-news-for-the-climate-crisis
• real climate on back-to-basics
• Moyhu on june-global-surface-templs-up-0142-from-may
• Kimberly Reid on why-are-so-many-climate-records-breaking-all-at-once
• skeptical science on extreme-heat-pregnancy-dangerous, at-a-glance-agw
• renew economy on wind-and-solar-eat-fossil-fuels-in-europe-and-us-but-its-a-slow-burn-in-australia
• Douglas Bardsley on climate-change-threatens-to-cause-synchronised-harvest-failures-across-the-globe-with-implications-for-australias-food-security
• Kevin Trenberth on global-temperature-rises-in-steps-heres-why-we-can-expect-a-steep-climb-this-year-and-next
• Sigal Samuel on anthropocene-climate-epoch-canada-lake-crawford
• Moyhu on maintained-table-of-global-temperatures
• met office on latest-report-highlights-significantly-low-sea-ice-extent
• Menzie Chinn on in-case-you-hadnt-noticed-it-was-hot
• Umair Irfan on antarctica-heat-wave-sea-ice-level-record-el-nino

Andrew Gelman ( mainly Stats)

• before-reading-this-post-take-a-cold-shower-a-stanford-professor-its-great-training-for-the-mind
  
• would-you-allow-a-gun-to-be-fired-at-your-head-contingent-on-a-mere-16-consecutive-misfires-whatever-the-other-inconclusive-evidence
  
• here-are-the-data-from-that-cold-showers-study-so-you-haters-can-now-do-your-own-analyses
  
• the-vicious-circle-of-corroboration-or-pseudo-confirmation-in-science-and-engineering
  
• why-is-every-action-hero-named-jack-john-james-or-occasionally-jason-but-never-bill-bob-or-david
  
• some-challenges-with-existing-election-forecasting-methods
  
• how-does-bayesian-inference-work-when-estimating-noisy-interactions
  
• how-does-bayesian-inference-work-when-estimating-noisy-interactions
  
• freakometrics on our houses are burning
• Kaiser Fung on the-hate-campaign-against-negative-reviews, beware-of-the-hidden-influences

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• communicating-economics
  
• Tyler Cowen on central-notions-of-smithian-liberalism
• Andrew Gelman on nobodys-fool-by-daniel-simons-and-christopher-chabris

Vox Wonk

• collateral-damage
  
• correlations-among-risks-lessons-silicon-valley-bank-collapse
  
• cost-kakhovka-dam-destruction
  
• when-artificial-intelligence-becomes-central-banker
  
• reducing-fossil-fuel-extraction-may-imply-persistent-negative-effects-fossil-fuel
  
• disinflation-policies-and-central-bank-finances
  
• eu-independent-fiscal-institutions-deserve-stronger-role
  
• inflating-away-debt-debt-inflation-channel-german-hyperinflation
  

Joe Biden

 I want to talk about the US and Ukraine but before that it was truly embarrassing for republicans in attempting to investigate the Biden family.

Firstly the 'whistleblower' who alleged corrupt dealing with biden and China was not only indicted but on the road from the law. Oops

Secondly we again had IRS 'whistleblowers' alleging the DOJ, FBI intervened to ensure Hunter Biden got favourable treatment. He didn't of course BUT the Attorney who the Trump administration put on Hunter Biden's case was allowed to continue by Garland. HE said in no uncertain terms he was allowed to do his job with no interference. Oops again.

However we come to Ukraine. We must congratulate biden in getting NATO united again and helping Ukraine. Where Obama was ultra-timid when Russia invaded Crimea and took it Biden has not been so. He has provided weapons and ammunition.

Yet again another however he too has been somewhat timid. He has been far too slow. He did not allow Poland to give Ukraine their MIGs. He was too slow in understanding how tanks were important. Whereas the UK and france have given Ukraine missiles that could go well into russia Biden has hesitated.

It is though Biden wants Ukraine to fight russia with one hand behind their back. russia can lob as many missiles into Ukraine bbut Ukraine should not to similar as that would escalate things!! It is stupid thinking. ( While I am on this we should give them our FA -18s as they do not need aaistrips as good as F-16s and enable to Ukraine to take control of the sky which is vitally important if the russians as digged in as much as we know.)

Biden needs to come to the conclusion the democratic world needs to help Ukraine DEFEAT Russia and as soon as possible.

Energy again

Too much to repeat on this topic.

What do we know.

First of all forget about coal fired power stations for the future. They take too long to build ( 8 years) nd when they are going have far too man units that break down when it is hot. Lastly it is impossible to have dispatchable power with hem. It takes 30 minutes to start or close them down. Must be a reasson why the private sector won't touch them!

Forget about nuclear power. The large power statins take 15 years to build and are some 3-4 times as expensive as renewables. modular stations have similar cost problems and are much smaller. you would need 3-4 of them in a disused coal fired power station. Like coal they cannot deliver dispatchable power. Again must be a reason why the private sector won't touch them. John Quiggin recently wrote about THIS   ( update) and then there is THIS.

Gas is potentially a viable alternative if renewables can't deliver all they have promised as they can deliver dispatchable power however their cost means they really cannot be used a lot.

This leaves renewables whose costs continue to fall. They need transmission  lines because they are in different places to the old coal fired p[ower stations but it appears these costs will not be as great as previously thought given we have a better idea of where the lines should be plus a better use of large batteries.

Rooftop solar is also having a dramatic effect. The  peak in demand has changed from around noon to around 6 pm. The peak in demand is not as high as it previously was. This together with more people getting rooftop solar and the use of batteries to offset demand should have a significant effect of overall demand.

There is no alternative to renewables so we should be trying to get to 82% as soon as possible. the previous government dithered. Caught up in the culture wars the demonised renewables but they knew coal and nuclear were white elephants. they have a lot to answer for.

robodebt

 Robodebt was a disgrace.

Here are four different articles on the topic.

• the-robodebt-royal-commission-will-tell-us-whos-to-blame-but-thats-just-the-start
  
• robodebt-royal-commission-political-populism-policy-culture
  
• victims-now-know-they-were-right-about-robodebt-all-along-let-the-royal-commission-change-the-way-we-talk-about-welfare
  
• the-rise-of-robodebt-how-twitter-activists-pushed-a-government-scandal-from-hashtags-to-a-royal-commission
  

Clearly the coalition came at this from a perspective there were a  lot of 'dolebludgers'  out there milking the system.

No-one apparently thought much about the legalities of this situation. No-one thought of using human beings to use the algorithms which would have brought the problems to the surface immediately.

finally no-one thought of how this would affect those people whom the government would demand money from. This was made worse by the use of debt collectors.

It is a very sorry story of very poor government as all this went through cabinet and no-one asked the basic questions!

A test for the ages.

 For the first time we got a decent pitch and thus we got one of the great tests of history. Until England actually won you were not certain which side would win although England were in the best position most but not all the time. Until Wood hooked a six I was not sure England could do it.

It is easy to see test cricket is more enjoyable to watch when the ball is on top. It makes you appreciate good batting more.

Wood was a revelation, how unlucky are England to have not one but three 90 mph bowlers  injured, and surely Tongue will play in Manchester!

Warner is on thin ice and will Green come back into the team? England need to think about their no.3. how brilliant was it in putting ali at no.3! Will Tongue or Anderson come in for Robinson and should Fakes come in for Bairstow.

These Ashes are fantastic

Around the Traps 7/7/23

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Charles Livingstone on australia-has-a-strong-hand-to-tackle-gambling-harm-will-it-go-all-in-or-fold
• Sarah Wheeler and Claudia Ringler on the-murray-darling-basin-shows-why-the-social-cost-of-water-concept-wont-work
• AJ Brown on the-new-national-anti-corruption-commission-faces-high-expectations-and-a-potential-mountain-of-work
• Peter Martin on two-more-rba-rate-hikes-tumbling-inflation-and-a-high-chance-of-recession-how-our-forecasting-panel-sees-2023-24, the-rba-has-kept-interest-rates-on-hold-heres-why-itll-be-cautious-from-here-on
• renew economy on agl-coal-plants-in-trouble-for-failing-to-do-what-it-says-on-the-box-and-stabilising-grid, the-big-battery-being-used-to-push-electricity-prices-to-the-market-cap, wind-to-the-south-solar-to-the-north-renewable-generation-records-blown-away-in-june, wa-to-fast-track-wind-solar-and-green-hydrogen-and-manufacturing-approvals, australia-reaches-record-36-8-pct-renewables-in-22-23-lowest-coal-this-century, australias-fossil-fuel-methane-emissions-are-nearly-twice-as-bad-as-industry-reports, negative-pricing-events-hit-record-levels-and-are-worse-in-coal-fired-grids, wind-and-solar-face-planning-brick-wall-that-threatens-to-derail-switch-from-coal, study-says-solar-can-reduce-moisture-loss-and-has-minimal-impact-on-grasslands, clean-brown-coal-to-hydrogen-project-not-economically-viable-says-new-report, flexible-export-limits-the-next-phase-for-rooftop-solar-kicks-off-in-an-australia-first
• Darren O'Donovan on the-culmination-of-years-of-suffering-what-can-we-expect-from-the-robodebt-royal-commissions-final-report
• Ben Wellings on crickets-wicket-ways-what-the-furore-over-a-stumping-tells-us-about-anglo-australian-relations-spoiler-theyll-survive
• Jenny Gordon on reforming-australia-s-trading-system-long-hard-slog-worth-effort
• Kevin Tolhurst on its-official-australia-is-set-for-a-hot-dry-el-nino-heres-what-that-means-for-our-flammable-continent
• Daniel Wood on as-fees-keep-climbing-this-is-why-competition-isnt-enough-to-deliver-cheaper-childcare
• Peter Whiteford on the-robodebt-royal-commission-will-tell-us-whos-to-blame-but-thats-just-the-start
• Laura Tingle on robodebt-royal-commission-political-populism-policy-culture
• Darren O'Donovan on victims-now-know-they-were-right-about-robodebt-all-along-let-the-royal-commission-change-the-way-we-talk-about-welfare
• Ehsan Dehghan and Axel Bruns on the-rise-of-robodebt-how-twitter-activists-pushed-a-government-scandal-from-hashtags-to-a-royal-commission

Northern America

• Kevin McDermott on st-louis-downtown-doom-loop-pandemic-return-to-office Thanks Brad
• Johnathan Bernstein on biden-wins-when-republicans-take-credit-for-money-to-expand-broadband-access Thanks Brad
• Menzie Chinn on wind-solar-help-texas-meet-record-power-demand-during-heat-wave
• Jim Newell on the-surge-roberts-scotus-mccarthy-prigozhin-pence
• David Appell on red-state-blue-state-murder-gap
• noahopinion on the-student-debt-revolt-failed, the-new-1970s
• Emma Shortis on why-wokeness-has-become-the-latest-battlefront-for-white-conservatives-in-america
• Umair Irfan on south-heat-wave-jet-stream-louisiana-texas-climate-el-nino
• Dahlia Lithwick and Mark Stern on supreme-court-john-roberts-winning-americans-losing
• David Cole on scotus-picks-its-battles
• Leah Litman and Lawrence Tribe on biden-administration-social-media-injunction-awful
• Richard Hasen on john-roberts-elena-kagan-student-debt-dissent
• Jeffrey Toobin on keeping-speech-robust-and-free-new-york-times-v-sullivan
• Nicole Narea on trump-classified-documents-affidavit-security-footage
• Kaleigh Rodgers and Mary Radcliffe on extremism-mass-casualty-events-shootings
• the grumpy economist on fiscal-inflation-and-interest-rates
• Institutional economics on recession-delayed-is-recession-denied

Europe

• Joseph Downing on paris-riots-when-police-shot-a-teenager-dead-a-rumbling-pressure-cooker-exploded
• Ellen Ioannes on wagner-group-africa-russia-uae-putin
• Genevieve Donnelan-May on unleashing-chaos-nova-kakhovka-dam-destruction-threatens-global-food-security
• stumbling and mumbling on inflation-a-political-problem
• Mick Ryan on war-russia-is-ukraine-military-strategy-on-track
• Francios Dubet on french-riots-follow-decades-old-pattern-of-rage-with-no-resolution-in-sight
• Keith Gessen on could-putin-lose-power
• Mainly Macro on why-conservatives-will-always-advocate-economically-conservative-socially-damaging-policies

Asia

• Daniel Mandell on looming-fate-fukushima-s-contaminated-water
• Evan Freidin on china-s-answer-top-gun-flat-spin
• Brendan Cliff on bounties-on-exiled-hong-kong-activists-show-the-ambitious-reach-of-chinas-political-repression
• Leoni Fleischman on death-in-jenin-israels-biggest-attack-in-the-west-bank-in-20-years-is-down-to-netanyahus-political-weakness-heres-why

Wonk

• programmable mutter on shoggoths-amongst-us Thanks Brad
• Suryapatra Wijaksana on globalisation-promised-growth-now-emerging-economies-need-new-path
• Tyler Cowen on income-inequality-in-the-aztec-empire, who-first-declared-that-god-is-dead, praying-for-rain
• Ann Applebaum on nato-jens-stoltenberg-unelected-bureaucrat-ukraine
• the conversable economist on craiutu-on-the-courage-and-nonconformism-of-moderation, cryptocurrencies-the-classic-problems-of-inside-and-outside-money
• Hugh Piper on stumped-cricket-controversy-here-s-how-sport-politics-collide
• Ben Rich and Lena Adel on is-saudi-arabia-using-sportswashing-to-simply-hide-its-human-rights-abuses-or-is-there-a-bigger-strategy-at-play

General

• Tim Harford on will-chatgpt-be-homer-simpsons-salvation
• Geraint Lewis on astronomers-see-ancient-galaxies-flickering-in-slow-motion-due-to-expanding-space
• Teresa Ubide et al on volcano-eruptions-are-notoriously-hard-to-forecast-a-new-method-using-lasers-could-be-the-key

Climate

• met office on antarctic-sea-ice-hits-record-low
• sceptical science on at-a-glance-ocean-acidification
• Andrew King et al on heres-why-climate-change-isnt-always-to-blame-for-extreme-rainfall
• Kimberly Reid on why-are-so-many-climate-records-breaking-all-at-once
• Roland Rajah and Georgia Hammersly on paris-climate-summit-new-global-financing-pact-takes-shape

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• the-causal-revolution-in-econometrics-has-gone-too-far
  
• instructors-are-trying-their-best-but-they-are-busy-and-often-dont-themselves-understand-statistics-so-well-how-can-they-avoid-using-bad-examples-or-does-this-even-matter
  
• on-the-past-and-future-of-null-hypothesis-significance-testing
  
• the-role-of-doubt-in-conceiving-research-the-capacity-to-be-upset-to-recognize-anomalies-for-what-they-are-and-to-track-them-down-and-figure-out-what-in-our-understanding-is-lacking
  
• cheating-in-science-sports-journalism-business-and-art-how-do-they-differ
  
• Freakometrics on insurance biases discrimination and fairness 

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• positivism-and-its-tragedies
  
• Tyler Cowen on what-could-be-more-self-recommending-than-this
• Clare Cadwell on what-i-m-reading-watching-listening

Vox Wonk

• measures-prevent-runs-solvent-banks
  
• soviet-communism-and-strength-family
  
• unfriendly-friends-trade-and-relocation-effects-us-inflation-reduction-act
  
• promising-practices-likely-pitfalls-what-works-national-pay-gap-reporting-systems
  
• overly-optimistic-fiscal-expansions-eclipse-negative-effects-investment
  
• signal-behind-virtue-signals
  
• sanctions-and-exchange-rate-time
  
• business-dynamism-labour-market-concentration-and-monopsony-power
  
• accumulated-savings-during-pandemic-international-comparison-historical-perspective
  
• sanctions-and-exchange-rate-time
  
• trade-effects-eu-adequacy-decisions
  
• how-unearned-wealth-impacts-marriage-and-fertility-new-evidence-sweden