Sunday, 30 November 2025

Trump in trouble

 Donald Trump is in trouble. 

Excuse me for not being surprised. I wrote here that on winning the election he would be in trouble because his economic policy was incoherent.

Let us go through this shall we.

Tariffs

Tariffs increase costs and therefore prices. It leads to consumers having to pay higher prices after the tariffs are implemented. It leads to industry becoming more inefficient because of a permanently higher cost structure. The political problem is inflation rises from what is was and no amount of gaslighting will solve this

Deportations

This leads to a lower labour force. it means some industries such as agriculture and building face problems in getting labour. The problem here is hardened criminals who are undocumented  immigrants are few and far between. They are either in gaol or hard to find because they are criminals. It is quite costly to find and get them. Thus this administration gets the low hanging fruit of undocumented immigrants who have committed NO crimes. Lying about how you get these people and being unlawful merely exacerbates this problem. This explains why Trump is under water on immigration!!

The University Sector

They have been hit in three areas. They have been hit with overall funding. They have been hit with specific funding with regard to research particularly health research. finally overseas students have been targeted on their political views. If you have been critical of trump or supported palestinian human rights then you will not be able to study in the USA and if you are there at present you might get arrested 

Billionaires

It aint a great look when you give large tax cuts to billionaires but cut spending to those less well off. It gets worse when you and your family are making bucket loads since gaining office.

Health Care

People are only now getting their health care bills for next year and they have risen a lot. You cannot criticise ACA if you have no alternative.

It Deja Vu all over again

People are only now remembering how chaotic the first Trump administration was. Last time has had some adults in the room. This time around he has none.  Hegeth, Bondi , Patel etc are very good examples of very incompetent people in charge. People also forgot Trump is not very good at politics. He was very unpopular last time and thus far he is even more unpopular.


I was always very confident there would be a substantial vote against Trump in the mid-terms. I remain so. Just remember Trump can never admit he ever gets things wrong.


Thursday, 27 November 2025

Around the Traps 28/11/25

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

OZ climate

Northern America

Europe

Asia

Wonk

General

Climate

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

Vox Wonk

Wednesday, 26 November 2025

A Bad CPI

The CPI was released yesterday. It is the first fair dinkum monthly CPI.

It was bad. It rose stronger than expected. Thus the RBA will stay put on rates as they should.

HERE is some good commentary

HOWEVER it is a new series. It will take time to be broken in. The RBA has already said it will take more notice of the quarterly CPI.

I have to say both the last quarterly number and this number is at odds with business surveys which say inflation is okay.

This simply means you wait until you are sure where is inflation is and heading.

Tuesday, 25 November 2025

renewable energy

 Renew energy has some interesting articles.


All in all positive but work needs to be ddone

Monday, 24 November 2025

Is Trump a russian agent

 The US's 28 point peace plan is out and it looksl ike it was written by Russia.

See:

Perhaps Witkoff has been a russian agent all along.

Why does a country that was invaded have to be limited in their defence force? Why do they have to give away territory they hold. Unbelievable

It is no wonder this garbage came from a property developer with NO foreign affairs experience who has no State department to assist him ( his choice).

Pardon the french but the world needs to come together and tell Trump to get stuffed!!!@

Sunday, 23 November 2025

the 1st test was a disgrace

 I was soo looking forward to the 1st test and then I was let down.

On the first day we saw pathetic batting. The bowling was moderate to very good. The poms leant nothing from their woeful display in the first innings. It was no surprise the pommy bowlers could not bowl well again given they had little rest for both their physical and emotional wellbeing.

I have some coaching tips

When facing a left arm bowler who is not swinging the ball then do not drive. Wait for a short ball outside the offstump and then cut it. If it is on legstump then either play off the hip or glance it depending on the length.

If a right hand bowler is bowling 4th or 5th stump either leave the ball alone or take a guard on off stump. Even then remember to drive a ball your foot has to be at the ball and your head over it.

When bowling to a batsman who is suspect to a fast bouncer like Head is use the bouncer sparsely. To get a batsman out you have to get them wondering what ball is coming next.

Right. The Poms are gone. They wil lnot come back after that. They had the match on a platter and lost it badly by not learning.

The other thing is their fast bowlers do not back up. Archer is good for the first match but not after that as the India test series showed. The other bowlers are the same.

Their batsmen should thrive here. in the first innings they showed how to play Boland and then forgot all about it. It reminded me of Pope in India.

I am soooo dissapointed.

Thursday, 20 November 2025

Around the Traps 21/11/25

 It is time for Around the Traps again.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

OZ climate

Northern America

Europe

Asia

Wonk

General

Climate

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

Dianne Coyle (quirky + book reviews)

Vox Wonk


Tuesday, 18 November 2025

The LNP's energy policy

 Okay we do not know but we can take an educated guess.

nuclear power

No Public ownership but bans are lifted. good so far but given nuclear power is much more expensive than coal and takes twice as long to build this becomes an academic argument.  Also very important baseload power in incompatible with rooftop solar.

coal powered power

 The government would provide support in financing thus  lowering borrowing costs. They would 'sweat' out exing assets.There is no intertest from the public sector in building coal fired power stations. They take 8 years to build , even new ones break s down on hot days ( ironic eh), they take too lomn ng to start and shut down, they need to be going 24 hours a day, they only make money at night ( solar duck curve) and are incompatible with rooftop solar.  I should also add units breaking down is what AEMO worries about every summer re blackouts.

Sweating out existing assets is mad. This is one of the reasons energy costs are so high. This would make it worse. Lowering borrowing costs is academic when no-one wants to build any plants.

gas

They want to flood the country with gas to ensure prices fall. Unless you legislate this it won't happen and what happens when this hits overseas contracts.compaines are put in an invidious position.

renewables

This sector will be put on hold


This is all mad and like under Dutton I very doubt this would ever be applied but it adds to uncertainty.


Monday, 17 November 2025

the killing season

 This time of the year is now known as the killing season because this was when rudd was first knifed as PM.

We now have liberal leaders being lined up to be tossed aside.

Federally Sussan Ley looks a dead woman walking.Under pressure she has made some unforced errors and now the wagons are circling as the polls simply are very bad and there appears no improvement. the right wing clearly has the numbers but neither Andrew Hastie nor Angus Taylor has yet to make a move. ( If either are the answer then you clearly have asked the wrong question!)  The Liberals have a lack of talent and no-one on their side can make a dent on an unimpressive government. Possibly the best example of the is Ted O'Brien who was woeful in the last parliament and responsible for their disastrous nuclear policy is now deputy leader.

The irony is whoever leads the party must surely get a a large swing at the nest election. It could be a 'corbyn' swing. People will swing when they know the government cannot change

In NSW Mark Speakman will be replaced by whom we do not know but the whispers are now shouts. It is hard to be Opposition leader after being in government for so long. Speakman was on a hiding to nothing and Minns is impressive.

Victoria is another thing all together. how the ALP is stil lthe government is beyond me. It appears if the ALP is bad the Liberals are worse so they change leaders in the hope of winning. Victoria desperately needs a new government!!!

Sunday, 16 November 2025

US Politics

 How can we ignore the gross incompetence of the Comey and James grand jury indictments. This could be the FOURTH person yes read that again  Trump has had declared to legally in position to be shown quite the opposite.

But it gets worse. She 'conducted' the last part of the grand jury without a court recorder. Pam Bondi says it was all fine and dandy despite this.Showing she is either a consummate liar or incompetent. The DOJ have not presented to the defence  the previous prosecutor's report on what he was not attempting to indict either defendant.

I think we can be pretty confident both cases will be dismissed as she was improperly appointed.

The US  murders more people in boats despite providing NO evidence to back up their claims. Please note they very quickly dispatched survivors back to their countries instead of charging when they could have. 

Republicans got smashed in all elections held last tuesday. Perhaps a harbinger on the mid-terms.

Moar Epstein and now investigation into any democrats associated with the case despite Bondi saying earlier in the year the DOJ found no crimes had been committed by any other actors!!

Trump seems to be more fat and older these days and his cognitive decline is accelerating.

Saturday, 15 November 2025

Pavarotti

 Of course you must have the fat man singing Nessun Dorma as he does brilliantly




Thursday, 13 November 2025

Around the Traps 14/11/25

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

OZ Climate

Northern America

Europe

Asia

Wonk

General

Climate

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

Vox Wonk

Wednesday, 12 November 2025

Mark the Graph is on fire

 We are lucky that Mark the Graph has decided of late to write quite a few articles. ( keep it up)

I have previously  highlighted articles on energy. If you read them all and todays you will be much better for that.

Here ate two

Tuesday, 11 November 2025

I am not bothered by a nazi rally

 If we live in a democracy everyone is entitled to outline their political views no matter how hideous.

Voters will determine whether they are good or not not politicians. 

Okay I understand you cannot have pure free speech as you cannot shout fire in a cinema but I do not like people determining what you can say.

Over in the 'land of the free' the government has determined you cannot speak up for palestinians at all. if you are a visitor or foreign student or a green card holder you can be immediately deported. Indeed it gets worse you cannot criticise donald trump otherwise you get the same treatment.

Back here in OZ if I am so stupid to support Hamas or any other terrorist organisation then why shouldn't I. There are obviously limits to what you can say such as threats to people but let people say what they think.  After all stupid ideas are always stupid ideas

Why are we so afraid of what people say?

Monday, 10 November 2025

It is 50 years

 November 11 is remembered for remembrance day, Ned Kelly's hanging and of course the dismissal.

What most people miss is that the Liberals and National party could not have stopped supply going through the Senate unless the Queensland and NSW premiers replaced existing ALP senators with people who were not of the ALP and who then voted with the Opposition. It is no coincidence Fraser successfully changed the constitution so any senator must be replaced by a  person of the same party.

Another thing people miss is Whitlam's original program was very economically rational. He was af=terall a rattigan man. He established the IAC. He was highly influenced by the Vernon committee. His problem was he wanted to do it all far too quickly.

He was far too sentimental. He allowed people not up to it to be cabinet ministers. Until he appointed Hayden as treasurer, McCelland as Labour minister, Wriedt as Agriculture minster to name three His government was all over the place . It was tool ittle and too late. They destined to be voted out at the next election.

The Liberals were just too impatient and thus coming to power in the way they did Fraser never thought he had legimancy.

The dismissal should never occurred and probably will not occur again but -no-one comes out with their reputation enhanced.

Sunday, 9 November 2025

new panels and a battery continued

 Well my of my questions were answered when the tradesman came around to finalise everything. Something was put around the wrong way. Thus far we have plenty coming in and little going out.

Heating of the hot water makes up a lot of the consumption, this happens 4 times every day. even so the battery is around 60% or more in the morning when the sun is up.

The big bonus is if there is a black out the battery gives us power however for reasons i do not understand our air conditioning is only powered by the grid. 

Just bear in mind when power companies told us what average families consumed our 4 person family only consumed what 2 and 1/2 of a 'normal 'family would consume.

So everything is hunky dory

Thursday, 6 November 2025

Around the Traps 7/11/25

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

OZ Climate

Northern America

Europe

Asia

Wonk

General

Climate

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

Vox Wonk