Tuesday, 14 October 2025

Some observations on US politics

 Trump is below water on immigration.I have written about this before but it needs repeating. Most people agree that harderen criminals who are not US citizens should be deported. However ICE is mostly arresting people who are in effect model citizens. Indeed a lot of people are being arrested when leaving immigration courts for simply doing the right thing. Add to that the masking of ICE agents together with no identification. It is also important to note there is undoubtedly a lack of training thus a lot of ICE agents make a lot of mistakes and thus lie about proposed arrests. CCTV has not been their friend in their allegations.

The major problem here is the more people you attempt to arrest and deport the more contractionary it is for the economy. Wages will also rise.

We have also seen two indictments where the line prosecutors refused to participate. most people with legal expertise believe neither case will go to a jury indeed it is quite possible the attorney who had no experience with grand juries did not do it properly. The DOJ simply has little credibility these days. discovery in both cases will show the arguments why seasoned prosecutors di not seek indictments. 

We have seen judges , one appointed by trump, essentially say the government is lying about what has occurred in certain cities. This again will have future implications for the DOJ quite severe ones at that.

Republicans are trying to gerrymander seats allocated for the house so they do not lose control of the house even if they lose the vote. This can backfire. If you change seats simly on 2024 voting patterns and people change as they usually do in mid-term elections then suddenly seats which you thought  were 'safe' suddenly are lost because the margins had to be thin.The texas changes show this in spades


Gotta go now.

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