Around the Traps 17/1/14

It is time for Around the Traps.

Boys are away so plenty of time to update on the weekend.


Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• The Kouk on the-budget-deficit-remains-well-contained, crappy-jobs-data-but-it-is-a-lagging-indicator, housing-affordability-lattes-and-great-expectations
• Peter Martin on secret-fees-why-war-on-red-tape-is-war-on-us, health-economics-what-would-charging-for-a previously-free-visit-to-the-doctor-achieve
• Harry Clarke on pricing-heavy-vehicle-use, privatising-australia-post
• Mumble on so_so_shorten
• Mark the Graph on employment
• Grog's Gamut on Australias-unemployment-rate-in-December
• John Quiggin on a-few-more-observations-on-nuclear-power

Northern  America

• Mark Thoma gives us Tim Duy on fed-watch-employment-report-keeps-policymakers-on-their-toes, fed-watch-lockhart-greenlights-tapering
• Calculated Risk on key-measures-shows-low-inflation-in-December
• Menzie Chinn on friday_fiscal_lookback
• David Beckworth on has-natural-interest-rate-has-been-negative  Thanks Mark

Europe

• Kruggers on success-european-style,the-glittering-crises
• James Hamilton on european_monetary_policy_&_the_yield_curve
• Kevin O'Rourke on loffre-cree-meme-la-demande
• Mark Thoma on france-by-the-numbers
• Simon Wren-Lewis on was-uk-governments-use-of-north-sea-oil-a-scandal, how-ecb-could-be-radical-by-being-old-fashioned
• Monique Ebell on scottish-independence-and-uks-debt-burden-update

Asia
nuttin again

• Noah Smith on myths-and-misconceptions-about-japans-economy

Wonk

• Steve Roth on the-economy-is-a-ponzi-scheme
• Arindrajit Dube on separating-signal-from-noise-a-review-of-12-major-studies-on-minimum-wages-and-poverty  Thanks Mark
• Menzie Chinn on reserve_accumulation_ in_the_wake_of_the_great_recession
• Econbrowser on guest_contribution_on _Understnding_the _potential_effects_of_QE
• Noah Smith on the-equation-at-core-of-modern-macro
• Edward Lambert on attack-on-euler-equation-implies-financial-repression-is-alive-and-well
• Carola Binder on on-euler-equations  Thanks Mark
• Edward Lambert on comparing-methods-to-determine-the-output-gap
• Brad DeLong on The risks from expansionary monetary policy
• Simon Wren-Lewis on will-financial-crisis-lead-to-another-revolution-in-macro-economics

General

• Noah Smith on how-will-conservatives-save-poor, new-week-article-economists-get-bad-rap, against-ideological-turing-test
• Rob Bray on national-minimum-wage-role-and-rationales
• Tim Harford on what-price-supply-and-demand
• Chris Dillow on bonuses-arms-races, inherently-biased-journalism, paul-krugman-the-nature-of-economics and then Kruggers on ui-the-nairu-and-the-zlb
• David Glasner on did-raising-interest-rates-under-the-gold-standard-really-increase-aggregate-demand
• James Hamilton on links_for_2014 

Climate

• Tamino on smooth-3, southern-discomfort
• Rojer Jones on mclean-follow-up 
• Real Climate on thames-barrier-raised-again
• The Science of Doom on ghosts-of-climates-past-twelve-gcm-v-ice-age-termination

Andrew Gelman ( Stats Guru)

• risk-deviating-standards-close-reading-requires-context
• things-like-almost-nobody-else-interested
• judea-pearl-overview-causal-inference-general-thoughts-reexpression-existing-methods-considering-implicit-assumptions
• postdoc-liz-stuart-propensity-score-methods-covariates-measured-error
• advice-on-writing-research-articles
• postdoc-involving-pathbreaking-work-mrp-stan-2014-election
• Aggressive definitions
• course-sample-surveys-political-science
• transformations-for-non-normal-data
• british-amateur-debunked-mathematics-of-happiness
• Good Stats Bad Stats on the polar vortex and the media hype of cold weather
• Kaiser Fong on in-which-i-ghost-write-part-2-of-avinashs-post,real-scientists-make-their-own-data

Dave Giles ( Econometrics)

• thanks-for-honour  Well Done Dave richly deserved
• estimating-generalized-pareto
• an-interesting-new-book
• Noah Smith on time-series-econometrics-no-giod-p.

Dianne Coyle ( Quirky + Book Reviews)

• life-satisfaction-gdp-and-sense, picturing-economic-complexity, reasons-to-be-cheerful-even-if-american,pursuits-grand-and-lesser,progress-and-the-greatest-irony, top-reading
• Liveo Di Matteo on fleet-gdp-and-1914

Voxwonk

• real-wage-productivity-nexus
• win-win-eliminating-corporate-income-taxes
• first-steps-banking-union-implementation
• quality-goods-and-pass-through-puzzle
• costing-secrecy
• fixing-japan-s-labour-market
• roots-of-shadow-banking
• video-gaming-and-studying-evidence-japan
• what-asset-quality-review-likely-find-independent-evidence
• generalisability-experimental-results-economics
• immigration-romania-and-bulgaria-fiscal-impact
• firearm-background-checks-and-suicide
• global-crisis-and-east-asian-currency-misalignment