TV Shows I am watching

Pretty bored today after an interesting cricket match on Saturday.

Some shows I am watching are the following:

New Tricks.
This show has successfully transformed itself from its beginnings. all the original characters have now departed however IMHO the series is as good as it has ever been.
Old codgers solving crimes with a very attractive boss is always enjoyable to watch.

Foyles War
This is possibly the best series to come out of the UK. the attention to detail in this series is superb. Michael Kitchen is fantastic as Deputy Superintendent Foyle.

Madame Secretary
A well written series about an absolute babe who becomes the Secretary of State. A former CIA operative who' boss is now President. Her husband a former jet pilot in the Iraq war is now teaching theology at University. Totally realistic 9 sarc) but  not quite the West wing

The Inspector Lynley Mysteries

A member of the Aristocracy becomes a detective. not the greatest series but watchable.

Poirot

Could be the most enjoyable detective series ever. Perfect casting. Always enjoyable to watch even in the repeats.

Around the Traps 30/10/15

It is time for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Croaking Cassandra on fallow-the-case-for-a-lower-ocr-is-compelling, who-speaks-for-the-35000-unnecessarily-out-of-work, treasury-on-investor-finance-restrictions
• Peter Martin on mortgage-rates-big-four-think-theyll-get-away-with-it
• Mark the Ballot on poll-update
• Andrew Elder on the-nostalgia-act
• Greg Jericho on how-much-does-australia-really-subsidise-overseas-films-and-is-it-worth-it , union-membership-figures-plunge-and-thats-the-good-news
• Kevin Bonham on poll-roundup-newspoll-smells-coffee
• The Kouk on we-re-almost-certainly-a-million-miles-away-from-a-house-price-collapse , lay-off-the-banks-they-re-entitled-to-hike-rates , why-australia-s-low-inflation-is-a-game-changer , rate-expectations-what-is-priced-into-the-interest-rate-futures-market
• Ross Gittins on to-be-great-turnbull-must-govern-for-the-other-side , we-need-more-agile-thinking-about-reform
• Michelle Grattan on amnesty-alleges-criminal-activity-in-border-force
• Amy Maguire on amnesty-accuses-australia-of-violating-international-law-but-any-prosecutions-are-unlikely
• Rodney Maddock on what-fair-superannuation-would-look-like
• Sam Roggeveen on Abbott-speech-Can-Europe-learn-from-Australias-people-smuggling-policy
• John Rice and Nigel Martin on the-aldification-of-woolworths-is-destroying-its-value
• David Karoly and Mitchell White on its-been-australias-hottest-ever-october-and-thats-no-coincidence
• Steve Georgakis on four-reasons-rugby-union-in-australia-is-struggling-despite-the-wallabies-success
• James Goldrick on Why-Australia-must-send-in-its-navy-and-assert-freedom-to-operate-in-the-South-China-Sea

Northern America

• Calculated Risk on comments-on-september-new-home-sales , real-prices-and-price-to-rent-ratio-in-August
• Barkley Rosser on libya-and-hillary-select-committee
• Timothy Taylor on how-tight-is-us-labor-market
• Simon Wren-Lewis on keynes-never-left-canada-and-intends-to-stay
• Kruggers on delusions-of-failure Mark Thoma gives us Kruggers on check-out-our-low-low-natural-rates
• Nick Rowe on one-awkward-question-about-stephen-polozs-speech
• Robert Waldmann on in-which-i-disagree-with-paul-krugman-and-brad-delong
• Nick Bunker on a-kink-in-the-phillips-curve  Thanks Brad
• Mark Thoma gives us Tim Duy on fed-watch-december-still-very-much-a-live-meeting
• Brad De Long on bernanke-memoir-monetary-policy-lessons

Europe

• Tony Yates on mark-carneys-intervention-on-the-eu-exit-decision
• Chris Dillow on osborne-the-katie-hopkins-chancellor , two-blairs-or-one, tax-credits-journalists-failure
• Simon Wren-Lewis on what-are-abc-to-do , the-accidental-tax-credit-cuts , is-sterling-overvalued
• Daniel Woker on Which-way-for-Erdogan-Much-at-stake-in-Turkeys-repeat-election
• Peter Oborne on we-dont-need-to-wait-for-chilcot-we-were-lied-to-heres-evidence

Asia

• Noah Smith on how-china-got-rich
• Tony Yates on krugman-on-japan
• Brendan Thomas-Noone on New-capabilities-for-PLA.
• Euan Graham on US-Launches-FoNOPS-in-the-South-China-Sea-Better-Late-than-Never
• Croaking Cassandra on chinas-fertility-rate-in-an-asian-perspective

Wonk

• Roger Farmer on demand-creates-its-own-supply
• Tony Yates on the-phillips-splatter
• Timothy Taylor on greater-inequality-of-returns-across-us , how-raising-top-tax-rate-wont-much-alter-inequality , the-trade-facilitation-agenda
• Chris Dillow on marxs-relevance-today , on-expressive-rationality
• Noah Smith on how-nations-can-avoid-the-financial-resource-curse
• Paul Romer on where-has-all-the-excludability-gone Thanks Mark
• Menzie Chinn on how-are-emerging-markets-responding-to-anticipated-us-tightening
• Tim Harford on the-real-benefits-of-migration
• Edward Lambert on neo-fisher-reflections
• Nick Rowe on old-keynesian-vs-new-keynesian-fiscal-policy
• Invisible hand waving on assumptions-milton-friedman-and-wise-trees Thanks Mark

General

• Bernard Stewart on not-everything-gives-you-cancer-but-eating-too-much-processed-meat-certainly-can
• Tess Hardy on franchising-all-care-and-no-responsibility
• Merlin Thomas on spring-has-sprung-how-changes-in-weather-affect-our-health
• Lord Keynes on the-consequences-of-postmodernism-truth

Climate

• and Then Theres Physics on i-know-what-i-know-if-you-know-what-i-mean, climate-change-is-real-and-important
• Kevin Drum on great-1998-chart-swindle-now-officially-over  Thanks Brad
• moyhu on hansens-1988-predictions-revisited
• Kathleen Maclay on study-finds-climate-change-will-reshape-global-economy  Thanks Brad
• Science of Doom on renewables-xiv-minimized-cost-of-99-9-renewable-study
• Critical angle on new-study-global-warming-will-hit-economies-and-equality-more-than-we-thought
• Steve from Brisbane on cod-dont-care-for-warmer-water

Andrew Gelman ( Mainly Stats)

• modern-physics-from-an-elementary-point-of-view
• super-topical-nba-post
• characterizing-the-spatial-structure-of-defensive-skill-in-professional-basketball
• the-original-hot-hand-preprint
• Mark Thoma on new-method-to-solve-significant-variables-prediction-conundrum
• Kaiser Fung on theranos-and-ethics

Genial Dave Giles ( Econometrics)

• No Hesitations on the-hac-emperor-has-no-clothes
• Marc Bellemare on fads and fashions in econometrics

Dianne Coyle ( Quirky + Book Reviews)

• thinking-learning-and-doing , finance-made-funny

Vox wonk

• enduring-structure-federal-reserve-system-it-time-redraw-map
• on-the-greatness-of-the-great-moderation
• entrepreneurship-conflict-and-growth-evidence-afghanistan
• contribution-wage-structure-early-retirement-behaviour
• selected-takeaways-ecb-s-sintra-forum-inflation-and-unemployment-europe

Stagflation is occurring!

The ABS released the CPI for the September quarter yesterday.
The underlying rate was a measly 0.3%. This is despite the $A falling quite a bit.


Stagflation is rising rapidly obviously

Red Meat and Cancer

Recently the World Health Organisation came out with a warning on red meat and cancer.

 Helpfully Bernard Stewart writing on the Conversation (a must read site) tells us what is important and what it means.
Greg Laden is also helpful. So is Kaiser Fung

Canada likes Keynes

Kruggers wrote a column some time ago saying Keynes returns to Canada.

Nick Rowe wrote after that he never left Canada,Simon Wren-Lewis joins in and essentially agrees with Nick as do I.
( Nick links Kruggers and Simon links Nick)

This is why I always ignore Governments who talk the talk I always look at how they walk the walk.

Comments on Nick's article well worth reading.

Joe Hockey was a failure

Joe Hockey made his last speech yesterday.
He was a total failure. I can recall as a Minister despite having excellent staff when Minister for Financial Services he was never on top of the detail.

When Opposition Treasury spokesman he wailed against the entitlement mentality overseas but when he got back home he said the ALP Government's attempt to have sterner means test on family benefits was class warfare.

As an incoming treasurer he claimed he inherited a deficit and debt disaster. He never did say how PEFO was wrong or claimed the Secretaries of Treasury and Finance has lied .

The fact that both the deficit and debt has increased shows what a total failure Hockey was.
If you say quite accurately the terms of trade made this a certainty I would agree however Hockey in Opposition would not hear of this when Wayne Swan made the argument so it is only fair not to allow Hockey this excuse.

Here is Greg Jericho

Around the Traps 23/10/15

It is time again for Around the Traps.
Very busy over the weekend but will try and update. Interesting stuff in General!

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Peter Martin on the-bubble-is-shrinking, Westpac-and-the-commonwealth-bank-protect-their-mortgage-profits-no-matter-what
• Sam Roggeveen on The-complete-2015-Boyer-Lectures-by-Michael-Fullilove , QA-Boyer-Lectures-Are-Australians-ambitious-for-their-country
• Peter Briggs on Submarines-Build-them-here-and-build-12
• Francis Markham and Martin Young on 15-things-you-should-know-about-australias-love-affair-with-pokies
• Croaking Cassandra on fiscal-policy-a-response-to-some-comments , if-only-economic-performance-matched-the-rugby, the-treasury-on-reserve-bank-governance
• Kevin Bonham on poll-roundup-wealth-attack-on-pm-fails
• Ross Gittins on banks-ponder-their-next-game-with-interest
• Greg Jericho on today-the-great-australian-dream-is-owning-a-home-loan-or-two , hockey-the-fantasy-economist-may-as-well-have-farewelled-middle-earth
• Tim Harcourt on as-treasurer-hockey-proved-to-be-an-ordinary-joe
• Adam Lucas on the-long-term-future-of-australian-coal-is-drying-up
• Daniel Baldino on the-security-benefits-of-warrantless-surveillance-are-as-clear-as-mud
• Scepticlawyer on bloody-scandinavian-model-yet-again

Northern America

• David Beckworth on a-plea-to-my-fellow-free-marketers, no-fed-did-not-enable-large-budget-you-did
• Timothy Taylor on exonerating-henry-ellsworth-and-charles-duell, greater-inequality-of-returns-across-us-firms
• Scepticlawyer on nowadays-the-presence-of-white-americans-is-generally-good-for-african-americans
• Julie Hotchkiss on should-we-be-concerned-about-declines-in-labor-force-growth
• Calculated Risk on comments-on-september-housing-starts , payroll-employment-and-unemployment-claims, a-few-random-comments-on-september-existing-home-sales
• Eduardo Porter on the-myth-of-welfares-corrupting-influence-on-the-poor Thanks Mark
• Menzie Chinn on assessing-the-counter-cyclical-macro-policies-of-the-great-recession
• Stephen Gordon on how much revenue will the Liberals gain

Europe

• Zeynep Gambetti on ankara-war-on-peace
• Simon Wren-Lewis on employment-and-category-errors , linking-tax-credits-and-fiscal-charter
• Kevin O'Rourke on a-dangerous-union-for-small-countries
• Tony Yates on john-mcdonnells-boe-mandate-review
• Simon Tilford on gain-or-more-pain-spain  Thanks Mark
• Kevin O'Rourke on philip-lane-named-new-central-bank-governor
• Chris Dillow on steel-austerity-denial, tax-credits-the-bubbles-failures
• Liz Cooper on spains-traditional-parties-past-their-sell-by-date
• Francesco Saraceno on the-end-of-german-hegemony-really Thanks Mark

Asia

• Arshin Adib-Moghaddam on arabs-vs-persians-sunni-vs-shia-hatred-vs-reality
• Stephen Grenville on Asian-economies-to-be-bruised-not-battered-by-capital-flows
• Geoffrey Hodgson on six-reasons-why-chinas-economy-is-weaker-than-you-think
• Brendan Gogarty on japans-whaling-gambit-shows-its-time-to-strengthen-the-rule-of-science-in-law
• Leanne Piggot on Israel-Palestine-Why-has-violence-spiked-now
• Mark Thoma on official-statistics-understate-chinese-unemployment-rate
• J Michael Cole on China-needs-to-learn-Taiwanese-people-cant-be-bought
• Anton Cheremukin on Long view of China suggests inevitable slowdown Thanks Mark

Wonk

• Paul Romer on speeding-up-and-missed-opportunities-evidence , speeding-up-theory  Thanks Mark
• Nick Rowe on countries-as-clubs-open-borders-and-debtgdp-ratios, two-types-of-liquidity-shortage, negative-interest-vacuum-cleaner-gesellian-money-for-broke-central-banks
• Brad De Long on monday-smackdown-watch-paul-krugman-admonishes-me-on-my-making-out-of-milton-friedman-a-paper-money-calf
• Noah Smith on econ-critique-scorecard , low-interest-rates-are-here-to-stay
• Timothy Taylor on when-high-gdp-no-longer-means-high-per-capita-gdp , the-shifting-world-distribution-of-world-income
• Fergus Hanson on Waging-war-in-peacetime-Cyber-attacks-and-international-norms
• David Glasner on keynes-and-accounting-identities , keynes-on-the-theory-of-interest
• Gadi Barlevy on Bubbles and fools Thanks Mark
• Kruggers on rethinking-japan
• Tony Yates on krugman-on-japan
• Simon Wren-Lewis on central-bankers-and-their-irrational-fear
• Tim Harford on development-needed-just-give-cash
• Menzie Chinn on collapse-and-revival-understanding-global-recessions-and-recoveries
• Simon Wren-Lewis on the-last-7-years-are-argument-against-inflation-targeting
• Roger Farmer on a-bridge-too-far
• Chris Dillow on markets-need-marxism
• Mark Thoma gives us Kruggers on keynes-comes-to-canada

General

• Nick Haslam on anxious-conservative-or-easygoing-rebel-busting-the-birth-order-myths
• Serje Robidoux on seven-myths-about-dyslexia-put-to-rest
• Copolla Comment on generosity, all-your-cars-are-belong-us

Climate

• David Appell on proof-that-australia-is-heating-up, global-warming-productivity-loss-and-economic-loss
• Greg Laden on september-was-warm-2015-is-warm, honey-we-broke-the-global-warming-graph-again
• Moyhu on how-well-do-temperature-indices-agree, new-integration-methods-for-global-temperature
• Tamino on hot-heat , honey-i-broke-the-graph, 2015-a-very-bad-year-for-the-global-warming-policy-foundation
• and Then Theres Physics on the-good-the-bad-and-the-risky, drawing-down-atmospheric-co2-part-3, clarity-of-meaning
• Jeff Masters on September 2015 hottest month ever
• Steve from Brisbane on another-go-at-economics-of-climate
• Science of doom on renewables-xiv-minimized-cost-of-99-9-renewable-study
• Howard Lee on co2-higher-ordovician-intermediate-rebuttal
• Brad Plumer on climate-change-ambitious-cuts Thanks Brad
• Rob Honeycutt on tracking the 2 C limit

Andrew Gelman ( Mostly Stats)

• explaining-to-gilovich-about-the-hot-hand
• ta-nehisi-coates-david-brooks-and-the-street-code-of-journalism
• its-all-about-the-denominator-and-rajiv-sethi-and-sendhil-mullainathan-in-a-statistical-debate-on-racial-bias-in-police-killings
• whats-the-probability-that-daniel-murphy-hits-a-home-run-tonight
• the-answer-to-my-previous-question
• 3 reasons you can't always use predictive performance to choose amongst models
• don-draper-does-medical-research
• Kaiser Fung on statbusters-simple-computations-mislead , the-analytics-talent-gap-a-hiring-managers-perspective

Genial Dave Giles ( Econometrics)

• nuttin, not happy Dave
• new-forecasting-blog  I loike despite it being Canada centric

Dianne Coyle ( Quirky + Book Reviews)

• whats-new-about-nudges , standards-interoperability-and-innnovation-in-infrastructure , the-enlightened-economist-prize-2015-the-long-list
• Sebastian Sharp on hop-aboard-patti-smiths-m-train-a-memoir-on-the-right-side-of-the-tracks 

Vox Wonk

• foreign-aid-and-growth-new-evidence
• impact-taxes-use-deferred-executive-compensation
• labour-versus-leisure-preferences-and-employment-europe
• macro-micro-conflict
• poor-earning-power-japanese-firms
• voxeu-columns-philip-lane-irish-central-bank-governor-be
• shedding-some-light-dark-matter-trade-costs-services
• using-world-bank-doing-business-ranking-inform-economic-reforms-japan
• does-europe-s-trade-policy-solar-panels-shine-right-firms
• union-power-and-inequality
• do-poor-countries-really-need-more-it
• angus-deaton-nobel-laureate
• ecb-s-quantitative-easing-programme
• causes-and-consequences-persistently-low-interest-rates
• relational-contracts-and-supplier-turnover-global-economy