Monday, 29 June 2026

Ukraine update

 I wrote previously that russia cannot win this war and I stand by it. (If you are interested in this war can I recommend Ben hodges on youtube amongst others)

Ukraine have learned lessons when they failed. they are innovative and the leaders in the world at using drones.

Crimea has very little oil, ammunition, supplies etc. Only the military can get petrol. People are leaving there in droves and few russians are taking their summer holiday there. Putin has to divert resources there from other places which weakens those places and in reality does do much for crimea.

Russia is struggling to replace dead and wounded soldiers and even then ukrainian drones are stopping supplies getting to them.

Ukraine is winning back territory in net terms, That is they are gaining more than they lose.

some people are saying Putin is not getting the truth from his generals. I don't buy that. There is enough information around to know the war is going bad.

however he has no choice to battle on ( pun intended) and hope russia somehow winds. Given how much Ukraine is disabling russia's oil industry this hope is moot.

If the west give Ukraine the aid they need they will defeat russia. Will they?

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