Sunday 5 July 2020

Eden-Monaro by-election

It appears the ALP has won the by-election.

Kevin Bonham has some analysis on the result.

A few observations.

The swing to the Opposition on seats held by them is much smaller than the 4%  written about. See Kevin Bonham.
Mike Kelly was seen as both a popular and very good local member..
Wheres the liberal candidate held the 'right wing' vote this did not occur with the 'left wing' vote.
My view of the main two candidates were they were chalk and cheese.
The ALP candidate was local girl made good, articulate, telegenic, intelligent. The liberal candidate was almost the complete opposite yet in the end it did not matter either in the election or here!!

I was surprised that the ALP did not make a lot of a post-corona virus recovery.
I hope this is not the case at the next election.

Whoopsy I also should have said no-one knows why the Liberal won the last election nor why the ALP lost.
As yet few polling firms have yet to fess up to their failures of the last elections.
Worse it appears few journalists appear to have noted the polling failures. It appears these failures never happened.

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