It was not a great week for Malcolm Turnbull.
He has never had a reputation for political judgement but it certainly came home in spades last week.
first we had the mean and incredibly small minded decision of not to nominate Kevin Rudd to the Secretary General 's job of the UN. If a former successful; Prime minister and foreign diplomat cannot be nominated then no-one can. Peter Nadin has it right .
Then we have Turnbull appointing the former Chief Justice of the northern Territory to head the Royal Commission. It should not have gone to an insider so to speak but to someone outside the Territory. Also Shorten's thoughts of an aboriginal person on the RC was worthy of consideration.
In the end I agree with John Quiggin.for-his-own-self-respect-turnbull-should-quit
Update:
Martin has resigned being the Royal Commissioner. oh dear.
He has shown more class and integrity than Heydon ever did.
Further Update:
Mick Gooda is hopelessly compromised on this nor does he possess the intellectual disposition to be a co-chair of a Royal Commission. It was a woeful decision to appoint him, Margaret White is going to do a hellva lot of heavy lifting on this.
Sunday, 31 July 2016
Thursday, 28 July 2016
Around the Traps 29/7/16
It is time for Around the Traps
Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy
Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy
- Hugh Saddler on south-australias-electricity-price-woes-are-more-due-to-gas-than-wind
- Rachel Ong and Gavin Wood on lets-talk-about-the-family-home-and-its-exemption-from-the-pension-means-test
- Stephen Duckett on your-postcode-shouldnt-determine-your-health-or-whether-youre-admitted-to-hospital
- Helen Hodgson on wealth-inequality-shows-superannuation-changes-are-overdue
- Mathew Raj on youll-need-my-fingerprint-are-police-allowed-to-search-your-phone
- Croaking Cassandra on labour-on-new-zealands-economy , a-good-feature-of-our-tax-system , kudos-to-the-greens , reviewing-government-assistance-to-business
- The Pollbludger on pollster-performance-review
- Skepticlawyer on a-rebuke-to-crony-unionism
- Diane Kraal on australia-is-missing-out-on-tax-revenue-from-gas-projects
- Greg Jericho on cutting-welfare-means-hitting-those-who-are-already-among-the-poorest
- Tamara Tillich on will-post-sentence-detention-of-convicted-terrorists-make-australia-any-safer
- John Rice and Ralph Martin on can-a-corpulent-woolies-discard-its-history-and-fight-off-aldi
- Gail Pearson on more-scrutiny-needed-on-commissions-paid-to-life-insurance-advisers
- various on is-the-tropical-indian-ocean-to-blame-for-southern-australias-wet-winter
- John Quiggin on we-dont-need-another-royal-commission , for-his-own-self-respect-turnbull-should-quit
- Antony Green on allocating-new-senators-to-long-and-short-terms-and-next-election-timing
- The Kouk on why-is-australia-s-inflation-rate-so-stunningly-low
- Marrk McGovern on crippling-rural-debt-looms-as-biggest-threat-to-our-beef-producers
- Alan Oxley on consumers-lose-out-to-australias-protectionist-anti-dumping-laws
- Peter Nadin on Rudd-as-SG-UN-Security-Council-should-have-decided-not-Turnbull
- Menzie Chinn on tracking-us-gdp-ex-government , never-were-truer-words-said , anemic-economic-growth
- Danny Yagan on is the great recession really over Thanks Brad
- Nrayana Kocherlakota on the-fed-has-some-explaining-to-do Thanks Mark
- Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-trump-jr-s-pants-on-fire-allegation-of-manipulated-jobs-numbers
- Calculated Risk on a-few-comments-on-june-new-home-sales , real-prices-and-price-to-rent-ratio-in-may
- Mike Kimel on police-killings-gender-and-race
- Timothy Taylor on high-skilled-immigration
- Peter Orszag on saving-money-on-cardiac-care Thanks Brad
- Don Moore on Trump says he is a great negotiator but the evidence says otherwise
- Carola Binder on /guest-post-by-alex-rodrigue-fed-and-lehmans
- Skepticlawyer on barry-goldwater-is-not-responsible-for-the-donald
- John Robertson on men-at-work-are-we-seeing-a-turnaround-in-male-labor-force-participation
- Croaking Cassandra on an-economist-for-president
- Menzie Chinn on uk-yield-curve-flattening-nothing-to-do-with-brexit
- Tony Yates on resetting-the-fiscal-framework-in-the-uk
- Coppolla comment on slovenia-and-banks
- Chris Dillow on brexit-a-blow-to-the-low-paid , the-strange-death-of-the-business-vote
- Simon Wren-Lewis on labour-times-change
- David Tittensor on turkey-coup-why-have-teachers-and-academics-been-targeted
- Kevin O'Rourke on 1916 Ireland Thanks Mark
- Tim Harford on metropolitan-myths-that-led-to-brexit
- Seamus Coffey on that-26-growth-rate-two-weeks-on
- Euan Graham on Black-Swan-2020-Chinas-NEO-that-Goes-Geo
- Zubaidah Hazeer on Three-reasons-why-Malaysias-Najib-isnt-going-anywhere
- Brad Setser on fiscal-stimulus-korean-style ,just-how-big-is-chinas-external-surplus-measurement-matters , chinas-reported-tourism-deficit-got-big-fastThanks Mark
- Lauren Williams on Syrians-between-a-rock-and-a-hard-place-on-Turkey-coup
- Susanne Schmeidel on Daeshs-first-big-stand-in-Kabul
- Tyler Cowen on seeing-china-through-its-economic-history Thanks Mark
- Abhijnan Raj on Geoeconomics-and-geopolitics-Indias-tightrope
- Nick Rowe on simple-basic-money-for-finance-people , finite-horizon-models-of-inflation-as-the-horizon-goes-to-infinity
- Edward Lambert on exp-decay-inflation
- Barry Eichengreen on protectionism-geopolitical-problems Thanks Brad
- Stephen Grenville on Globalisation-and-income-distribution
- Stephen Terry on the macro impact of short termism Thanks Brad
- Noah Smith on economists-give-up-on-milton-friedman-s-biggest-idea , answering-the-hardest-question-in-economics
- Frances Woolley on scarce-versus-abundant-tp-equilibria
- Tony Yates on the-perceived-grievance-wrong-headed-sop-vortex
- Timothy Taylor on international-trade-as-scapegoat , adam-smith-on-human-capacity-for-self-deceit
- Chris Dillow on how-true
- Paul Romer on abstraction-vs-radical-specificity Thanks Mark
- Rick McGahey on why-does-economics-reject-new-thinking Thanks Mark
- Russell Frank on the-one-roger-ailes-hire-that-changed-american-politics-forever
- Rachel Grieve and Emily Lowe-Calverly on the-power-of-rewards-and-why-we-seek-them-out
- Paul Fritjers on yes-minister-hilarious-truthful-too-good-to-be-true
- Anthony Macris on reading-french-literature-in-a-time-of-terror
- Ingrid Kvangraven on hy-isnt-the-world-banks-choice-of-chief-economist-more-controversial Thanks Mark
- Brian McNair on when-terror-goes-viral-its-up-to-us-to-prevent-chaos
- Mamiza Haq on is-islamic-banking-more-risky-compared-to-conventional-banking
- Roger Shanahan on Same-horse-different-jihadi-JAN-rebrands
- Sam Roggeveen on Why-do-terrorists-do-it
- Hotwhopper on christopher-monckton-and-fraud-fact , explaining-different-results-for-climate-sensitivity-and-the-low-bias
- David Stern on the-ekc-in-nutshell Thanks Mark
- Micheal Greenstone on how-markets-can-help-us-adapt-to-climate-change
- various on land-carbon-storage-swelled-in-the-little-ice-age-which-bodes-ill-for-the-future
- and Then Theres Physics on full-depth-ohc
- does-benadryl-make-you-senile-challenges-in-research-communication
- Greg Jericho on i-spend-my-time-writing-about-the-economy-but-the-climate-data-hits-me-right-in-the-gut
- Arctic sea ice blog on 2016-sipn-sea-ice-outlook-july-report
- killer-o
- Researchers and p values
- what makes a mathematical formula beautiful
- fish cannot carry p values
- does-benadryl-make-you-senile-challenges-in-research-communication
- largest title ever in internet
- Kaiser Fung on apple-watch-users-overwhelmingly-satisfied-says-a-survey-of-satisfied-users
- /the-forecasting-performance-of-models
- No Hesitations on the-action-is-in-wide-andor-tall-data , an-important-example-of-simultaneously-wide-and-dense-data
- various on health-check-what-your-pee-and-poo-colour-says-about-your-health
- Willain Nordhaus on why-economic-growth-will-fall Thankjs Mark
- labour-market-recovery-great-recession
- failed-states-and-paradox-civilisation
- field-study-homogamy-evidence-eu
- what-s-ahead-wto-looking-around-corner-and-beyond
- insurance-sector-and-systemic-risk
- impacts-over-time-smoke-free-air-ordinances-texas
- fixing-saving-problem-latin-america-and-caribbean
- single-supervisory-mechanism-and-multinational-banks
Wednesday, 27 July 2016
The ALP is in the box seat
The ALP is looking good for the next election.
The reasons are myriad
Shorten is now seen as a credible leader.
Turnbull is still seen as being led by conservative forces and not being himself.
The conservative forces want to get rid of Turnbull with the major problem being no credible alternative.
The ALP has had an infusion of talent which might put under performing shadow ministers under pressure to perform.
The government has no program of policies to deliver
Medicare will be looked at with great scrutiny.
The big plus to the government is now the ALP can smell government they are morel likely to support budget repair measures providing they are fair. Thus the government will enact ALP policy in essence.
As Harold McMillan once said events change things. In 1998 we could have said the same thing but along came Tampa and Howard rode that to victory.
the question is could Turnbull rise such an event to power again and is the current ALP as over-confident of victory now as then.
We shall see
The reasons are myriad
Shorten is now seen as a credible leader.
Turnbull is still seen as being led by conservative forces and not being himself.
The conservative forces want to get rid of Turnbull with the major problem being no credible alternative.
The ALP has had an infusion of talent which might put under performing shadow ministers under pressure to perform.
The government has no program of policies to deliver
Medicare will be looked at with great scrutiny.
The big plus to the government is now the ALP can smell government they are morel likely to support budget repair measures providing they are fair. Thus the government will enact ALP policy in essence.
As Harold McMillan once said events change things. In 1998 we could have said the same thing but along came Tampa and Howard rode that to victory.
the question is could Turnbull rise such an event to power again and is the current ALP as over-confident of victory now as then.
We shall see
Tuesday, 26 July 2016
Michele Obama wows them
Just when Sanders delegates wanted to be Corbyistas ( although it must be noted most people who voted for Sanders will vote for Clinton and they have changed earlier than Clinton supporters did for Obama 8 years ago. ) along comes Michele Obama who in only 15 minutes gave a magnificent speech. It was the stirring oratory of her husband but it didn't have to be.
She simply told everyone what was at stake, how to behave and how to campaign.
She is a very impressive woman..
Don't believe me. Then see for yourself courtesy of Brad De Long
She simply told everyone what was at stake, how to behave and how to campaign.
She is a very impressive woman..
Don't believe me. Then see for yourself courtesy of Brad De Long
Monday, 25 July 2016
Rising Energy costs in South Australia
Silly me. Here I thought the reason for rising energy costs in South Australia was their reliance on wind power.See Alan Moran's looney toones impression.
However I read the very sharp Hugh Saddler and find out no it isn't. It is mainly about natural gas.
Fancy Catallaxy being wrong and not knowing its subject!!
However I read the very sharp Hugh Saddler and find out no it isn't. It is mainly about natural gas.
Fancy Catallaxy being wrong and not knowing its subject!!
Sunday, 24 July 2016
Shorten dogs it
Bill Shorten was in a commanding position following the election but was unable to provide leadership.
Kim Carr is from a different era. He is an old fashioned left wing dirigiste who thus love intervening in an economy.If we were living in the 1940s or 50s he would be very much part of the political scene but now he is merely an economic dinosaur.
It is made much worse when Andrew Leigh one of the bright stars of the ALP suffered. Shorten has quite a bit of talent at hand. If he is smart and uses the skills he learnt from doing an MBA then he should be preparing for whom should be in his first ministry should he win after the next election.
Kim Carr would surely not be in that.
Kim Carr is from a different era. He is an old fashioned left wing dirigiste who thus love intervening in an economy.If we were living in the 1940s or 50s he would be very much part of the political scene but now he is merely an economic dinosaur.
It is made much worse when Andrew Leigh one of the bright stars of the ALP suffered. Shorten has quite a bit of talent at hand. If he is smart and uses the skills he learnt from doing an MBA then he should be preparing for whom should be in his first ministry should he win after the next election.
Kim Carr would surely not be in that.
Thursday, 21 July 2016
Around the Traps 22/7/16
It is time for Around the Traps again.
Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy
Vox wonk
Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy
- Peter Newman on high-speed-rail-at-200-billion-wed-better-get-it-right
- Croaking Cassandra on even-treasury-has-lost-hope , reserve-bank-on-housing-still-all-over-the-place , this-is-what-good-policy-formulation-looks-like-now, it-is-good-to-know-there-is-diversity-of-views-at-anz , the-reserve-banks-update, monetary-policy-and-the-exchange-rate , another-example-of-the-reserve-banks-approach-to-the-oia
- The Kouk on what-the-turnbull-government-must-do-now , infrastructure-spending-should-be-based-on-need-not-cheap-money
- Phil Godsiff on blockchains-could-help-restore-trust-in-the-food-we-choose-to-eat
- Stephen Wilson on blockchain-really-only-does-one-thing-well
- John Daley and Brendan Coates on a-realistic-strategy-for-federal-budget-repair
- Rick Sarre on can-religious-vilification-laws-protect-religious-freedoms
- Joan Beaumont on Why-Australians-remember-Fromelles
- Paul Kenny on australias-reputation-for-fine-wines-is-under-threat
- Roger Wilkins on stark-divide-between-young-and-old-as-australian-household-incomes-and-wealth-stall
- Greg Raymond on More-heat-than-light-in-Australian-FONOPs-debate
- John Gooding on Media-access-to-Nauru-is-Australias-concern
- Stephen Duckett on dont-just-blame-older-australians-for-increased-hospital-demand
- Michael Leach on The-PCA-ruling-Australia-and-Timor-Leste
- Kevin Bonham on seat-betting-improves-but-still-no-miracle
- Greg Jericho on housing-affordability-inequality-and-our-flatlining-household-incomes
- Peter Ellerton on why-we-need-to-hear-what-controversial-people-say-and-not-silence-the-debate
- Rodney Maddock on inner-city-bias-the-suburbs-need-a-fair-go
- Andrew Elder on esterdays-social-media-today
- John Freebairn on government-needs-to-get-balance-right-in-regulating-agriculture
- David Warsh on the downside of outrageous
- Calculated Risk on comments-on-june-housing-starts , a-few-comments-on-june-existing-home-sales
- Narayana Kocherlakota on don-t-try-this-crazy-trick-on-the-economy , janet-yellen-needs-to-make-more-speeches Thanks Mark
- Marrk Thoma gives us Tim Duy on why-the-fed-cant-and-shouldnt-raise-interest-rates
- David Beckworth on the-fed-is-trapped-in-cycle
- Timothy Taylor on public-higher-ed-state-support-down-tuition-up , an-update-on-costs-of-end-of-life-care
- Ezra Klein on donald-trump-nomination-afraid Thanks Brad
- Noah Smith on trump-happened-because-conservatism-has-failed
- Carola Binder on inflation-uncertainty-update-and-rise-inflation-expectations
- Loren Adler and Paul Ginsberg on affordable-care-act-premiums-are-lower-than-you-think Thanks Mark
- Bill Craighead on lies-damned-lies-and-irelands-gdp Thanks Mark
- Tony Yates on the-bank-of-england-expects-it-will-want-to-cut-but-didnt
- Chris Dillow on labours-leadership-vacuum , my-corbyn-dilemma , on-economic-credibility , obliquity-the-labour-leadership
- Walter John Williams on Turkey-worst-possible-result Thanks Brad
- Roger Shanahan on A-very-Turkish-coup
- Bruno Tertrais on After-Warsaw-NATO-Russia-and-the-Future-of-Security-in-Europe
- Simon Wren-Lewis on german-macroeconomics-revisited , osbornes-folly
- Simeon Djankov on european-red-tape-bogus-justification-brexit Thanks Mark
- Brad Setser on how-many-reserves-does-turkey-need-some-thoughts-on-the-imfs-reserve-metric Thanks Mark
- Aidan Regan on the-housing-crisis-is-all-about-the-politics-of-debt
- Kevin O'Rourke on british-anti-imigrant-sentiment Thanks Brad
- Coppolla comment on grieving-for-lost-empire
- Simon Heffer on Boris-Johnson-isnt-serious-and-the-world-wont-take-him-seriously
- David Tiettensor on turkeys-almost-coup-and-the-need-for-perspective
- Menzie Chinn on heckuva-job-nigel
- Pedro Nicolaci Da Costa and Jan Zilinksy on churning-over-china-anatomy-slowdown Thanks Brad
- Bonnie Glaser on Shaping-Chinas-Response-to-the-Tribunal-Ruling
- Cecchetti and Schoenholtz on the-china-debate Thanks Mark
- Vanessa Newby on Lebanons-fragile-stability
- Fergus Green on Chinas-coal-cuts-continue-amid-boom-in-redundant-coal-fired-power-stations
- Paul Romer on economic-growth Thanks Mark
- James Hamilton on helicopter-money
- Edward Lambert on eq-forecast-profit-cycle
- Brad De Long on must-read-greg-ip-a-contingency-plan-for-secular-stagnation, the-scary-debate-over-secular-stagnation
- Tim Harford on brexit-and-the-power-of-wishful-thinking
- Chris Dillow on the-centralizing-decentralizing-axis
- Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-brexit-trump-and-workers-left-behind , central-banks-at-a-crossroads-what-can-we-learn-from-history
- Timothy Taylor on how-well-does-gdp-measure-digital-economy
- David Glasner on whats-wrong-with-emh
- Noah Smith on criticisms-of-ngdp-futures-targeting
- John Quiggin on nuclear-math-doesnt-add-up
- Roger Farmer on neo-fisherianism-crazy-trick-or-way-to-go , nk-models-and-unemployment-as-vacations
- Eric Lonergan on there-are-two-types-of-negative-interest-rates
- Maurice Obstfeld on a-spanner-in-the-works-an-update-to-the-world-economic-outlook Thanks Brad
- Sandwichman on the-rise-of-zero-sum-economics-and-what-if-there-isn't-enough-jobs-to-go-round
- Marshall Steinbaum and Mike Konzal on Declining-Entrepreneurship-Labor-Mobility-and-Business-Dynamism-A-Demand-Side-Approach Thanks Mark
- Tony Yates on monetary-fiscal-coordination
- Adrain Camilleri on overconfidence-is-responsible-for-a-lot-of-mistakes-heres-how-to-avoid-it
- Doverbeach on eleonore-stump-on-natural-law-metaphysics-and-god-as-creator
- Nicholas Welsh on An-inevitable-precedent-Where-states-stand-on-the-South-China-Sea-ruling
- Frances Woolley on whats-wrong-with-airbnb , can-sex-triumph-over-patriarchy
- Daniel Little on ideologies-and-organizations-as-causes Thanks Mark
- Crispin Powers on the-electricity-price-hike-blame-game-a-sad-product-of-a-dismal-climate-change-debate
- Tamino on arctic-heat
- John Abraham on global-greening-implications-complicated
- arctic sea ice blog on iced-lightning , asi-2016-update-4-breaking-point
- David Appell on first-half-of-year-records-in-temperatures-and-arctic-sea-ice-extent
- Hotwhopper on hottest-june-on-record-global-surface
- Graham Readfern on media-watch-challenges-the-australians-misreporting-on-coral-science
- Jeff Masters on june-does-it-again-global-temperature-sets-14th-consecutive-monthly-record
- Moyhu on giss-down-014-in-june-noaa-up-slightly
- Joshua Cinner on there-are-bright-spots-among-the-worlds-coral-reefs-the-challenge-is-to-learn-from-them
- Fiona Armstrong and Peter Doherty on climate-policy-needs-a-new-lens-health-and-well-being
- Tony Wood and David Blowers on the-electricity-price-hike-blame-game-a-sad-product-of-a-dismal-climate-change-debate
- critical angle on june-2016-surface-temperatures-break-monthly-record-but-not-by-much
- Ed Hawkins on noise-and-signal-in-antarctica
- John Quiggin on do-climate-sceptics-exist
- David Stern on dynamics-of-environmental-kuznets-curve Thanks Mark
- pointwise-mutual-information-as-test-statistics
- statistical theory
- no-google-will-not-sway-the-presidential-election
- bayesian-linear-mixed-models-using-stan-a-tutorial-for-psychologists-linguists-and-cognitive-scientists
- going beyond confidence intervals
- ioannidis-evidence-based-medicine-has-been-hijacked
- drug approval
- the-dark-side-of-power-posing
- Kaiser Fung on its-more-important-to-know-the-source-than-the-value-of-a-number , what-happened-when-i-was-forced-to-wait-30-minutes-for-the-subway
- No Hesitations on the-hac-emperor-has-no-clothes-part-2
Vox wonk
- listings-ecosystem-asset-manager-perspective
- wage-inequality-spatial-dimension
- how-fix-italian-banks
- zero-lower-bound-policy-and-money-market-fund-industry
- how-cluster-policies-foster-inter-firm-networks-japanese-evidence
- brain-drain-and-spillback-data-malawi
- how-mandatory-shareholder-voting-prevents-bad-corporate-acquisitions
- ethnic-favouritism-not-just-african-phenomenon
- mechanism-proposal-eurozone-sovereign-debt-restructuring
- modi-and-his-challenges
- econophysics-perspective-trade-liberalisation
- how-secular-stagnation-spreads-and-how-it-can-be-cured
- eu-turkish-customs-union-how-proceed
- physician-liability-and-medical-innovation
Wednesday, 20 July 2016
Climate Change and Health
This morning Fiona Armstrong and Peter Doherty have an article examining the link between climate change and health costs.
Sehr interessant
Sehr interessant
Tuesday, 19 July 2016
Budget Repair
Budget Repair is all the rage.
What is it and what can we do?
Budget Repair is eliminating the structural deficit ( currently estimated at around 2% of GDP).
We need to understand that almost all of this is due to revenue problems. As both Treasury and the Parliamentary Budget office have both pointed out the two major policies that contributed to this are:
What is it and what can we do?
Budget Repair is eliminating the structural deficit ( currently estimated at around 2% of GDP).
We need to understand that almost all of this is due to revenue problems. As both Treasury and the Parliamentary Budget office have both pointed out the two major policies that contributed to this are:
- the elimination of indexation on oil by John Howard,
- the reduction of personal income tax given the boost to company tax revues coming from the commodities boom by Peter Costello
So two things stick out like a shag on a rock.
- A stronger economy will not lead to budget repair as it will not affect the structural deficit
- A program of only spending cuts to achieve budget repair could distort resources.
John Daley and Brendan Coates from the best think tank in the nation , the Grattan Institute, argue how to go about budget repair.
We should also remember going too far too fast in fiscal consolidation could prove self defeating.
The current deficit is 2.2% of GDP. We can assume only 0.2% of GDP is due to cyclical factors.
A full blown attack on the structural deficit would lead the cyclical deficit overwhelming any improvement thus leaving the overall deficit worse. It would be a budget far more austere than the one Wayne Swan did which cut 0.7 percentage points from GDP.and that budget seriously reduced GDP growth!
I suspect the present Government will go slowly on budget repair as they have done already.
Update
I didn't talk about the ratings agencies.
See
Update
I didn't talk about the ratings agencies.
See
Most fund managers have their own credit departments on which they rely on for advice on. They will liaise with credit agencies but not rely on them. Indeed for most investors in Government bonds this is the case.
Thus in the short term a ratings downgrade would have no impact on bond yields at all.
Indeed it probably would not in the medium term given how slow the credit agencies are to see any improvement in budget balances. Thus it is possible one might even see greater demand for Australian government bonds if a downgrade occurred as investors would still view our bonds as AAA and not AA.
Monday, 18 July 2016
Banning all Muslin immigration
One of more absurd things that occurred yesterday was a remark made on the back of the Nice terrorist attack. It was to ban all muslim immigration.
Only one problem with this. Most of the terrorist attacks around the world have occurred from homegrown muslims. Moreover most of these attacks have been from lone wolves.Banning immigration would have done nothing.
It comes from an extreme form of wahhabism which in itself is ironic. Perhaps some pressure on Saudi Arabia could prove useful here?
Two other related items on this.
Australia is not a christian country.
We are going to have a plebiscite on allowing homosexuals to marry for petes sake. Homosexuality is not illegal. Neither is adultery nor fornication both of which are rife in Australia.
We do not give a stuff about refugees at all. We put them into prison!
Apparently political correctness has got to a point where people just cannot talk about certain topics like Islam.
I guess that is why Pauline Hanson and two of her ilk look likely to get elected to the Senate or why Andrew Bolt has three jobs!!
Only one problem with this. Most of the terrorist attacks around the world have occurred from homegrown muslims. Moreover most of these attacks have been from lone wolves.Banning immigration would have done nothing.
It comes from an extreme form of wahhabism which in itself is ironic. Perhaps some pressure on Saudi Arabia could prove useful here?
Two other related items on this.
Australia is not a christian country.
We are going to have a plebiscite on allowing homosexuals to marry for petes sake. Homosexuality is not illegal. Neither is adultery nor fornication both of which are rife in Australia.
We do not give a stuff about refugees at all. We put them into prison!
Apparently political correctness has got to a point where people just cannot talk about certain topics like Islam.
I guess that is why Pauline Hanson and two of her ilk look likely to get elected to the Senate or why Andrew Bolt has three jobs!!
Sunday, 17 July 2016
Defeating ISIS
I doubt if anyone doesn't believe ISIS is an inherently evil organisation ( although the Syrian Government has murdered far more people than it) however it seems to me defeating it is problematic.
Why so?
It has to be defeated in two ways.
Directly in Iraq and Syria and thus destroy the idea of a Caliphate. The reason this is hard is if you have the wrong boots on the ground you could destroy ISIS but have another organisation as bad or worse replace it.We should always remember the disaster of invading Iraq and how it led to the creation of ISIS
Indirectly we have to destroy ISIS's ideology. Much more than Al Qaeda ISIS has been able to successfully infuse their idea of islam onto young men of many nations who then commit terrorist acts under their name although they are mostly lone wolves.
How you destroy such an ideology is something few people know how to do. I certainly do not.
I suspect this will be something we will be fighting for a long time
Why so?
It has to be defeated in two ways.
Directly in Iraq and Syria and thus destroy the idea of a Caliphate. The reason this is hard is if you have the wrong boots on the ground you could destroy ISIS but have another organisation as bad or worse replace it.We should always remember the disaster of invading Iraq and how it led to the creation of ISIS
Indirectly we have to destroy ISIS's ideology. Much more than Al Qaeda ISIS has been able to successfully infuse their idea of islam onto young men of many nations who then commit terrorist acts under their name although they are mostly lone wolves.
How you destroy such an ideology is something few people know how to do. I certainly do not.
I suspect this will be something we will be fighting for a long time
Thursday, 14 July 2016
Around the Traps 15/7/16
It is time for Around the Traps again.
Aussie,Aussie,Aussie.Oy,Oy,Oy
Climate
Vox wonk
Aussie,Aussie,Aussie.Oy,Oy,Oy
- Stephen Grenville on Australias-AAA-credit-rating-under-threat-but-who-cares
- Ross Gittins on oh-no-not-credit-rating-downgrade , election-result-need-not-be-setback-for-good-government , government-outsourcing-has-many-pitfalls
- Greg Jericho on there-are-economic-benefits-to-free-trade-but-not-for-everyone, sps-warning-of-australias-rating-downgrade-hardly-cause-for-panic
- John Daley on the-policy-agenda-what-the-government-should-do-now
- Nicholas Reece on time-to-learn-the-many-lessons-from-a-long-campaign
- Ian McAuley on nhealth-funding-something-else-for-turnbull-to-worry-about
- John Quiggin on losing-our-aaa-credit-rating-is-not-a-harbinger-of-doom-it-could-be-a-blessing-in-disguise
- Stephen Duckett on many-australians-pay-too-much-for-health-care-heres-what-the-government-needs-to-do
- Rod Barton on Chilcot-Intelligence-policy-and-war
- Nicholas Reece on why-scare-campaigns-like-mediscare-work-even-if-voters-hate-them
- Tony Wood on australias-energy-sector-is-in-critical-need-of-reform
- Antony Ting on multinational-tax-avoidance-is-still-a-revenue-issue-for-government
- Stuart Rees on the-chilcot-report-on-iraq-invasion-lessons-for-australia
- Marion Terrill on how-to-make-cities-work-better-heres-what-the-government-needs-to-do
- Peter Goss on three-schools-reforms-that-will-lift-student-outcomes
- Richard Holden on vital-signs-its-time-to-borrow-to-build
- Grahasm Orr on time-to-tighten-the-reins-on-politicians-and-their-truths
- Various on some-answers-more-questions-over-dick-smith-failure
- St Louis Fed on have-labor-costs-slowed-the-recovery Thanks Mark
- Menzie Chinn on the-seattle-minimum-wage-increase-disaster-or-not
- Mark Thoma gives us Tim Duy on fed-watch-catching-up , data-dump
- Carola Binder on racial-differences-in-police-use-of-force
- Edward Lambert on fed-rate-profit-rising , tradesnoop-says-cycle-has-turned
- Robert Waldmann on do-i-disagree-with-paul-krugman-about-the-policy-relevance-of-risk-premia , the-stagnation-capitulation-and-the-taper-tantrum
- Timothy Taylor on whats-driving-long-run-deficit-forecasts , us-financial-literacy-distressing-and-disempowering
- Brad De Long on must read Larry Summers
- Calculated Risk on key-measures-show-inflation-close-to-2%-in-June
- David Altig and Pat Higgins on how-good-is-employment-trend-decide-for-yourself
- Simon Wren-Lewis on opportunity-costs , a-referendum-on-taxes
- Tony Yates on post-referendum-contingencies-and-leavers-outrage
- Coppolla comment on the-untold-story-of-uks-productivity , gazing-into-distance
- Niamh Harddiman on taking-back-control-britain-after-brexit
- Emma Connor on Paul-Ryans-annus-horribilis
- Tim Harford on did-economists-fail-us-over-brexit
- Brad De Long on brexit-i-think-paul-krugman-is-confused-here
- Aidan Regan on the-farce-of-irelands-national-accounts-lets-go-plane-watching
- Chris Dillow on theresa-may-labour-pm , camerons-failure-austerity , responding-to-mayism
- Shasank Joshi on Theresa-May-The-foreign-policy-leanings-of-Britains-new-PM
- Brad Setser on can-europe-declare-fiscal-victory-and-go-home Thanks Mark
- Patrick Honohan on the-irish-national-accounts-towards-some-dos-and-donts
- Lord Keynes on was-old-left-socially-conservative
- Francesco Saraceno on perseverare-diabolicum
- David Wells on May-rolls-the-dice-Britains-new-PM-takes-early-risks-starting-with-Boris
- David Wells on nice-attack-reminds-france-the-state-cant-keep-you-safe-100-of-the-time
- Philomena Murray on nice-attack-brings-a-difficult-question-into-sharp-focus-why-france
- Dereck Lundy on How-to-respond-to-Chinas-salami-tactics-in-South-China-Sea
- Sidney Jones on Whats-next-for-ISIS-in-Indonesia
- Sukjoon Yoon on What-THAAD-deployment-in-South-Korea-means-for-China
- Noah Smith on when-will-china-make-its-move
- Rikki Kersten on Abes-surreal-election-victory
- Andrei Lankov on North-Korea-sanctions-Why-the-US-is-targetting-the-man
- Daniel Woker on Toppling-Saddam-The-view-from-Kuwait
- Stephen Grenville on South-China-Sea-A-course-correction-needed
- Tim Harcourt on three-reasons-free-trade-has-become-a-political-football
- Chris Dillow on nfor-worker-democracy , on-performativity
- Mark Thoma gives us Kruggers on cheap-money-talks
- Brad De Long on a-plea-for-some-sympathy-for-repentant-left-neoliberals
- Timothy Tasylor on when-technology-alters-jobs-but-doesnt-replace-them , financial-stability-reform-lots-of-activity-not enough-progress
- Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-importer-and-exporter-market-share-in-exchange-rate-pass-through , decomposing-changes-in-term-spreads-around-the-world
- Alan Behm on Chilcot-Intelligence-policy-and-war
- Aidan Regan on the-rise-and-fall-of-social-partnership-do-governments-need-trade-unions
- Nick Gruen on power-understanding-and-knowledge
- Richard Clarida on global-central-bank-focus/national-monetary-policies-often-correlate-sometimes-coordinate-rarely-cooperate Thanks Mark
- Olivier Blanchard on currency-wars-coordination-and-capital-controls Thanks Mark
- James Smitz on the-costs-of-monopoly-a-new-view Thanks Mark
- Noah Smith on overcoming-our-inordinate-fear-of-inflation
- David Glasner on stock-prices-the-economy-and-self-fulfilling-prophecies
- Brad Setser on the-outsized-impact-of-the-fall-in-commodity-prices-on-global-trade Thanks Mark
- Sandwichman on lump of labour fallacy
- various on why-do-some-galaxies-stop-making-new-stars
- Clive Schofield on explainer-what-are-the-legal-implications-of-the-south-china-sea-ruling
- Euan Graham on The-Bolt-from-The-Hague
- Malcolm Cook on One-ruling-four-very-challenging-tests
- Darshanah Baruah on South-China-Sea-ruling-India-takes-a-stand
- Scott Montgomery on whats-at-stake-in-chinas-claims-to-the-south-china-sea
- Corey Robin on we-can-get-rid-of-the-hitlers-and-the-himmlers-but-not-the-speers
- Simon Stewart on the-stand-ups-paradox-the-funnier-you-are-the-faster-you-die
- Mark Thoma on on-arrest-filters-and-empirical-inferences
- Mark Beeson on the-nice-attack-and-the-corrosive-effects-of-anxiety
- Mark Briskey on nice-attack-how-vulnerable-are-we-to-low-tech-terror
Climate
- and Then Theres Physics on the-scientific-method , gergis-etal
- Hotwhopper on australasian-temperatures-are-unusual
- Hannah Wurf on The-G20-stalls-on-fossil-fuel-subsidies
- various on cold-and-calculating-what-the-two-different-types-of-ice-do-to-sea-levels
- David Appell on la-nina-is-looking-bit-shy-this-year
- Arctic sea ice blog on 2016-melting-momentum-part-3
- Tamino on what-phony-op-eds-about-climate-change-have-in-common
- Howard Lee on gw-implicated-in-dino-extinction
- Barkely Rosser on has-elizabeth-warren-called-for-jail-for-global-warming-deniers Thanks Mark
- Timothy Taylor on the-collapse-of-californias-carbon-cap-and-trade-market
- over-at-the-sister-blog-theyre-overinterpreting-forecasts
- most-notably-the-vast-majority-of-americans-support-criminalizing-data-fraud-and-many-also-believe-the-offense-deserves-a-sentence-of-incarceration
- some stan stuff
- of-polls-and-prediction-markets-more-on-brexitfail
- about-that-claim-that-police-are-less-likely-to-shoot-blacks-than-whites
- repping
- bigmilk-strikes-again
- Richard Mayhew on risk-adjustment-and-degree-of-difficulty
- Kaiser Fung on its-more-important-to-know-the-source-than-the-value-of-a-number
- Susan Athey and Guido Imbens on the state of econometrics Thanks Mark
- No Hesitations on contemporaneous-independent-and-complemtary
- transport-policy-it-would-be-a-good-idea , the-moral-consequences-of-economic-decline , civilising-money , summer-reading-a-prelude
- Tim Harford on what-ive-been-reading-in-june
- Kurt Campbell on The-Pivot-Three-profound-misunderstandings-about-Asia
- Doverbeach on weekend-reading
Vox wonk
- growing-knowledge-intensive-business-services-and-regional-disparity
- gluttony-and-sloth
- neighbourhood-spillovers-youth-crime-social-interactions-matter
- gender-gaps-performance-among-high-skilled-professionals
- economics-brexit-pre-referendum-videos-and-columns-voxeuorg
- maximum-sustainable-debt-new-measure
- global-trade-plateaus
- designing-effective-automatic-stabilisers-business-cycle
- voting-islamist-it-s-economy-stupid
- impact-pollution-worker-productivity
- sovereign-and-banking-risk
- hope-uk-s-future-remaining-within-eu-after-brexit
- cheaper-flights-and-scientific-collaboration
- endowment-effects-evidence-ipo-lotteries-india
Wednesday, 13 July 2016
Polling and Prediction markets
Andrew Gelman has a wonderful blog for those of us who wish to keep up to date with statistics we learnt at Uni.
THIS article on polling and prediction markets which examines the Brexit result is quite informative.
THIS article on polling and prediction markets which examines the Brexit result is quite informative.
Tuesday, 12 July 2016
The invasion of Iraq and Chilcot
I was going to write about this but the very sharp ( to use a Brad De Longism) Allan Behm has done this at the Lowy Institute.has done this superbly.
A few points.
We knew Hussein had no weapons of mass destruction. Any chemical weapons from the Gulf war were degraded and there were no new chemical weapons. We know this from Rod Barton's book. This didn't stop John Howard saying the opposite one day after meeting with him!
The idea Hussein had any actual or potential nuclear weapons was simply absurd.
Put it another way. If you believe he did have weapons of mass destruction why would you put your own soldiers in harms way?
Iran still possessed Iraq's best jet fighters, they did not have enough spares to service all their tanks and their infantry were made to look second rate in the Gulf war.
If Hussein was gotten rid of because he was a bad man then why they simply stop with Hussein. There were and are still plenty of those men around the world.
At best the Leaders who declared war on Iraq had poor judgement
Update:
Rod Barton on Chilcut and OZ
A few points.
We knew Hussein had no weapons of mass destruction. Any chemical weapons from the Gulf war were degraded and there were no new chemical weapons. We know this from Rod Barton's book. This didn't stop John Howard saying the opposite one day after meeting with him!
The idea Hussein had any actual or potential nuclear weapons was simply absurd.
Put it another way. If you believe he did have weapons of mass destruction why would you put your own soldiers in harms way?
Iran still possessed Iraq's best jet fighters, they did not have enough spares to service all their tanks and their infantry were made to look second rate in the Gulf war.
If Hussein was gotten rid of because he was a bad man then why they simply stop with Hussein. There were and are still plenty of those men around the world.
At best the Leaders who declared war on Iraq had poor judgement
Update:
Rod Barton on Chilcut and OZ
Monday, 11 July 2016
Mediscare didn't do a thing!
There has been a lot of claims involving the ALP's mediscare campaign during the election. It was this that won the ALP so many seats but is it true?
No it ain't for two reasons.
No it ain't for two reasons.
- From the start to the finish the polls simply didn't change given their margin of error.There was certainly no change in either the ALP's vote (positively) or the Coalitions ( negatively) in the last two weeks when this scare campaign was at its height..
- How come this campaign was ONLY successful in Liberal held seats but not National seats.It would be absurd in the extreme to argue negative changes to medicare would only affect Liberal held seats.
Now we have got that silly theory out of the way let us examine The Coalition's scare campaigns. They tried a boats will come back scare and a deficit and debt scare campaign. They both sunk ( pun intended) without a trace.
Why ? My view is with regard to boats you cannot revive a campaign if they are not coming.
You cannot scare people on deficits and debt if you have increased it and not decreased it.It is one of the reasons the public turned off Abbott. He insisted they were improving the deficit whilst increasing it. When Turnbull imitated Abbott he simply became unpopular.
I do think we will face an early election. If Shorten plays his cards well he should win it easily. The same could have been said about Beazley in 1998 and he went on to lose!
There has never been a more exciting time to be a political leader!
Update:
Update:
- Yes I am saying the campaign made no impact on how people would vote.
- I voted for the coalition for the last time until the ALP serves two terms of government.
- I am pleased Ann Aly won. She faced a very unpleasant campaign against her. Micheal Keenan didn't even have the guts to debate her on his allegations against her. Indeed no-one as far as I can see has even given any evidence to back these allegations. see THIS
Sunday, 10 July 2016
The Permanent Effects of Fiscal Consolidations
I am doing a Nick Gruen impersonation!!
Antonio Fatas and Larry Summers have written a wonderful paper of the effects of fiscal consolidations.
Brad De Long highlights this pat of the study.
'At the same time, and in response to rising government debt levels, many of these countries have been engaging in fiscal consolidations that have had a negative impact on growth rates. We empirically explore the connections between these two facts by extending to longer horizons the methodology of Blanchard and Leigh (2013) regarding fiscal policy multipliers. Our results provide support for the presence of strong hysteresis effects of fiscal policy. The large size of the effects points in the direction of self-defeating fiscal consolidations as suggested by DeLong and Summers (2012). Attempts to reduce debt via fiscal consolidations have very likely resulted in a higher debt to GDP ratio through their long-term negative impact on output.'
Does this wet your appetite? It should. Everyone should read this paper. Governments ( particularly the German one ), Departments, University academics and Ratings agencies.
It means as we should go about fiscal consolidation very carefully.
Antonio Fatas and Larry Summers have written a wonderful paper of the effects of fiscal consolidations.
Brad De Long highlights this pat of the study.
'At the same time, and in response to rising government debt levels, many of these countries have been engaging in fiscal consolidations that have had a negative impact on growth rates. We empirically explore the connections between these two facts by extending to longer horizons the methodology of Blanchard and Leigh (2013) regarding fiscal policy multipliers. Our results provide support for the presence of strong hysteresis effects of fiscal policy. The large size of the effects points in the direction of self-defeating fiscal consolidations as suggested by DeLong and Summers (2012). Attempts to reduce debt via fiscal consolidations have very likely resulted in a higher debt to GDP ratio through their long-term negative impact on output.'
Does this wet your appetite? It should. Everyone should read this paper. Governments ( particularly the German one ), Departments, University academics and Ratings agencies.
It means as we should go about fiscal consolidation very carefully.
Thursday, 7 July 2016
Around the Traps 8/7/16
It is time for Around the Traps again,
Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy
Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy
- Croaking Cassandra on immigration-is-a-good-thing-and-that-is-all-we-need-to-know , exporting-the-failure-of-one-small-oecd-country , a-40-per-cent-fall-in-house-prices? , beware-the-ignorant, revising-the-unemployment-rate
- Carol Johnson on even-if-he-keeps-the-top-job-malcolm-turnbulls-troubles-have-only-just-begun
- Shaun Carney on enigmatic-turnbull-creates-his-own-misfortune-and-will-be-forever-diminished-by-it
- various on companies-may-be-misleading-investors-by-not-openly-assessing-the-true-value-of-assets
- various on too-much-salt-and-sugar-and-not-enough-exercise-why-australians-health-is-lagging
- Leon Berkelsman on Will-a-hung-parliament-bring-economic-uncertainty-and-how-damaging-is-that
- Ken Parish on whos-afraid-of-the-big-bad-wolf-minority-government
- Greg Jericho on hello-pauline-derryn-nick-jacqui-lets-negotiate-why-the-budget-is-toast , scorn-for-morrisons-numbers-triggers-standard-and-poors-negative-outlook
- Jim Gillespie on labors-mediscare-campaign-capitalised-on-coalition-history-of-hostility-towards-medicare
- Carmel Laragy on understanding-the-ndis-how-does-the-scheme-work-and-am-i-eligible-for-funding
- Paul Mancharam on understanding-the-ndis-a-history-of-disability-welfare-from-deserving-poor-to-consumers-in-control
- Antony Green on whats-going-on-with-house-seat-numbers
- The Piping Shrike on locked-in-an-update
- Andrew Elder on leaving-us-hanging , taking-the-cake
- Rodney Croft on the-lessons-to-be-learned-now-the-abcs-pulled-its-inaccurate-wi-fried-program
- Ross Guest on australia-could-be-about-to-lose-its-aaa-rating-and-heres-why
- Dennis Muller on cheerleaders-of-the-press-dont-win-elections-like-they-used-to
- Richard Holden on vital-signs-goodbye-aaa-australia
- John Gooding on John-Howard-and-the-Chilcot-Inquiry
- Antony Green on one-nation-support-at-the-2016-federal-election
- Sam Roggeveen on Chilcot-Dont-focus-on-motives-but-on-judgments
- Timothy Taylor on the-transition-to-transfer-payment , trying-to-envision-original-united-states ,update-on-income-share-of-1%
- Karen Papeki on pay-as-you-go-yes-or-no
- David Glasner on how-martin-feldstein-learned-to-stop-worrying-and-love-inflation
- Kevin Drum on republicans-talk-better-game-economy-than-democrats Thanks Mark
- Pat Higgins on when-it-rains-it-pours
- Jared Bernstein on bond-yields-are-just-so-damn-low-what-is-that-telling-us Thanks Mark
- Noah Smith on fed-rates-are-the-wrong-tool-to-fight-bubbles
- David Altig on is-the-labor-market-tossing-a-fair-coin
- Menzie Chinn on the-real-term-premium-and-recessions
- Calculated Risk on public-and-private-sector-payroll-jobs-under-various-Presidents
- Aaron Steelman and John Weinburg on a new normal Prospects for long term growth in the US Thanks Mark
- David Glasner on whats-wrong-with-the-eu-part-1
- James Surowieke on the-economics-of-brexit Thanks Mark
- Simon Wren-Lewis on the-inadequacy-of-left-and-right , more-on-how-it-happened
- Coppolla Comment on parliament-and-brexit , short-run-effects-of-brexit-shock
- Perry Mehrling on channeling-charles-kindleberger-on-brexit Thanks Mark
- Tom Switzer on Chilcot-Inquiry-What-Blair-knew-in-the-rush-to-war
- Naryana Kocherlakota on brexit-demonstrates-the-power-of-the-old Thanks Mark
- Mehmet Illhan on Reset-Why-Erdogan-is-mending-(some)-fences
- Tony Yates on post-brexit-hangover-and-monetary-policy
- John Lee on Brexit-The-view-from-China
- Brad Setser on chinas-asymmetric-basket-peg , meanwhile-in-japan-household-consumption-continues-to-fall Thanks Mark
- Edward Lambert on net-profit-rate-japan
- Noah Smith on economist-gekokujo , innovation-doesn-t-always-start-in-the-garage , some-elitist-views-are-pretty-popular
- Chris Dillow on cognitive-biases-ideology-control , on-state-capacity , inequality-trust-politics
- James Hamilton on markets-post-brexit
- Peter Dorman on trade-and-jobs-and-fallacies-of.-composition
- Nick Rowe on central-bank-coordination-as-bs
- Remy Davidson on in-a-world-of-low-rates-what-else-can-the-rba-and-central-banks-do
- Tim Harford on were-all-winners-or-losers-now
- Cecchetti and Schoenholtz on brexit-and-systemic-risk Thanks Mark
- Larry Summers on a-remarkable-financial-moment Thanks Mark
- Brad De Long on must-read-correct-imho-from-the-very-sharp-narayana-kocherlakota-now-perhaps-his-successor-neel-kashkari-and-the-others
- Carola Binder on estimation-of-historical-inflation-expectations
- Edward Lambert on high-n-prof-rate
- Scepticlawyer on public-policy-discovery-and-bargaining-or-applied-knowing
- Antonio Fatas and Larry Summers on the permanent effects of fiscal consolidations Thanks Brad
- J P Koning on hyperinflation-2.0 Thanks Mark
- Timothy Taylor on world-drug-report-2016
- Ian Freckleton on research-fraud-the-temptation-to-lie-and-the-challenges-of-regulation
- John Quiggin on anti-militarism
- Lee Smales on explainer-why-stock-market-panic-can-signal-a-good-time-to-buy
- Scientific American on we-re-all-biased-but-that-doesn-t-keep-us-from-making-valid-decisions Thanks Mark
- David Appell on ower-troposphere-sees-warmest-12-months-ever
- Moyhu on ncepncar-down-01-in-june , surface-templs-down-0064-in-june
- Arctic sea ice blog on 2016-sipn-sea-ice-outlook-june-report , piomas-july-2016
- and Then Theres Physics on climate-sensitivity-on-the-rise
- Variable Variability on climate-sensitivity-energy-balance-models
- Timothy Taylor on carbon-capture-and-storage-no-stone-unturned
- data science
- americans-used-to-love-world-government
- positive results are better for your career
- gremlins in the works of
- sad stories from economics
- casual mediation
- Paricipants hungerier when they walk into a cafe than then they walk out
- causal-and-predictive-inference-in-policy-research
- Kaiser Fung on ethical-dilemmas-in-data-science-and-analytics
- recommended-reading-for-july
- No Hesitations on dag-software
- a-century-on , forthcoming-books-more-to-read , digital-and-democracy , different-and-alone
- Hugh White on The-Pivot-Yes-it-is-all-about-China
- Kurt Campbell on The-Pivot-A-reply-to-Hugh-White
- Kruggers on money-brave-new-uncertainty-mervyn-king Thanks Steve from Brisbane
- David Glasner on krugman-goes-easy-on-king
- supplier-network-exporters-connecting-dots
- immigrants-and-cultural-assimilation
- brexit-surprise-and-emerging-markets
- brexit-versus-grexit-why-you-might-call-referendum-and-then-reject-its-outcome
- mpact-sanctions-russia-sanctioning-countries-exports
- job-race-machines-versus-humans
- technological-progress-other-side-coin
- impact-sanctions-russia-sanctioning-countries-exports
- globalisation-and-polarisation-wake-brexit
- long-term-decline-us-prime-age-male-labour-force-participation-and-policies-address-it
- technology-trade-and-job-polarisation-france
- sensitivity-group-size-policy-decision-making
- animal-spirits-and-optimal-level-inflation-target
- joint-programming-european-science-and-technology-policy
- japan-s-local-public-technology-centres-and-sme-innovation
- institutional-investors-and-corporate-political-activism
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