My Recuperation was pretty boring

 I thought having six weeks off and not even being allowed to take the garbage out or do the mowing would be great.

WRONG! It was boring.

I went to the library a few times in search of good reads. I did not find anything. 

Had radio brightened up ? No. Radio National is either fantastic or dead boring. 2GB has had a makeover. No bombastic male announcers now. Very middle of the road. I do have to say Jim Wilson on at 3 pm does sound like a dope. Perhaps he is trying too much. 2UE simply does not play much decent music.

TV had a few good shows. One I did like was Diagnosis Murder. the late Dick Van Dyke is the brains behind the show. It is pleasant, the characters are fine and I can fast forward the show to the end if I get bored to find out the murderer. Harrow had another good run as well.

The one good thing was watching the test series between England and India.

I feel like I was robbed.

Whoopsy. I forgot I decided to watch a little bit of Sky After Dark. When an ad break was on in the program I was watching. It is incredibly boring. One night Paul Murray talked alone for over 25 minutes. wow.

Kruggers on Robert Mundell

 Kruggers on Mundell. He does do good obituaries. He did a good one on Freidman as well.

Movie review The courier

 Last week I watched The Courier and thoroughly enjoyed myself.

Benedict Cumberbatch is the 'star however to me it is Merab Ninidze is the real star. 

MI5 and the CIA come up with a plan of using a simple businessman as a courier of secrets that a man in the kremlin wants to have because he is afraid of  the Soviet Leadership.

Do yourself a favour and go and watch it.

Around the Traps 9/4/21

 It is time for Around the Traps again.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Melissa Parsons and Martin Thoms on floodplains-arent-separate-to-a-river-theyre-an-extension-of-it-its-time-to-change-how-we-connect-with-them
• Michael McGreevey on why-cities-planning-to-spend-billions-on-light-rail-should-look-again-at-what-buses-can-do
• Rupert Posner on on-the-road-again-heres-how-the-states-can-accelerate-australias-sputtering-electric-vehicle-transition
• Greg Jericho on whenever-the-chance-to-advocate-for-higher-wages-arises-the-morrison-government-declines
• Richard Dennis on is-malcolm-turnbull-the-only-liberal-who-understands-economics-and-climate-science-or-the-only-one-wholl-talk-about-it
• John Quiggin on finkels-road-to-zero
• renew economy on do-or-die-moment-for-market-re-design-as-taylor-takes-control-of-process, the-perfect-backdrop-for-nsws-big-ugly-coal-problem
• Institutional Economics on when-the-media-penny-drops
• Richard Holden on to-fix-australias-housing-affordability-crisis-negative-gearing-must-go
• Nathan Bartlett on astrazenecas-blood-clot-risk-is-incredibly-small-australia-shouldnt-follow-the-uks-lead-of-offering-under-30s-another-vaccine
• Croaking Cassandra on holding-senior-officials-to-high-standards
• Thomas the Think Engine on oblivion-part-2

Northern America

• Calculated Risk on brief-discussion-impact-of-rising-mortgage-rates-on-home-sales-and-house-prices
• noahopinion on bidenomics-explained
• Zack Beauchamp on study-republican-control-state-government-bad-for-democracy, georgia-sb202-voter-suppression-democracy-big-lie
• Meredith Conroy on why-being-anti-media-is-now-part-of-the-gop-identity
• Menzie Chinn on re-examining-the-effects-of-trading-with-china-on-local-labor-markets-a-supply-chain-perspective-2
• the conversable economist on evolving-patterns-of-innovation-across
• Richard Murphy on bidens-tax-plan-is-about-tackling-the-class-warfare-of-the-us-elite Thanks Brad

Europe

• stumbling and mumbling on complicated-motives
• Mainly Macro on labour-should-start-contesting-tory-economic-record
• Thomas Rogers on welcome-to-germany

Asia

• Chris Cheng and Holmes Chan on xinjiang-cotton-beijing-taking-world
• Tharaphi Phan on myanmars-brutal-military-was-once-a-force-for-freedom-but-its-been-waging-civil-war-for-decades
• Kirsten Han on singapore-covid-vs-privacy-no-contest
• Roland Rajah on big-bark-small-bite-china-s-trade-coercion
• Melissa Chan on uyghur-women-china-xinjiang

Wonk

• Alexandra Wake et al on curbs-on-press-freedom-come-with-a-cost-new-research-reveals
• Tim Harford on late-greats-why-some-brilliant-ideas-get-overlooked
• noahopinion on against-hickelism, the-great-protest-wave, bitcoin-is-upending-the-world-of-the-rich
• the conversable economist on policy-for-next-pandemics, dispose-of-masks-properly-or-else
• Shelley Inglis on for-autocrats-like-vladimir-putin-ruthless-repression-is-often-a-winning-way-to-stay-in-power

General

• Rob Brooks on curious-kids-why-do-people-like-to-kiss-do-other-animals-kiss
• Anthony Zuulli  et al on what-is-thrombocytopenia-the-rare-blood-condition-possibly-linked-to-the-astrazeneca-vaccine

Climate

• Real Climate on should-the-official-atlantic-hurricane-season-be-lengthened
• Peter Sinclair on 10-years-on-how-did-predictions-pan-out
• Moyhu on march-global-surface-templs-up-0252C
• Judith Rosentreter et al on half-of-global-methane-emissions-come-from-aquatic-ecosystems-much-of-this-is-human-made
• renew economy on for-hydrogen-to-dominate-the-low-carbon-world-batteries-must-fail
• Deanna Kemp on clean-energy-the-worlds-demand-for-copper-could-be-catastrophic-for-communities-and-environments

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• hcq-the-clinical-trials-they-summarized-were-predominantly-in-young-healthy-people-so-even-the-best-drug-in-the-world-wouldnt-look-good-under-their-framework
  
• america-has-a-ruling-class
  
• the-2019-project-how-false-beliefs-in-statistical-differences-still-live-in-social-science-and-journalism-today
  
• discuss-our-new-r-hat-paper-for-the-journal-bayesian-analysis
  
• adjusting-for-differences-between-treatment-and-control-groups-statistical-significance-and-multiple-testing-have-nothing-to-do-with-it
  
• understanding-the-value-of-bloc-voting-using-the-congressional-progressive-caucus-as-an-example
  
• some-issues-when-using-mrp-to-model-attitudes-on-a-gun-control-attitude-question-on-a-1-4-scale
  
• state-level-predictors-in-mrp-and-baysian-prior
  
• why-did-it-take-so-many-decades-for-the-behavioral-sciences-to-develop-a-sense-of-crisis-around-methodology-and-replication
  

Econometrics

• No Hesitations on local-projections-vs-vars
• Freaakometrics on big data the tech giants and insurance

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• endogenising-economists
  
• and-not-or-state-and-market
• banks V business
  
  

Vox Wonk

• persistent-electoral-benefits-redistribution
  
• roaring-twenties-revisiting-evidence-europe
  
• spend-now-tax-later-budget
  
• hidden-costs-corporate-social-responsibility
  
• behavioural-strategies-reduce-teacher-sorting-peru
  
• capital-and-economic-growth-britain-1270-1870
  
• quantitative-easing-emerging-market-economies
  
• lock-effects-part-time-unemployment-benefits
  
• quantitative-easing-emerging-market-economies
  
• efficient-carbon-pricing-under-uncertainty
  
• partisan-politics-and-macroeconomic-policy-economic-unions
  
• populism-bureaucratic-expertise-and-government-performance
  
• central-bank-swaps-age-covid-19
  
• exchange-rate-pass-through-monetary-policy-and-real-exchange-rates
  
• reporting-regulation-impact-corporate-innovation
  
• how-high-speed-rail-changes-spatial-distribution-economic-activity
  

Efficient carbon pricing under uncertainty

 From what I call Vox Wonk a short article on the above topic.

Really interesting

For Hydrogen to succeed batteries must fail

 Renew Economy has a very interesting article on this.

Around the Traps 2/4/21 Easter Edition

 It is time for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Nino Bucci on renewables-plus-batteries-offer-australia-the-same-energy-security-as-coal-research-finds
• renew economy on solar-tax-may-be-outrageous-but-is-it-as-bad-as-it-sounds, gas-led-recovery-aemo-says-gas-use-in-grid-may-all-but-disappear-in-20-years, biggest-coal-generator-agl-to-split-business-in-two-to-focus-on-renewables-transition, aemo-calls-for-all-hands-to-navigate-incredibly-fast-transition-to-renewables
• Lisa Gibbs on more-than-a-decade-after-the-black-saturday-fires-its-time-we-got-serious-about-long-term-disaster-recovery-planning
• Ross Bradstock et al on a-staggering-1-8-million-hectares-burned-in-high-severity-fires-during-australias-black-summer
• Sue Williamson on andrew-laming-why-empathy-training-is-unlikely-to-work
• Croaking Cassandra on grant-robertson-on-housing, exporting-how-does-nz-compare
• Bruce Mountain on now-they-want-to-charge-households-for-exporting-solar-electricity-to-the-grid-itll-send-the-system-backwards
• Peter Martin on the-true-cost-of-the-governments-changes-to-jobseeker-is-incalculable-its-as-if-it-didnt-learn-from-robodebt
• Albert Van Dijt et al on even-after-the-rains-australias-environment-scores-a-3-out-of-10-these-regions-are-struggling-the-most
• Ove Hoeve Guldberg and Leslie Hughes on seriously-ugly-heres-how-australia-will-look-if-the-world-heats-by-3-this-century
• Greg Jericho on public-investment-in-infrastructure-would-be-a-much-needed-boon-to-the-australian-economy

Northern America

• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-biden-avoids-mistake-of-insufficient-fiscal-stimulus, estimating-potential-output, did-the-lockdown-cause-more-suicides
• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-war-joe-biden-agency-regulation-administrative-neil-gorsuch-epa-nondelegation, dominion-fox-news-1-6-billion-tucker-carlson-lou-dobbs-maria-bartiromo-defamation-first-amendment
• Barkley Rosser on is-biden-presidency-final-triumph-of-the-silent-generation
• Perry Bacon on why-georgias-new-voting-law-is-such-a-big-deal
• Charlie Sykes on ret-conning-trumpism
• Kate Clayton on washington-risks-unsustainable-climate-policy
• Nathaniel Rakich on americans-oppose-many-voting-restrictions-but-not-voter-id-laws

Europe

• stumbling and mumbling on complicated-motives
• the conversable economist on the-spread-in-labor-costs-across-in-europe
• Chris Patten on boris-johnson-global-britain-hard-brexit-choices thanks Brad

Asia

• Aarti Betigeri on india-taste-political-variety
• Nishank Motwani on interim-government-would-bring-ruin-afghanistan
• noahopinion on china-is-very-20th-century
• Barkley Rosser on the-iran-china-deal
• Mubashar Hasan on understanding-bangladesh-s-most-potent-religious-opposition

Wonk

• John Quiggin on there-really-was-a-golden-age, the-suez-canal-blockage-captured-the-worlds-attention-but-sea-lanes-are-not-as-important-as-many-claim, public-debt-dont-target-the-quantity-target-the-price
• noahopinion on yes-experts-will-lie-to-you-sometimes
• Mainly Macro on vines-and-willis-on-future-of-macro
• Kate Clayton on washington-risks-unsustainable-climate-policy
• the conversable economist on data-and-developments
• Macomania on a-natural-rate-of-interest
• Uneasy Money on monetarism-and-hawtrey-and-cassel
• Richard Holden on swaps-options-and-other-derivatives-arent-just-for-the-financial-elite
• Adam Tooze on janet-yellen-mario-draghi-italy-united-states-technocrats-capitalist-democracy

General

• Mathew Barton and Michael Todorovic on curious-kids-why-are-some-kids-left-handed-and-others-are-right-handed

Climate

• and Then Theres Physics on solar-radiation-management-2

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• substack
  
• is-he-you-know
  
• like-a-harbor-clotted-with-sunken-vessels-update
  
• estimating-the-college-wealth-premium-not-so-easy
• a-tale-of-two-epidemiologists
  
• many-years-ago-when-he-was-a-baby-economist
  
• i-have-this-great-april-fools-ideas-but-theres-no-space-for-it-in-the-margin-of-this-blog
  
• the-both-both-of-science-reform
  
• call-for-a-moratorium-on-the-use-of-the-term-prisoners-dilemma
  
• more-background-on-our-research-on-constructing-an-informative-prior-from-a-corpus-of-comparable-studies
  
• Kaiser Fung on note-on-a-simpsons-paradox-in-real-world-vaccine-effectiveness-studies, what-the-danish-study-tells-us-about-the-cdc-study-on-real-world-effectiveness, how-the-cdc-study-handled-biases-in-observational-data

Econometrics

• No Hesitations on covid-modeling-update-bayesian-analysis

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• baumol-meets-marx
  

Vox wonk

• new-central-banking-calls-european-credit-council
  
• alzheimer-s-and-un-s-decade-healthy-ageing
  
• minimum-legal-drinking-age-and-social-gradient-binge-drinking
  
• reducing-rural-urban-education-gap-through-computer-assisted-learning
  
• firms-and-labour-markets-times-violence
  
• regulation-and-economic-growth-contingent-relationship
  
• unstuffing-banks-fed-deposits-why-and-how
  
• external-sovereign-debt-restructurings-delay-and-replay
  
• declining-effectiveness-lockdowns
  
• aiming-zero-covid-19-ensure-economic-growth