The Liberals are vulnerable to small l liberals

There are three seats which the Liberals should have but do not.
They are held essentially by independents who are small liberals not big C conservatives.

This means that both tony Abbott and Greg Hunt are vulnerable. I might add a caveat. I think Abbot is in more danger than Hunt.
Why so?

The ALP gas a shot in Flinders and should run second. I doubt if Julia banks will run second whereas I think the ALP will run dead in Warringah and give preferences to the Independent.

There is no case of a  big C conservative winning a s eat off the Liberals.