Kevin Bonham writes on poll-roundup-2018-year-in-review.
It is a great read as usual.
I would like to make one point.
It seems the Liberals are using gullible and numerate journalists just like the ALP machine men did when they got rid of Rudd.
If the polls are saying 55-45 but 'in house' polling has the liberals in much better terms in the 'marginal seats' then quite a lot of safe seats are vulnerable.
'Marginal seat' polling if it exists occurs in both parties by the parties surveying say 4 seats. each marginal seats would be surveyed for 400 people. If it is a random sample you could get a fair idea of what is going on overall.
You would not have a clue what is occurring in each seat.
I doubt very much if any polling took place.
No comments:
Post a Comment