Another note on US Politics

 I am going to address a few issues that any person facing the election must contemplate but not in any order.

Economics

Trump promises to have a lot of internment camps so both legal and illegal immigrants will be deported. This would decimate GDP growth and lift wages dramatically because of the shortage of labour particularly in the agricultural industries. Think wine for example.

He wants to impose tariffs across the board mostly 10% but sometimes 20%. This would have a large effect on inflation both directly when consumer goods and also indirectly because they are intermediate goods. He also wants to impose massive tariffs on all chinese goods.  Same thing here.

The other thing which would occur is the trade war which would eventuate. World trade would be in utter chaos.

Fascism

Does Trump have fascist tendencies, Of course he does. I do not think the problem is him going after opponents . He did this previously with both Clinton and Biden. They did not go forward as his A/Gs told him there was no case.  Lackeys at the Justice Department may manufacture a case but they would have to get past a grand jury and then after that an actual jury. Decent lawyers would point holes in a manufactured case. Showing Trump is going after them would also get the case thrown out. Trump would be relying on people  in the Justice department with no corporate knowledge. It is odds on they would make mistakes. A lot of them.

No what is important are the institutions. The Supreme court has already shown it is in by its absurd decision on Presidential immunity. The time it took to make the decision ensured Trump would never face justice and we can only assume they would make more absurd decisions to help Trump once in power. Trump could play havoc by appointing stooges for other institutions. He could get rid of TV licences for networks critical of him for example

He could set the IRS in people he does not like. Even if there is no offence the time and money involved for people marked would be high

His false electors/ voter fraud did not work last time not because he had no proof but because the margins were so large. Imagine if the result was much much tighter. Although the cases are tossed out it goes all the way to the Supreme court and guess what. Trump is 'elected'.

PACS.

I noticed the Musk PAC in favour of Trump has two adds on Harris confronting voters. To those of palestinian background it highlights her husband's jewish faith. to those of a jewish background it alleges she favours palestinians ( actually Hamas lover indirectly) overs jews. Of course this cannot be right. She is either one thing or the other not both. It is what you would expect of someone who evokes conspiracy theories that are easily disproved!

The Future

If Trump wins it means a completely different political system , think Orban not Putin, where lying is the order of the day. You are betting on the USA being more like Poland than Hungary. It is not something anyone should be betting on. If you change the system you usually do not go back to what you had previously.

Wars

Trump would allow the Israelis to kill whomever in their attempt to wipe out firstly Hamas and then Hizbullah. At present there is no end game for the 'wars'. We do know courtesy of Orban what Trump would so in Ukraine. He would stop all aid and weapons to them allowing russia to take whatever it wants. He might even leave NATO

Just remember last time there was utter chaos  in the Whitehouse.

Whoopsy I forgot to mention all those large numbers of people who worked with Trump who say he should never be anywhere the white house again.

Next if it is Kelly V Trump in who is telling the truth then who was found guilty of fraud, who was in control of a company guilty of fraud, who was found guilty of sexxually assualuting a woman he said he di not. Who falsified documents so no-one would find out he had sex with a porn star four months after his wife had a son.  So courts have found on at least four occasions he lied!

There is simply no choice at all if you are rational and have a brain.