What we call by-elections the yanks call special elections. There have been quite a few of them on a state level and yesterday our time George Santos's ols district flipped to the Democrats. It went from a 8% win to a 8% loss.
the democrats also won a state seat in Pennsylvania.
There has been a clear pattern in special elections.It is a large swing to the Democrats.
Abortion is usually a major issue although it wasn't in New York (because no-one thinks it is threatened.)
Major thinking has the big issue was immigration and the republicans in the house rejecting a bi-partisan bill from the Senate ( which was very 'republican' in its nature.
The republicans and trump just keep on winning. Trump does get out his base to vote and but he also gets out people who want to vote against him.
These special elections and not the polls at present which are notoriously unreliable this far out from the election is the better guide on where voters are headed.
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