Ry Cooder

 Ry Cooder is one of my favourites and Paris Texas is one of the greatest soundtracks. Here he is live with David Laidley doing paris texas live. Just wow

Blue Oyster Cult

 This is not the time for writing so enjoy Blue Oyster Cult live

Around the Traps 23/12/22 Christmas edition

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Adam Morton on the-question-that-should-be-dominating-debate-is-how-quickly-australia-can-replace-gas-with-renewables
• Anita Foerster on clearer-rules-on-reporting-companies-climate-risks-could-soon-put-us-on-a-path-to-decarbonising-corporate-australia
• Jennifer Hsu on beyond-binary-choices-australia-china-relations
• Ross Gittins on hey-rba-boomer-things-have-changed-lot-since-the-70s, yes-money-does-buy-happiness-terms-and-conditions-apply
• renew economy on australia-backs-2-7bn-of-big-batteries-to-narrow-gap-to-100-pct-renewables, south-australias-incredible-week-104-1-per-cent-wind-and-solar-over-seven-days, neoen-to-add-big-battery-to-what-is-now-australias-biggest-solar-farm, rooftop-solar-takes-biggest-bite-yet-out-of-brown-coals-christmas-lunch, chris-bowen-gas-is-neither-a-transition-fuel-nor-low-emissions-but-at-least-its-flexible, rooftop-solar-is-eating-coal-and-gas-markets-in-every-mainland-state,the-new-year-will-be-all-about-grid-firming-as-australia-rejoins-race-to-renewables, south-australias-remarkable-100-per-cent-renewables-run-extends-to-over-10-days
• Richard Bean and Neil Horrocks on how-closely-monitoring-households-energy-data-can-unleash-their-solar-outputs-and-possibly-make-them-more-money
• Tony Walker on 50-years-after-gough-whitlam-established-diplomatic-relations-with-china-what-has-changed
• Rebecca Lester et al on for-australia-to-lead-the-way-on-green-hydrogen-first-we-must-find-enough-water
• Michelle Grattan on rudd-is-highly-qualified-for-washington-but-might-find-the-diplomatic-corset-constricting
• croaking cassandra on nz-and-australia, reluctantly-and-belatedly-recognising-conflicts-of-interest
• Greg Jericho on the-year-in-australian-economics-inflation-roars-interest-rates-bite-and-real-wages-fall-off-a-cliff
• Andrew Blakkers and Anna Nadolny on global-coal-use-in-2022-is-reaching-an-all-time-high-but-australia-is-bucking-the-trend
• Robert Glasser et al on every-australian-will-be-touched-by-climate-change-so-lets-start-a-national-conversation-about-how-well-cope
• Philip Laird on why-electric-vehicles-wont-be-enough-to-rein-in-transport-emissions-any-time-soon
• Bruce Robertson on where-next-australian-gas

Northern America

• the unpopulist on is-the-liberal-bias-of-mainstream-a-myth thanks Brad
• Brad De Long on contra-vince-reinhart-the-fed-has-done-very-well-indeed, perhaps-some-stochastic-parrots-are-somewhat-intentional
• Ben Jacobs on january-6-criminal-referral-trump-eastman
• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-matthew-kacsmaryk-judge-trump-abortion-immigration-birth-control, supreme-court-fifth-circuit-habeas-corpus-criminal-justice-andy-oldham-crawford-cain
• the conversable economist on social-security-evolution-by-cohort
• Drezners World on the-possible-limits-of-american-polarization Thanks Brad
• Mark Gongloff on elon-musk-tesla-stock-price-show-need-for-activist-investor Thanks Brad
• Bill Dudley on the-fed-s-inflation-objective-trumps-what-markets-want Thanks Brad
• Sean Collins on january-6-committee-report-trump-2020-election-insurrection
• Ben Jacobs on january-6-criminal-referral-trump-eastman
• Eric Kramer on what-exactly-is-the-libertarian-position-on-access-to-health-care-anyway-and-can-we-please-knock-off-the-road-to-serfdom-crap-its-dangerous
• Margaret Russell on what-the-criminal-referral-of-trump-means-a-constitutional-law-expert-explains-the-jan-6-committee-action
• Jody Madeira on biden-vaccine-mandate-federal-contractors-fifth-circuit
• Tim Duy on Fed Watch Thanks Brad
• Mohammed El-Erian on federal-reserve-mistakes-on-inflation-interest-rates-communications Thanks Brad
• Jeet Heer on politics/bankman-fried-ftx-scandal-left
• Andrew Prokop on electoral-count-reform-act-omnibus-trump
• Michael Tomasky on looming-questions-for-the-democrats
• Dylan Scott on health-care-research-most-interesting-studies
• noahopinion on why-the-us-middle-class-is-feeling-aqueezed

Europe

• Bruce Cevik-Compiegne on how-the-20-year-rule-of-recep-tayyip-erdogan-has-transformed-turkey
• Mateo Szlapek-Sewillo on christmas-ukraine-hope-defiance-determination
• Mick Ryan on crimea-russia-ukraine-war
• Eric Kramer on give-ukraine-the-weapons-it-needs-to-defeat-russia-quickly
• Tom Nicholls on volodymyr-zelensky-visit-ukraine-united-states
• Mainly Macro on the-political-moral-and-intellectual-bankruptcy-of-the-conservative-party
• Harold James on russia-war-ukraine-what-comes-after Thanks Brad
• Clare Caldwell on how-interpret-2022-russia-invades-ukraine
• Anne Applebaum on zelensky-congress-speech-us-ukraine-support
• Costica Bradatan on two-abysses-soul dated but essential reading Thanks Nick

Asia

• Rodger Shanahan on china-s-catch-game-middle-east
• Antonion Bergaud and Cyril Verluise on The rise of China's technological power Thanks Brad

Wonk

• Joachim Klement on monetary-policy-may-have-a-longer-lag-than-we-thought Thanks Brad
• Michael Bauer and Eric Swanson on a reassessment of monetary policy  Thanks Brad
• Tim Harford on struck-by-the-power-of-the-simple-invention
• noahopinion on the-internet-wants-to-be-fragmented, geopolitics-and-geostrategic-competition-in-2023, ghana-you-were-doing-so-well
• Alex Tabarrok on liberal-democracy-strong
• Erin Mello on focused-direction-quad
• Phillipa Barr on covid-19-crisis-closure
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-boosting-carry-with-equilibrium-exchange-rate-estimates
• John Quiggin on the not so strange death of multi factor productivity growth Thanks Brad
• Eric Kramer on jay-bhattacharyas-selective-libertarianism-on-covid-and-insurance-rating
• the conversable economist on some-economics-of-antivenom
• David Autor et al on the unexpected compression. competition at work in the low wage economy
• David Colander on Was Keynes a Keynesians or a Lernerian Thanks Brad

General

• Olivier Bauman and Cindy Jones on how-much-memory-loss-is-normal-with-ageing
• Todd Lane on what-is-air-turbulence
• Phil Bell on new-fossil-foot-analysis-reveals-the-surprising-and-varied-lifestyles-of-dinosaur-bird-ancestors
• Constance Grady on comedy-wars-greg-gutfeld-jon-stewart-stephen-colbert-liberal-conservative
• Colin Jacobs and Karl Glazebrook on 10-times-this-year-the-webb-telescope-blew-us-away-with-new-images-of-our-stunning-universe

Climate

• Real Climate on the-water-south-of-greenland-has-been-cooling-so-what-causes-that
• Jasmine Lee et al on antarcticas-emperor-penguins-could-be-extinct-by-2100-and-other-species-may-follow-if-we-dont-act

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• statistical-experiments-and-science-experiments
  
• uncertainties-regarding-historical-facts
  
• signal-to-noise-ratio-and-statistical-tests
  
• a-need-for-poli-sci-101
  
• another-physically-motivated-sampler-microcanonical-hmc
  
• i-guess-gladwell-couldnt-have-afforded-a-fact-checker-who-couldve-told-him-that-planes-dont-take-off-in-a-tailwind
  
• do-simpler-machine-learning-models-exist-and-how-can-we-find-them
  
• a-probability-isnt-just-a-number-its-part-of-a-network-of-conditional-statements
  
• Kaiser Fung on beneath-the-surface-of-recent-google-elon-fcc-news, the-taylor-swift-ticketing-fiasco, the-taylor-swift-ticketing-fiasco-causes

Econometrics

• freakometrics on multiarmed bandits problem under the mean variance setting

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• webs-of-money
  
• Tyler Cowen on addendum-to-best-books-of-2022, what-ive-been-reading
• Jessica Collins on seeking-independence-three-books-read-summer
• Mariana Mazzucato on most recommend books to read thanks Brad

Vox wonk

• industrial-land-discount-china-public-finance-perspective
  
• mandatory-broader-job-searches-unemployed-workers
  
• tracking-uncertainty-rapidly-changing-global-economic-outlook
  
• reconstructing-ukraine-trade-and-foreign-direct-investment
  
• employment-effects-working-time-reductions-europe
  
• future-challenges-european-sovereign-debt-markets
  
• unequal-education-and-great-gatsby-curve
  
• mandating-covid-19-vaccination-benefits-and-costs
  
• responsible-sourcing-theory-and-evidence-costa-rica
  
• economic-toll-attacks-ukraines-power-grid
  
• addressing-uks-public-finances-after-mini-budget-crisis
  
• inequalities-urban-climate-policies-spatial-perspective
  
• global-trends-income-inequality-and-income-dynamics-new-insights-grid
  

Sport

 Why not write about the two sports I love in one of my last posts for the year.

Football

We all love the World Cup and it became better that Australia did so surprisingly well. Argentina only beat us because of our mistakes!

The Best team, Brazil, di not win but that happens. It was pleasing Messi eventually won a world cup. By the way Neither Messi, Maradona or Pele' were ever the best player in football. Johan Cruyff was easily the best player I have ever seen. Pace, skill, creativity and more.

The World cup also saw the decline of Martin Tyler and it was sad to see and hear.

Australian football then blows up by giving Sydney the next three grand finals , an unbelievably stupid decision for the only national sport and then an A-League game is abandoned.

Cricket

England were humiliated in Australia last summer. they were just as bad against the West Indies. Change the captain and coach and hey presto they are playing great test cricket. They bat with verve and get runs in short time and then their bowlers take 20 wickets. It is an amazing turnaround. Stokes is seemingly a natural skipper. The fact he can inspire by batting or bowling is a bonus.

I can only complain why can the poms talk with intelligence about cricket but Australians resort to blokiness when doing so

mandating covid vaccines

 From what I call vox wonk a short but really interesting article entitled mandating-covid-19-vaccination-benefits-and-costs

Peer Review

 Courtesy of Nick Gruen's fantastic weekly e-mail here is the-rise-and-fall-of-peer-review

Excellent and provocative reading

Around the Traps 16/12/22

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Ashwin Swarminathan on there-are-still-good-reasons-to-avoid-catching-covid-again-for-one-your-risk-of-long-covid-goes-up-each-time
• Bruce Mountain on will-price-caps-on-coal-and-gas-bring-power-prices-down-an-expert-isnt-so-sure
• Ross Gittins on who-knew-price-of-better-government-is.higher-taxes, 2022-year-our-trust-was-abused-to-breaking-point
• renew economy on csiro-says-australia-can-and-must-build-its-own-silicon-and-solar-cell-supply-chain, thinner-than-human-hair-mit-develops-solar-cell-to-turn-any-surface-into-power-source, dirty-unreliable-and-yet-more-blackout-threats-australias-charming-fossil-fuel-industry but-how, fossil-fuel-hysterics-make-coal-and-gas-price-caps-look-like-a-really-good-idea, nsw-prepares-for-faster-coal-closures-and-supply-chain-bottlenecks-for-renewables, no-regard-to-market-outcomes-regulator-savages-generator-behaviour, firmed-wind-and-solar-still-much-cheaper-than-fossil-fuels-even-with-inflation-says-csiro, australia-backs-2-7bn-of-big-batteries-to-narrow-gap-to-100-pct-renewables
• Jay Rutovitz et al on to-clean-up-australias-power-grid-were-going-to-need-many-thousands-more-skilled-workers-and-fast
• Kevin Bonham on mid-term-queensland-polling-and-the-misreporting-thereof
• Policy Insights on its-time-for-an-honest-reappraisal-of-Gough-Whitlam
• Greg Jericho on the-pandemic-showed-us-that-poverty-is-a-policy-choice-we-must-do-better
• Cheng Cheng et al on australia-needs-much-more-solar-and-wind-power-but-where-are-the-best-sites-we-mapped-them-all
• Anne Twomey on an-indigenous-voice-to-parliament-will-not-give-special-rights-or-create-a-veto
• Samantha Hepburn on yes-the-governments-price-cap-is-overly-generous-to-gas-producers-but-it-was-necessary
• Croaking Cassandra on dipping-into-the-hyefu
• Hassan Vally on were-entering-a-new-phase-of-covid-where-we-each-have-to-assess-and-mitigate-our-own-risk
• Johanna Bowyer on relief-sight-australias-skyrocketing-electricity-prices

Northern America

• Lawyersgunsmoney on the-imaginary-right-to-post Thanks Brad
• noahopinion on the-big-nepa-roundup, the-conquest-of-the-post-pandemic-inflation
• John Quiggin on jefferson-rejected-even-voluntary-emancipation
• Geoffrey Skulley on why-kyrsten-sinema-left-the-democratic-party
• Menzie Chinn on do-foreign-yield-curves-predict-us-recessions-and-gdp-growth, the-household-establishment-job-creation-conundrum
• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-birth-control-contraception-constitution-matthew-kacsmaryk-deanda-becerra
• Nathaniel Rackich on democrats-want-to-put-abortion-on-the-ballot-but-many-states-wont-let-them
• the grumpy economist on second-great-experiment-second-update
• Dennis Aftergut and Laurence Tribe on trump-investigations-subpoena-special-counsel-jack-smith-doj
• Jeet Heer on trumpism-was-born-in-the-90s, herschel-walker-gop-tokenism
• Zack Beauchamp on elon-musk-twitter-managerial-woke-james-burnham
• New Deal Democrat on november-cpi-thank-you-gas-prices-no-thank-you-owners-equivalent-rent
• Calculated Risk on cleveland-fed-median-cpi-increased-05
• the last bear standing on barbarian-at-the-gate-the-twitter Thanks Brad
• public notice on dan-froomkin-interview-political-journalism Thanks Brad
• can we still govern on elon-musk-and-all-the-conspiracy Thanks Brad

Europe

• Yuval Harari on putin-russian-ukraine-war-global-peace
• Mainly Macro on the-implications-of-a-tipping-point-in-support-for-brexit

Asia

• Ellen Ioannes on irans-protest-movement-explained
• Jonathan Guyer on iran-protests-information-war-bots-trolls-propaganda
• Anne Applebaum on taiwan-china-disinformation-propaganda-russian-influence

Wonk

• Arvind Subramanian and Josh Felman on why-india-cant-replace-china Thanks Brad
• Douglas Irwin on most-developing-economies-reduced-tariffs-voluntarily-not-because-trade Thanks Brad
• Caitlyn Byrne et al on us-australia-alliance-beyond-sentiment
• Andrea Carson and Dennis Muller on is-it-ever-okay-for-journalists-to-lie-to-get-a-story
• Ian Hill on 2922-global-turning-point
• Menzie Chinn on some-empirical-definitions-of-recession-around-the-world-an-incomplete-list
• noahopinion on techno-optimism-for-2023
• John Quiggin on the-slow-demise-of-neoliberalism
• Roland Bouffanais and Sun Sun Lim on why-cryptocurrency-ecosystem-house-cards
• Chris Bertram on is-woke-a-new-ideology
• stumbling and mumbling on why-economists-need-history
• the conversable economist on john-wesley-and-the-origins-of-earn-to-give
• experimental history on the-rise-and-fall-of-peer-review Thanks Nick

General

• Tim Harford on the-one-thing-we-all-get-wrong-when-choosing-christmas-presents
• Julien Louys et al on for-the-first-time-ever-we-have-a-complete-skull-description-of-a-true-fossil-giant-wombat
• Jenti Horner and Tanya Hill on get-ready-a-spectacular-meteor-shower-is-hitting-our-skies-in-the-next-few-days
• Simon Callow on ol-blue-eyes-the-extraordinary-life-of-an-ordinary-man-paul-newman

Climate

• DeSmog on 1.5-2c-history-temperature-target-climate-paris-agreement
• Andrew Freedman on arctic-warming-wetter-climate-change-report
• moyhu on giss-november-global-temperature-down
• David Appell on antarctic-sea-ice-extent

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• ppnas
  
• a-reminder-of-why-i-dont-think-statistics-should-have-a-nobel-prize
  
• scientifical-americans-the-culture-of-amateur-paranormal-research
  
• what-is-the-original-source-of-the-bulls-eye-graphs-that-represent-bias-and-variance
  
• hey-what-happened-with-this-randomized-controlled-trial-of-how-to-talk-so-kids-will-listen-and-listen-so-kids-will-talk
  
• update-4-world-cup-qatar-2022-predictions-semifinals-and-winning-probbailities
  
• the-easygoing-relationship-between-computer-scientists-and-null-hypothesis-significance-testing
  
• it-can-be-hard-to-get-the-data-from-a-published-study
  
• lack-of-correlation-between-school-mask-mandates-and-paediatric-covid-19-cases-in-a-large-cohort
  
• heres-how-i-think-about-meritocracy
  
• the-conspiracy-theory-pseudoscience-culture
  
• Eran Raviv on spurious-factors

Econometrics

• nuttin

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• facts-about-facts
  
• net-zero-digital-revolution-competitive-implications-antitrust
  

Vox Wonk

• electricity-markets-transition-proposal-reforming-european-electricity-markets
  
• how-citizen-participation-affects-environmental-governance-evidence-social-media
  
• estimating-true-cost-war-conflict-eastern-ukraine-2014-2019
  
• language-training-and-placement-strong-labour-markets-promote-refugees-long-run
  
• flat-tax-reform-ukraine-lessons-bulgaria
  
• international-trade-time-climate-crisis
  
• how-organise-aid
  
• socioeconomic-status-and-unethical-behaviour-high-expectations-rather-poor-morals
  
• iq-expectations-and-choice
  
• uneven-effects-rising-energy-and-consumer-prices-poverty-and-social-exclusion-eu
  
• pre-distribution-requires-redistribution
  
• the-economic-consequences-of-war
  
• political-disruptions-fiscal-austerity
  
• war-and-sanctions-effects-russian-economy
  

Gough Whitlam revisited

 THIS is in essence a book review but still interesting.

Let me put my cards on the table.

Whitlam's grand plan was economic rationalism personified. He was inspired by the Vernon committee. He was also a Rattigan man.

When he came to government most people in the suburbs let alone the outer suburbs where Whitlam lived did not have sewerage for toilets and had to go outdoors to a dunny.

We spent a lamentable amount on education.

Whitlam's policies were not the problem. It was the haste to implement them all at once. He was also too sentimental. Bill Hayden should have been treasurer at the beginning but Whitlam chose Frank Crean. There were others as well.

This is why in the end Whitlam was a failure as a PM.

Problems of getting a new grid

 You need a new grid when you change to renewables as EVERYONE knew we had to.

THIS article examines getting enough skilled labour to do it.

covid

 A timely article on trying to avoid catching covid. The more you catch it the greater the odds you will get long covid

Lets add THIS as well

Trump V Biden

 Via Nick Gruen's fantastic weekly e-mail HERE is a comparison so to speak of biden V  Trump using family connections.

Funny but scary

Around the Traps 9/12/22

 It is time for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Peter Breadon et al on how-do-you-fix-general-practice-more-gps-wont-be-enough-heres-what-to-do
• Tom Wainwright and Coral Bravo on half-of-australias-biggest-companies-have-net-zero-emissions-plans-but-climate-action-may-come-too-late
• Mark Wooden et al on hilda-finds-working-from-home-boosts-womens-job-satisfaction-more-than-mens-and-that-has-a-downside
• Croaking Cassandra on rodger-finlay-and-oia-obstructionism
• David Rowe on qatar-world-cup-socceroos-best-ever-performance-and-what-it-means-for-the-game-in-australia-ahead-of-hosting-the-womens-world-cup
• renew economy on australias-stunning-spring-into-the-green-energy-future, collapse-of-contractor-puts-question-mark-over-giant-snowy-2-0-project, huge-26gw-renewable-project-in-pilbara-has-new-name-new-partner-and-new-focus, bowen-to-present-new-capacity-mechanism-that-may-look-like-storage-target, fossil-fuel-majors-are-reaping-obscene-profits-a-simple-levy-could-protect-australians-from-hyperinflation, wind-solar-and-rooftop-pv-beat-coal-and-gas-in-worlds-biggest-isolated-grid, net-zero-extinctions-new-epa-to-play-tough-cop-on-emissions-but-not-all-of-them, energy-ministers-agree-to-fast-track-big-batteries-and-long-duration-storage
• Peter Martin on this-latest-increase-in-rba-interest-rates-might-well-be-the-last-for-some-time
• John Quiggin and the Kouk on the-rba-has-raised-interest-rates-again-what-does-this-mean-for-the-economy-in-2023
• Josh Wilson on we-need-talk-about-war-decisions
• Ross Gittins on both-sides-exaggerate-significance-of-wage-changes
• Andrew King on extreme-heat-in-the-midst-of-the-big-wet-for-northern-australia-whats-going-on-with-the-weather
• Tony Wood on surging-energy-prices-are-really-going-to-hurt-what-can-the-government-actually-do
• Justin Burke on ausmin-submarine-conundrum
• Richard Ackland on what-sort-of-country-are-we-thats-the-question-implicit-in-lachlan-murdoch-v-crikey

Northern America

• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-moore-harper-independent-state-legislature-doctrine-elections, supreme-court-moore-harper-amy-coney-barrett-democracy-voting-rights-north-carolina
• Ellen Ioannes on trump-tax-documents-congress
• stay at home macro on burden-of-proof-is-on-the-inflation Thanks Brad
• Menzie Chinn on is-the-establishment-series-overestimating-nfp-employment, real-wages-during-and-post-pandemic
• Amanda Frost on clarence-thomas-conflict-of-interest-consequences
• Bulwark on terminating-the-constitution
• noahopinion on how-the-old-system-of-the-world-shaped-american-society, do-people-really-still-think-stocks-return-10%, the-dream-of-bringing-back-bell-labs
• Jeet Heer on kanye-west-musk-trump-nazism
• Mark Stern on gorsuch-reeducation-discrimination-lgbtq-civil-rights-303-creative
• Benjamin Wallace-Wells on how-raphael-warnock-defeated-herschel-walker-in-georgias-us-senate-runoff
• Dennis Wamstead on transformative-impact-inflation-reduction-act-coming-focus

Europe

• the blue stocking on starmers-secret Thanks Nick
• James Panichi on making-sense-of-meloni Thanks Nick
• Drezners world on emmanuel-macron-is-kinda-sorta-right Thanks Brad
• Mathew Sussex on what-legacy-will-vladimir-putin-leave-russia
• Mainly Macro on why-voting-under-fptp-should-always-be-tactical
• Fred Kaplan on ukraine-drone-strike-putin-russia
• Cristina Florea on ukraines-long-self-determination

Asia

• China Chats on long-view-energy-chips-war-making Thanks Brad
• Joseph Nye on war-over-taiwan-us-china-relationship Thanks Brad
• Kevin Rudd on jiang-zemin-steward-china-s-rise
• noahopinion on vietnam-its-time-to-level-up
• Khang Vu on all-family-north-korea-s-means-nuclear-survivability
• Roya Hakakian on iran-morality-police-abolished-protests-strike
• Alex Tabbarok on chinese-industrial-policy-is-failing

Wonk

• David Wells on why-outsourcing-counter-terrorism-online-won-t-work-future
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-let-the-wto-referee-carbon-border-tariffs, term-spreads-and-recessions-cross-country-evidence-a-very-incomplete-review
• Tim Harford on how-to-leave-twitter-but-keep-your-followers
• the conversable economist on three-patterns-in-world-trade-since-the-pandemic, foreign-exchange-markets-7-5-trillion-per-day, predistribution-vs-redistribution
• Brendan O'Connor on rory-cormacs-how-to-stage-a-coup-is-an-entertaining-critique-not-a-how-to-manual
• Tyler Cowen on why-i-am-disilllusioned-with-the-westminster-system-of-government, when-does-the-british-system-of-government-work-well
• Nathan Garland and Mathew Hole on how-far-has-nuclear-fusion-power-come-we-could-be-at-a-turning-point-for-the-technology
• Daryl Adair on fifas-mirage-of-unity-why-the-world-cup-is-a-vessel-for-political-protest
• David Espinoza on we-live-in-a-time-of-late-capitalism-but-what-does-that-mean-and-whats-so-late-about-it
• Toby Walsh and Alexandra George on can-machines-invent-things-without-human-help-these-ai-examples-show-the-answer-is-yes
• Corey Robin on the-trouble-with-money-john-maynard-keynes
• Liberal Currents on the-case-against-dictatorship Thanks Brad

General

• Anthony Blazevich on world-cup-what-body-type-works-best-for-football-a-professor-of-biomechanics-explains
• David Appell on unique-video-of-earths-rotation
• Timothy McHenry on im-going-to-a-classical-music-concert-for-the-first-time-what-should-i-know

Climate

• Moyhu on november-global-surface-templs-down-from-october
• skeptical science on after the deluge

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• the-noble-lie-in-science-reporting
  
• update-3-world-cup-qatar-2022-predictions-round-of-16
  
• centering-predictors-in-bayesian-multilevel-models
  
• when-conclusions-are-unverifiable-multilevel-data-example
  
• a-homework-question-in-someones-11th-grade-statistics-class
  
• successful-randomization-and-covariate-imbalance-in-a-survey-experiment-in-nature
  
• on-the-republicans-decision-to-choose-extremist-candidates-in-high-profile-close-races
  
• do-doctors-get-too-little-respect-nowadays-or-too-much
  
• the-cleantech-job-market-every-modeler-is-supposed-to-be-a-great-python-programmer
  
• statschat on briefly, good-reporting-of-numbers

Econometrics

• nuttin

Vox Wonk

• impacts-parental-job-loss-and-job-insurance-policies-children
  
• precipitation-anomalies-induced-climate-change-widen-inequality-harming-poorest
  
• monitoring-gender-diversity-economics
  
• new-global-estimates-profits-tax-havens-suggest-tax-loss-continues-rise
  
• world-unprepared-missing-skills-development
  
• risk-sharing-and-monetary-policy-transmission
  
• importance-access-knowledge-technological-progress-industrial-revolution
  
• teleworking-will-reshape-labour-markets-and-cities
  
• climate-risks-are-real-and-need-become-part-bank-capital-regulation
  
• rebuilding-ukraine-principles-and-policies
  
• communicating-social-security-reform
  
• firm-inflation-expectations-quantitative-and-text-data
  

Fossil Fuel obscene profits

 Tim Buckley writes an article everyone should read.  And the ALP government does little at all!

Nuclear Fusion power

 A really interesting article on whether nuclear fusion power is feasible or ont.

Medicare

 The Grattan Institute , unquestionably the best think tank in the business, has released a new paper on reforming medicare. It is a good read. I have linked the conversation article if you do not have the time.

The Socceroos did us proud

Before I start I want to complain. My two boys are in Singapore and watched this match with the incomparable and possibly the greatest commentator of all time, Peter Drury, doing the commentary. SBS had David Basheer who isn't even in the top three in australia. True football fans would have wanted Drury. SBS should ditch Basheer and leave us with the pommy commentators. They are the best and if Drury is doing our game publicies it to the hilt!

The socceroos did us proud. After an uncertain start ( that fooled me) they played well.

The defeat against Argentina was to be expected. They are rated number 3 for a reason and they do have the best player in the world!

We lost 2:1. Those two goals came from:

• a free kick that should not have occurred in that part of the field
• Ryan's stuff up came from two back passes that should not have happened

We created some good chances and almost pulled a draw from being 2:0 down. Given our lack of talent this was extraordinary.

Looking forward to the next World cup we need a left back, a few midfielders particularly a defensive one, and a striker.

We need better coaches in the A-League and a better system to discover new talent and then to put that potential into practice. We also need better guidance for Australians going overseas.

Well done fellahs!!

Around the Traps 2/12/22

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Ausssie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Justine Bell-James on this-case-has-made-legal-history-young-australians-just-won-a-human-rights-case-against-an-enormous-coal-mine
• Dennis Muller on media-go-for-drama-on-victorian-election-and-miss-the-story
• Shaun Carney on how-dan-andrews-pulled-off-one-of-the-most-remarkable-victories-in-modern-politics
• John Quiggin on another-nuclear-renaissance
• renew economy on battery-storage-and-big-solar-button-keep-lights-on-and-dampen-critics-in-south-australia, first-stage-of-australias-biggest-wind-solar-and-battery-project-signs-grid-connection, australias-biggest-wind-project-to-double-in-size-to-create-first-2gw-precinct, multi-gigawatt-wind-and-solar-tender-flops-undermined-by-secret-price-cap, big-solar-output-bursts-through-5gw-for-first-time-18-times-more-than-in-2018, unique-finance-deal-paves-way-for-australias-biggest-wind-and-battery-project, can-australia-make-solar-panels-renewable-manufacturing-to-share-3bn-in-new-funding, unparalleled-in-world-aemo-maps-route-to-hours-and-days-of-100-pct-renewables, its-time-to-act-on-modern-slavery-in-renewable-energy-supply-chains
• croaking cassandra on not-that-way
• Jacob Madsen and Peter Robertson on labours-share-of-national-income-has-been-remarkably-consistent-since-the-1860s
• Peter Martin on zombie-wage-deals-have-hurt-australians-for-years-heres-how-new-industrial-relations-laws-could-finally-end-your-wage-pain
• Jon Day on we-all-know-the-great-barrier-reef-is-in-danger-the-un-has-just-confirmed-it-again
• Andrew Stewart on what-the-compromise-ir-package-means-for-wage-negotiations-and-pay-rises
• AJ Brown on australias-national-anti-corruption-agency-arrives-will-it-stand-the-test-of-time
• Greg Jericho on inflation-may-now-have-peaked-the-rba-has-to-tread-carefully
• Frank Bongornio on he-was-woeful-in-bulldozed-niki-savva-catalogues-scott-morrisons-nasty-duplicitous-nutty-behaviour
• Lidia Moraswka and Guy Marks on ventilation-reduces-the-risk-of-covid-so-why-are-we-still-ignoring-it
• Aarti Betigeri on australia-wants-attract-world-s-best-make-it-easier-migrate

Northern America

• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-ice-drew-tipton-texas-united-states-immigration, supreme-court-united-states-texas-ice-immigration-drew-tipton-trump
• Nicole Narea on midterms-red-wave-democrats-election, trump-fuentes-ye-dinner-white-nationalism-supremacy
• Andrew Prokop on senate-elections-georgia-runoff-2024-map
• Geoffrey Skelley on few-midterm-voters-backed-different-parties-for-senate-and-governor
• Kaleigh Rodgers on rogers-democracy-on-ballot
• Zack Beauchamp on trump-kanye-nick-fuentes-ye-jews-anti-semitism-dinner

Europe

• comment is freed on yimbys-nimbys-and-the-battle-for-the-tory-party Thanks Brad
• mainly macro on how-scottish-independence-has-become-intertwined-with-brexit
• noahopinion on dont-panic-europe-is-not-facing-imminent-deindustrialisation

Asia

• noahopinion on chinas-pivot-is-a-bit-of-a-mess
• David Goodman on protests-against-strict-covid-zero-policy-are-sweeping-china-its-anyones-guess-what-happens-now
• Alex Tabbarok on protesting-via-equation
• James Chin on yes-the-chinese-protests-are-about-politics-and-freedom-but-they-are-also-about-what-covid-might-do-if-it-is-let-loose-now
• Rodger Shanahan on iran-deep-state-shallow-protests
• Tom McTague on china-zero-covid-protests-xi-jinping-shanghai-beijing
• Amy Chew on anwar-s-victory-not-only-malaysian-shockwave
• Jen Kirby on china-covid-zero-protests
• Christina Thornell on qatar-fifa-world-cup-kafala-system-migrant-forced-labor

Wonk

• David Grewel on a-world-historical-gamble-the-failure-of-neoliberal-globalization
• Tim Harford on farewall-to-cakeism-and-welcome-to-the-age-of-the-possible
• coppolla comment on the-entire-crypto-ecosystem-is-ponzi
• the conversable economist on warren-buffett-on-the-ovarian-lottery, practicalities-of-a-regulatory-budget
• Menzie Chinn on yin-wong-cheung-the-rmb-in-the-global-economy, guest-contribution-let-the-wto-referee-carbon-border-tariffs
• noahopinion on is-the-end-of-history-back-on-track, did-big-tech-antitrust-pick-the-wrong-target
• Ilya Somin on nationalism-not-hostility-towards-elites-is-the-main-divide-between-libertarians-and-the-new-right Thanks Tyler
• Alex Bellamy on friday-essay-how-the-west-betrayed-syria
• stumbling and mumbling on its-not-about-the-money

General

• Frederic Gachon on why-does-night-shift-increase-the-risk-of-cancer-diabetes-and-heart-disease-heres-what-we-know-so-far

Climate

• Stoat on climate-change-is-costing-trillions-and-low-income-counties-are-paying-the-cost
• skeptical science on how 2020 has substantially changed global climate outlook
• Hamish Clarke et al on many-forests-will-become-highly-flammable-for-at-least-30-extra-days-per-year-unless-we-cut-emissions-research-finds
• Real Climate on serious-mistakes-found-in-recent-paper-by-connolly-et-al
• skeptical science on publishing a long overdue explainer about a scientific consensus

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• science-as-a-vocation
  
• wikiguidelines-a-new-way-to-set-up-guidelines-for-medical-practices-to-better-acknowledge-uncertainty
  
• hey-check-out-this-short-new-introductory-social-science-statistics-textbook-by-elena-llaudet-and-kosuke-imai
  
• but-shouldnt-we-prefer-these-outside-delusions-malcolm-gladwell-in-a-nutshell
• not-frequentist-enough-2
  
• R bloggers on the-coefficient-of-determination-is-it-the-r-squared-or-r-squared
• Kaiser Fung on self-checkout-takes-another-hit

Econometrics

• nuttin

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• use-it-or-lose-it-semiconductor-version
  
• capitalism-property-and-production
  
• money-stuff
  
• Tyler Cowen on what-ive-been-reading

Vox Wonk

• patent-licensing-vertical-chain
  
• policy-preferences-and-responses-high-energy-and-food-prices-emerging-markets
  
• foreign-demand-shocks-production-networks-firm-responses-and-worker-impacts
  
• financial-stability-and-macroprudential-regulation-under-diagnostic-expectations
  
• pension-fund-investments-raise-firm-productivity-and-innovation
  
• between-deglobalisation-and-slowbalisation-where-europe-stands
  
• post-covid-rise-labour-shortages-across-oecd-countries
  
• how-supply-networks-shape-firm-size-distribution-japanese-case
  
• land-rental-markets-experimental-evidence-kenya
  
• beginning-end-cryptocurrencies
  
• microgiving-digital-platforms
  
• wage-price-spirals-historical-evidence
  
• effect-removing-early-retirement-mortality
  
• credit-supply-and-green-investment
  

I am thankful I was wrong

 The last two games by the Arnieroos have been a stark change to the first.

The defence which was full of holes has tightened up held its shape and not let in a goal despite close shaves.  The midfield has run itself ragged chasing the ball.  We have created chanced when having the ball despite having limited possession.

The substitutes made sense and there was a clear strategy.

Thus far we have scored three goals from broken play.  Harry Souttar has not just been sensational but quite inspirational in defence. Every tackle and head was cheered this morning.

Make no mistake getting into the final 16 is much better now than in 2006. We then had most of the team playing regularly in the 4 major leagues.  Not today.

We beat Denmark, a very good team. We withstood the early onslaught when it appeared we were affected by the work we put into the Tunisia game, held our heads high and began to make inroads. The goal by Leckie (who had a poor game) was a beauty.

Now on to sunday morning and Argentina.

Any boos who sacks anybody today for being late is a bum as Bob Hawke would say

The Great Barrier Reef

 HERE is an article writing all about the UNESCO  report on the Reef.

Crypto is a ponzi

 Frances Coppolla says THIS in a must read column.

the Victorian election

 Here are some takeaways from the election.

• labor-easily-wins-victorian-election-greens-on-track-to-win-four-lower-house-seats
  
• media-go-for-drama-on-victorian-election-and-miss-the-story
  
• how-dan-andrews-pulled-off-one-of-the-most-remarkable-victories-in-modern-politics
  

My view is always to vote against a sitting government after two terms even if the opposition looks terrible. Tony Abbott anyone?

Thus I do not regard this return of the ALP as good for Victoria.

Around the Traps 25/11/22

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• renew economy on wind-and-solar-supply-two-thirds-of-south-australia-grid-in-week-it-was-cut-off-from-nem, wilkie-calls-out-australia-clean-coal-scam-that-puts-countrys-reputation-at-stake, wind-farms-return-33-million-to-consumers-under-acts-100-pct-renewables-deal, origin-warns-coal-closures-may-need-to-be-delayed-if-renewables-not-built-fast-enough, generators-want-money-to-keep-burning-coal-while-waiting-for-wind-solar-and-storage, agl-to-close-big-gas-power-station-as-switch-to-100-per-cent-renewables-marches-on, coal-driven-climate-change-is-becoming-a-big-problem-for-coal, battery-storage-investment-soars-but-wind-and-solar-throttled-by-uncertainty
• croaking cassandra on long-summer-holidays-for-the-mpc, no-contrition-not-much-sense-of-responsibility-and-very-little-persuasive-analysis
• Shae McCrystal on christmas-may-be-safe-but-three-year-port-dispute-shows-the-ir-system-is-full-of-holes
• Kiriloi Ingram on militarisation-motherhood-repatriating-isis-s-western-women
• Greg Jericho on australias-economy-remains-afloat-but-there-are-choppy-waters-ahead
• Mathew England on state-of-the-climate-what-australians-need-to-know-about-major-new-report
• Institutional economics on the-rba-review-panels-half-time-report
• Andrew Gorringe and Simon Nicholas on coal-cost-trends-climate-impacts-coal-mining-likely-long-term

Northern America

• Mark Stern on supreme-court-republican-control-house-alito-mccarthy-gift thanks nick
• William Janeway on us-corporate-profits-from-rd-social-welfare-to-buybacks thanks nick
• Li Zhou on nancy-pelosi-speaker-legacy-molly-ball-biography
• Mary Ziegler on alito-supreme-court-leak-abortion-hobby-lobby
• noahopinion on the-h-1b-visa-has-problems-but-its-not-hurting-US-workers
• newdeal democrat on recession-watch-now-recession-warning
• the conversable economist on income-inequality-for-us-households, an-economist-chews-over-thanksgiving-10
• David Frum on republicans-house-hearings-hunter-biden
• Zack Beauchamp on midterm-elections-new-right-2022-results
• Dahlia Lithwick on alito-leak-hobby-lobby-real-problem
• Adam Serwer on republicans-trump-2024-red-wave
• no more mister niceguy on republicans-sound-like-stochastic-terrorists thanks brad
• Jeet Heer on gop-abortion-realignment-midterms
• Victoria Cooper on think-trump-is-done-for-think-again
• Sussan Glasser on letter-from-bidens-washington/are-we-doomed-to-see-a-biden-trump-rematch-in-2024

Europe

• Ian Hill on ukraine-no-end-sight
• Mainly Macro on the-economics-and-politics-of-three-sides-of-aggregate-fiscal-policy
• Mateo Slapek-Sevillo on europe-must-fully-embrace-nuclear-energy
• Adrian Woolridge on sweden-is-rethinking-what-makes-it-great thanks tyler
• Anne Applebaum on putin-russia-must-lose-ukraine-war-imperial-future

Asia

• noahopinion on seven-more-books-on-china, the-weak-yen-is-an-opportunity
• Jessica Collins on will-new-us-congress-still-pay-its-pacific-promises
• Ellen Ioannes on brutal-suppression-iran-regime-mass-protests
• Jeremy Wallace on the-end-of-gdpism-in-china-as-we-know-it thanks Brad
• Rajesh Bazrur and Wu Shang-Vu on india-s-military-tech-leap-risks-nuclear-chasm
• Joshua Leifer on in-the-house-that-bibi-built-israel

Wonk

• the freethinker on the-falsehood-at-the-heart-of-the-trans-movement thanks nick
• Cassandra Steer on putting-stop-destructive-anti-satellite-weapons-tests
• Ian Ward on world-cup-fifa-qatar-2022-controversy-scandals-explained
• Tim Harford on how-to-tax-a-guide-for-governments
• John Quiggin on its-good-news-week
• Alex Tabarrok on the-ftx-debacle-eli5
• Elizabeth Sander on elon-musks-hardcore-management-style-a-case-study-in-what-not-to-do
• Mark Bowden on russia-ukraine-war-drones-future-of-warfare
• Roslyn Prinsley on climate-fuelled-disasters-warning-people-is-good-stopping-the-disaster-is-best-here-are-4-possible-ways-to-do-it
• Eric Lonergan on highs-lows-of-economics-kilkenny-crypto-and-inflation

General

• Stan Karansios et al on var-and-peace-why-tech-assisted-refereeing-wont-do-away-with-disputed-decisions-at-the-world-cup
• Ben McCann on watching-casablanca-on-its-80th-anniversary-we-remain-in-awe-of-its-simplicity-and-profound-depth
• Phil Cummins et al on why-are-shallow-earthquakes-more-destructive-the-disaster-in-java-is-a-devastating-example

Climate

• Thomas and Nate Hochman on a-nuclear-renaissance thanks nick
• Matt McDonald on cop27-one-big-breakthrough-but-ultimately-an-inadequate-response-to-the-climate-crisis
• and Then Theres Physics on revkin-and-lomborg
• the conversable economist on updates-on-the-social-cost-of-carbon
• climate citizen on guest-post-cop27-one-big-breakthrough
• Jonathan Symons and Matt McDonald on stripping-carbon-from-the-atmosphere-might-be-needed-to-avoid-dangerous-warming-but-it-remains-a-deeply-uncertain-prospect

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• going-for-it-on-4th-down-whats-striking-is-not-so-much-that-we-were-wrong-but-that-we-had-so-little-imagination-that-we-didnt-even-consider-the-possibility-that-we-might-be-wrong-i-wonder
  
• a-proposal-for-the-ingram-olkin-forum-on-statistics-serving-society
  
• only-positive-reinforcement-for-researchers-in-some-fields
  
• 4th-down-update-and-my-own-cognitive-illusion
  
• bigshot-chief-scientist-of-major-corporation-cant-handle-criticism-of-the-work-he-hypes
  
• time-series-forecasting-futile-but-necessary-an-example-using-electricity-prices
  
• understanding-exchangeability-in-statistical-modeling-a-thanksgiving-themed-post
  
• statschat on how-many-covid-cases
• Kaiser Fung on self-checkout-takes-another-hit

Econometrics

• Freakometrics on insurance analytics

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• enlightened-economist-prize-2022-the-winner
  
• an-economic-experts-paradox
  
• Tyler Cowen on favorite-fiction-of-2022, best-books-of-2022

Vox Wonk

• how-us-sanctions-increased-economic-activity-sanctioned-russian-firms
  
• ronald-jones-giant-international-trade
  
• it-hurts-ask
  
• global-governance-digital-ecosystems-preserving-convergence-and-organising-co
  
• monetary-policy-communication-uncovering-central-bank-tweeting
  
• restricting-hiring-low-skill-immigrants-hurts-firms-and-does-not-benefit-native-born
  
• understanding-us-inflation-covid-era
  
• economics-post-war-recoveries-and-reconstructions
  
• effect-content-moderation-online-and-offline-hate
  
• war-conflict-and-forced-migration
  
• automation-and-polarisation
  
• reshuffling-global-supply-chains-already-happening
  
• benefits-road-maintenance-lessons-indonesia