Around the Traps 3/10/25

 It is time for Around the Traps again.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Chris Anarde on final-thought-on-australia thanks Nick
• Mark the Graph on australias-net-zero-plan-ambition-and-constraint
• Ross Gittins on seeking-positive-sum-economy-where-everyone-gains
• Patrick Cummins on australia-treasurer-chalmers-budget-deficit-smaller-than-expected-structural-challenges-loom
• Stella Huangfu on rba-stands-pat-on-interest-rates-as-hopes-dim-for-future-cuts
• Adrian Lee on from-today-all-first-home-buyers-can-apply-for-the-5-deposit-scheme-heres-whats-changing
• Greg Jericho on the-rba-seems-unlikely-to-do-another-rate-cut-meaning-theyre-betting-the-economy-is-better-than-the-data-says
• Stephen Bartos on the-controversial-gst-deal-with-the-states-is-under-review-there-are-better-alternatives
• Ian Gribble on australia-s-ai-choice-standards-setter-or-technology-taker

OZ Climate

• forrest-lands-wind-solar-and-battery-supply-deals-as-fortescue-pushes-to-real-zero
  
• andrew-forrest-makes-big-bet-on-self-lifting-turbines-in-landmark-real-zero-deal-with-envision
  
• not-everyone-hates-ausgrids-proposal-to-encourage-and-manage-rooftop-solar-batteries
  
• the-abject-saga-of-the-soon-to-be-completed-kurri-kurri-power-station
  
• network-giant-launches-australias-biggest-tender-for-grid-forming-batteries
  
• south-australia-and-agl-reach-funding-deal-on-torrens-island-gas-extension-due-to-transmission-delays
  
• rio-tinto-flags-early-closure-of-queenslands-biggest-coal-generator-as-lnp-prepares-new-energy-plan
  
• renewables-overtake-coal-for-first-time-on-monthly-basis-in-australias-main-grid
• snowy-2-0-pumped-hydro-fiasco-faces-another-major-cost-blowout-analysts-expect-more-delays
  
• consumers-could-be-left-holding-the-11-billion-bill-for-the-gas-death-spiral
  
• coal-output-hits-record-low-in-australias-biggest-state-grid-are-wind-farms-more-reliable
  
• big-smoke-or-big-battery-how-se-queensland-could-meet-its-energy-needs-from-the-sun
  
• Petra Stock on limondale-long-duration-battery-energy-storage-system-bess-what-is-dunkelflaute-energy-grid-nsw-australia
• Martin Jucker on air-temperatures-over-antarctica-have-soared-35-c-above-average-what-does-this-unusual-event-mean-for-australia
• Hussein Dia on transport-will-make-or-break-australias-new-climate-plan-and-time-is-running-out-to-fix-it
• Ross Gittins on with-us-crazy-on-climate-change-were-better-off-with-china

Northern America

• Yascha Mount on the-dems-are-still-not-getting-it thanks Nick
• Parents with inconvenient truth about trans on that-could-be-my-son thanks Nick
• Brian Nucklos on bannon-online-media-wow-coordination Thanks Nick
• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-comey-indictment-trump
• noahopinion on what-if-local-control-can-actually-help-build-housing
• Kruggers on understanding-the-coming-premium , fossil-fuels-and-fossilized-minds , bulging-biceps-dont-win-modern-wars , an-autocracy-of-dunces , declining-american-democracy-trump-is-a-sympton-not-the-cause
• Bryan Walsh on urban-fires-death-united-states-firefighters-accidents-new-york
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-does-the-zillow-rent-measure-help-predict-cpi-rent-inflation , guest-contribution-do-voters-pursue-their-economic-self-interest
• Barbara McQuade on trump-lindsey-halligan-james-comey-indictment
• David French on make-no-mistake-about-where-we-are
• Thomas Gift on trumps-love-affair-with-crypto-raises-worries-about-presidential-conflict-and-influence
• Dahlia Lithwick on supreme-court-affirmative-action-stephen-miller-donald-trump-harvard
• Open Mind on trump-delusional-and-stupid
• the conversable economist on mortgage-lock-in
• Fred Kaplan on trump-hegseth-speech-generals-military
• Brad De Long on lisa-cook-is-not-yet-evicted-from-the-federal-reserve-board , no-there-are-no-even-half-competent-monkeys-in-the-trump-administration
• James Pogue on zohran-mamdani-and-the-future-of-american-politics
• Jeet Heer on trump-antifa-portland-lies
• Christian Paz on democrats-resist-doing-obstruct-senate-block-trump-house-congress-voters-do-something
• Dahlia Lithwick and Mark Stern on supreme-court-term-analysis-four-key-points
• Richard Haas on the-enemy-from-within

Europe

• Richard Whitman and Stefan Wolff on trump-looks-set-to-abandon-ukraine-peace-efforts-europe-must-step-up-to-face-russian-aggression-alone
• Catherine Wilson on why-moldova-s-election-results-matter-europe-s-war-russia
• Kruggers on notes-on-europes-economy
• Vincent Sizaire on former-french-president-nicolas-sarkozy-sentenced-to-five-years-in-prison-republics-judiciary-frees-itself
• Neal Ascherson on a-daring-escape-no-road-leading-back-heath
• noahopinion on network-state-or-a-network-of-states
• David Kirichenko on when-trump-says-ukraine-can-win-back-all-territory-taken-russia-he-s-not-wrong

Asia

• Doha Khalout on sad-nights-of-the-north-gaza
• Nils Mallock on geography-and-politics-stand-in-the-way-of-an-independent-palestinian-state
• Michelle Grattan on politics-with-michelle-grattan-former-diplomat-ian-parmeter-on-an-israel-led-one-state-solution
• Martin Kear on the-palestinian-authority-is-facing-a-legitimacy-crisis-can-it-be-reformed-to-govern-a-palestinian-state
• Ishaal Zehra on afghanistan-must-tread-narrow-path-stability
• Henry Storey on national-champions-vietnam-s-solution-middle-income-trap
• Richard Heydarian on philippines-marcos-middle
• Muhammad Faisal on pakistan-s-saudi-pact-shifts-south-asia-s-security-calculus
• Akmad Hanan on how-trump-s-14-billion-tiktok-tug-war-affects-asia
• Ben Doherty on mass-slaughter-gaza-stands-apart-other-genocides-chris-sidoti-people-cannot-escape
• Fred Kaplan on trump-israel-gaza-palestine-peace-deal-netanyahu-hamas
• Ian Permeter on the-5-big-problems-with-trumps-gaza-peace-plan
• Yair Rosenberg on trump-gaza-peace-plan-netanyahu , palestine-recognition
• Humayoon Babur on when-taliban-switches-internet-afghanistan-disappears
• Robin Wright on is-donald-trumps-sweeping-gaza-peace-plan-really-viable
• The rest is politics on trumps gaza plan won't work ( video)
• Donald Rothwell on israels-interception-of-the-gaza-aid-flotilla-is-a-clear-violation-of-international-law

Wonk

• Dhaval Dave et al on effect-family-income-childrens-academic-achievement Thanks Nick
• institutional economics on the-simon-ehrlich-wager-over-124-years
• Tim Harford on how-to-dodge-the-tourist-traps
• Brad De Long on hoistedcrosspost-richard-s-sutton
• Alexander Howard on this-libertarian-manifesto-loved-by-peter-thiel-urges-a-cognitive-elite-to-see-selfishness-as-a-virtue
• Rodney Tiffen on new-revelations-of-the-murdoch-empires-underbelly-from-the-hacks-real-life-journalist
• Doug Muir on rambouillet-part-1-the-state-of-play
• Bryce Vissel on a-new-treatment-for-huntingtons-disease-is-genuinely-promising-but-heres-why-we-still-need-caution
• Mark Post on hindi-greek-and-english-all-come-from-a-single-ancient-language-heres-how-we-know
• Tyler Cowen on new-issue-of-econ-journal-watch-15 , on-politics-and-gender
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-how-do-uk-and-australia-relations-with-china-react-to-us-china-shocks , world-bank-accelerating-investment-challenges-and-policies
• the conversable economist on save-the-whales-by-pricing-the-ship-noise-externality
• Eric Schliesser on against-campus-debate
• Andonea Dickson on around-the-world-migrants-are-being-deported-at-alarming-rates-how-did-this-become-normalised
• experimental history on on-the-importance-of-staring-directly-into-the-sun Thanks Brad

General

• Amin Alimardani on ai-systems-can-easily-lie-and-deceive-us-a-fact-researchers-are-painfully-aware-of
• Suzy Freeman-Greene on who-are-the-worst-mothers-in-literature
• Alexander Howard on this-libertarian-manifesto-loved-by-peter-thiel-urges-a-cognitive-elite-to-see-selfishness-as-a-virtue
• Mandy Hagstrom on does-fasted-cardio-help-you-lose-weight-heres-the-science
• Mireya Mayor on jane-goodall-the-gentle-disrupter-whose-research-on-chimpanzees-redefined-what-it-meant-to-be-human
• Mike Climstein et al on does-my-sunscreen-actually-work-heres-whats-behind-the-latest-spf-concerns
• Laura McKemmish on mysterious-molecule-found-on-brown-dwarf-casts-further-doubt-on-potential-signs-of-life-on-venus

Climate

• Niasha Shafiabady and Xiaoying Qi on goodbye-petrostates-hello-electrostates-how-the-clean-energy-shift-is-reshaping-the-world-order 
• Mohd Yunus on good-oil-helping-palm-plantations-contribute-global-biodiversity-targets
• skeptical science on revisiting-the-geoengineering-question , fact-brief-agw
• Christian Downie on pr-firms-are-spreading-climate-misinformation-on-behalf-of-fossil-fuel-companies-could-australia-stop-them
• Benji Jones on jane-goodall-chimpanzee-final-message
• Danielle Ireland-Piper on applying-national-security-lens-international-court-s-climate-change-opinion
• David Appell on hadcet-at-record
• skeptical science on new_research

Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)

• 1984
  
• veridical-truthful-data-science-another-way-of-looking-at-data-analysis-workflow
  
• did-eric-adams-play-his-hand-well-its-a-little-like-murder-on-the-orient-express-its-a-little-like-the-sting
  
• dangerous-fictions-and-the-norm-of-entertainment
  
• survey-statistics-beyond-balancing
  
• yes-your-single-vote-really-can-make-a-difference-in-canada
  
• its-horrible-that-theyre-sucking-young-researchers-into-this-vortex-its-gigo-and-gresham-all-the-way-down
  
• its-a-jax-jax-jax-jax-world
  
• adding-noise-to-the-data-to-reduce-overfitting-how-does-that-work
• R bloggers on spurious-correlations-in-r-correlation-is-not-causation
• statschat on briefly
• freakometrics on fairness
• Eran Raviv on correlation-correlation-structure-10-inverse-covariance

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• conference-hinterland
  
• Tyler Cowen on being-thomas-jefferson-an-intimate-history , what-ive-been-reading
• understanding AI on the-case-for-ai-doom-isnt-very-convincing Thanks Brad
• noahopinion on book-review-doughnut-economics

Vox wonk

• stock-market-participation-and-financial-education-digital-age
  
• what-corporate-earnings-calls-reveal-about-ai-stock-rally
  
• reforming-education-economists-europe-breaking-tyranny-top-five
  
• assessment-disruptive-innovation-science-and-technology-policy-insights-meta-science
  
• dollar-dominance-and-trump-administration
  
• infrastructure-diplomacy-shadow-belt-and-road-lessons-japans-experience
  
• us-workers-experience-large-month-month-fluctuations-pay
  

Jane Goodall died

 Jane Goodall dies at an age I do not wish to get to. She was an extraordinary individual.

She was a fantastic environmentalist and the only person I have heard of who got a PhD without having a degree to start with. Very impressive.

Interest Rates

 The RBA announced yesterday that there would be no change to official cash rates.

Too many people are getting worked up about this.

The last monthly CPI showed an unexpected rise HOWEVER the current monthly series finishes in October. It is currently about 40% of the quarterly CPI series ( I think) and thus is erratic. We have to wait for november until we eventually get a monthly series which is exactly the same as the current quarterly series and we get history with it as well. Well done Dr Gruen ( He has a PhD in both physics and economics). I remember being part of the market requesting just this way back in the 1980s!! Up until now the RBA has not put a lot of credence in what the monthly CPI is. when it was falling bbut they are now when it could be rising. This is sensible.

In late october we get our last quarterly CPI. If this confirms inflation is not dropping perhaps even rising then rates will stay as they are. I think they will even if the CPI does not as the RBA is very risk averse.

They can sit on their hands knowing they have regular monthly CPIs in which they can have confidence in.

If you are risk averse it makes sense to do this. you do not want the economy growing too strongly and thus inflation rising again.  you wait until you are confident inflation stays in the 2-3% range.

A tale on algorithms

 Okay it is time to not be so serious.

I iron in my house. I quite like it. One day I decided to put on youtube and I think chose the allman brothers. This led me to understanding once the song I chose was finished it went on to other songs in that genre. It was great. I simply ironed and if I did not like the song I fast forwarded it to the next one.

Some time later I discovered the rest is history. I went through WW1 and the rise of the nazis and then the rest is politics suddenly arrived. Again I liked this and then just as suddenly various podcasts centred on US politics arrived. Wow I thought so many podcasts on youtube and so little time.

Then last week suddenly there was the classic opera duet the pearlfishers. Where did that come from? Naturally I listened to it and wella a whole bunch of arias and duets from opera were there as were some classical pieces of classical music. Then Bruce Hornsby arrives with various versions on the way it is. How did it know this is one of my favourites.

Thus I can understand the workings of an algorithm on most occasions but not all the time . Can algorithms take a punt sometimes? I do not have a smartphone and will never have one. I only have my desktop computer so youtube will only be my experience with algorithms. It has been interesting

The Failed State of the USA

 James Comey.

 Before I start please read some of the articles on northern america in friday's Around the Traps ( 26/9/25).

Some points in no particular order.

• I have yet to see any lawyer of repute to say this case is other than quite weak
• One charge was not allowed by the grand Jury
• Two were but only by a vote of 14 out of 23
• A grand jury indicts on a low order not on beyond reasonable doubt
• NO current career prosecutors were at the court just two political operatives
• Bill Barr did not prosecute because of a lack of evidence. ( Yes that is how long this goes back.)
• The Inspector General investigated this and found nothing wrong
• The current career  prosecutors have sent a statement to the latest acting prosecutor saying there is a lack of evidence to prosecute.
• Special counsel John Durham looked at this and he did not prosecute
• anonymous sources in a legal sense does not mean phoning up a journalist and backgrounding them
• Lawyers can be disbarred for  indicting someone without much of a case of finding them guilty
• There is very little 'meat' in the indictment. Compared to what Jack Smith gave everybody in his two indictments of Trump it is startling.

All in all it looks weak and very much open to both selective and vindictive prosecution. Moreover Comey's team should go for a speedy trial which would put enormous pressure on the prosecution team which has to come up to speed on this matter. The government needs to find someone to do the case for a start.

Tom Homan

I think we can all be confident that if Homan was innocent of bribery the video would have been released ( or leaked) straight away. As it is we will never be able to view it because it obviously looks bad for Homan.

ICE

I am confused why everyone on all sides cannot see the forest for the trees in this latest shooting. ICE agents are masked , have no identification, never show any arrest warrants, use violent methods to get people, frequently are outside Immigration courts so only get low hanging fruit not murderers and rapists and have been shown to lie in an attempt to charge people.

Does no-one think all these actions will provoke violence particularly when a country is clearly heading down an autocratic path and people think the democratic way will not work.

One thing that stands out like a shag on a rock. The Supreme court has enabled all of this with the disgraceful decision on the US President being immune from prosecution. This new law which was created out of nothing showed the Supreme court is captured. Neither the  lower courts or courts of appeal appear to be. The Lisa Cook decision will confirm to my mind this completely.

Opera the Pearlfishers

 Gosh I love this duet even though it is sung by two men.

First an old recording but a beauty

 now a live one

Just a pity the opera was poor!

Around the Traps 26/9/25

 It is time again for Around the Traps.

Aussie,Aussie,Aussie,Oy,Oy,Oy

• Ron Ben-David on the-time-has-come Thanks Nick
• Mark the Graph on the-great-electricity-cost-blow-out
• Ross Gittins on why-young-women-are-beating-men-in-jobs-market , albanese-takes-his-usual-each-way-bet-on-climate-change , more-boomers-are-choosing-not-to-retire-they-want-to-work , heres-what-we-can-learn-from-japans-ageing-society
• Mark Gregory on optus-triple-zero-outage-has-left-4-people-dead-a-telecommunications-expert-explains-what-went-wrong-and-how-to-fix-it
• Terence Chung on should-we-scrap-private-health-insurance-rebates-and-direct-the-funding-to-public-hospitals
• Marija Taflaga on the-liberal-party-is-riven-with-disagreements-and-discontent-can-it-survive
• croaking cassandra on article-for-central-banking-magazine-on-orr-quigley-willis-saga-and-lessons
• Greg Jericho on australia-along-with-other-oecd-countries-is-mired-in-mediocrity-and-the-rba-seems-intent-on-keeping-us-there
• Kevin Bonham on 2025-2028-2pp-aggregate-methods-page

OZ Climate

• efficiency-is-not-embroidery-for-renewables-and-electrification-its-fundamental
  
• utility-giant-writes-off-coal-assets-as-it-transitions-to-renewables-and-storage 
  
• vicgrid-makes-community-engagement-a-condition-of-grid-access 
  
• edify-to-accelerate-giant-solar-and-battery-hybrid-projects-after-1-1-billion-buyout-by-canadas-la-caisse
  
• australian-researchers-create-new-catalyst-could-supersize-zinc-air-batteries
  
• bhp-signs-new-baseload-renewable-deal-with-wind-and-battery-storage-to-power-copper-mines-and-smelter
  
• snowy-hydro-signs-up-for-its-first-big-battery-and-the-biggest-virtual-tolling-agreement-in-australia
  
• new-solar-battery-project-seeks-approval-near-narrabri-says-single-threatened-species-currently-being-eaten-by-cows
  
• farmers-for-climate-action-hit-by-social-media-attack-says-fake-news-drowns-out-rural-voices
  
• astroturfing-inquiry-flooded-with-claims-that-government-and-climate-science-are-the-problem
  
• boycotts-abuse-and-threat-wind-and-solar-landowners-face-intimidation-and-harassment
  
• forrest-lands-wind-solar-and-battery-supply-deals-as-fortescue-pushes-to-real-zero
  
• Anna Skarbek et al  on 7-things-we-can-do-today-to-meet-australias-new-climate-goal
• Steve Hatfield-Dodds on australias-2035-climate-target-is-coming-heres-how-well-know-if-its-good-enough
• Mark the Graph on australias-net-zero-commitment
• Steve Turton on dangerous-climate-change-threatens-northern-australias-big-food-bowl-dreams
• Rebecca Burdon on with-2035-emissions-targets-set-what-australia-does-next-will-help-shape-global-efforts-to-keep-1-5-c-alive
• Graham Readfearn on coalition-mps-say-australias-emissions-are-a-fraction-of-the-worlds-total-what-kind-of-argument-is-that
• Patrick Cummins on electricity-generation-costs-would-be-up-to-50-higher-in-australia-without-renewables-analysis-shows

Northern America

• institutional economics on mirans-first-fomc-and-fed-independence
• Jacob Schriner-Briggs on trump-fcc-chair-brendan-carr-jimmy-kimmel-first-amendment
• Sean Brady on tacoma-narrows-bridge-collapse Thanks Nick
• Shannon Brincat et al on political-witch-hunts-and-blacklists-donald-trump-and-the-new-era-of-mccarthyism
• noahopinion on without-free-speech-america-is-nothing , indians-and-koreans-not-welcome
• the conversable economist on 50-years-ago-when-the-us-encouraged-coal-use
• Tyler Cowen on the-industrial-revolution-in-the-united-states-1790-1870 , claims-about-interest-rates , is-a-mild-stagflation-coming
• Jonathan Chait on trump-kimmel-free-speech-censorship-critics
• Jonathan Blitzer on seeing-enemies-everywhere
• Kruggers on women-men-and-jobs , hey-lets-undermine-americas-technology , is-the-jimmy-kimmel-saga-a-sign-that-the-tide-is-turning , why-is-trump-bailing-out-argentina
• Umair Irfan on flood-insurance-nfip-hurricane-fema-helene-climate
• Mark Stern on supreme-court-ruling-trump-dictatorship , trump-supreme-court-pocket-rescission-constitution-congress-impoundment
• Christopher Mathias on trump-antifa-executive-order-terrorist-organization
• Menzie Chinn on guest-contribution-fait-shortfalls-and-the-federal-reserves-strategy-review
• Eric Levitz on trump-h1b-visa-fee
• Fred Kaplan on trump-un-speech-nobel-prize-gaza-israel-ukraine-climate-change
• Garry Kasparov on warning-those-ready-capitulate-trump
• David Frum on trump-bondi-edva , comey-indictment
• David Cole on getting-away-with-murder-trump-strikes
• Duncan Hosie on the-end-of-equity
• Ruth Marcus on donald-trumps-firing-of-a-federal-prosecutor-crosses-the-reddest-of-lines , the-flimsy-dangerous-indictment-of-james-comey
• Zack Beauchamp on charlie-kirk-george-floyd-trump-kimmel , james-comey-indictment-read-perjury-trump-bondi
• Jonathan Chait on stephen-millers-charlie-kirk-funeral
• Charles Bethea on how-one-j6er-has-been-emboldened-by-his-pardon
• George Packer on america-authoritarian-regime-ai-suicide
• Brad De Long on five-lies-in-scott-bessents-attacks-on-the-Fed
• Jeet Heer on donald-trump-corruption-thomas-homan
• Norman Eissen and Andrew Warren on trump-pam-bondi-truth-social-enemies-post-threat
• new deal democrat on the-last-shoes-to-drop-have-dropped-recession
• Sussan Glasser on donald-trump-keeps-finding-new-ways-to-shock-the-world
• Ian Millhiser on supreme-court-comey-indictment-trump
• Dahlia Lithwick on trump-news-why-jim-comey-got-indicted
• Dahlia Lithwick and Mark Stern on jim-comey-charges-trumped-up-doj-trump
• Quinta Jurecic on comey-indictment-trump-doj
• Joshua Yaffa on is-trumps-attack-on-the-media-following-putins-playbook
• Louis Menand on how-free-is-your-speech

Europe

• James Horncastle and Samuel Zilinczik on what-nato-could-learn-from-ukraine-as-it-navigates-russian-threats-to-european-security
• Anne Applebaum on ukraines-strategy-to-win-the-war
• Lisa Martin on airspace-chaos-european-eyes-skies
• Joshua Keating on russia-nato-drones-jets-war-ukraine
• Bo Petersson on why-ukraine-should-avoid-copying-finlands-1944-path-to-peace-with-moscow
• Catherine Wilson on why-moldova-s-election-results-matter-europe-s-war-russia

Asia

• Amin Saikal on is-benjamin-netanyahu-on-a-mission-to-realise-a-greater-israel
• Akhmad Hanan on indonesia-s-biodiesel-push
• Sophie Yi on china-s-victory-day-parade-tale-two-audiences
• Saqlain Rizve on handshake-wasn-t-cricket-casualty-india-pakistan-tensions
• Nilanthi Samaranayke on outside-story-helps-explains-turmoil-nepal-bangladesh-sri-lanka
• Murni Hamid on evolution-malaysian-foreign-policy
• Susanna Patton on us-really-losing-china-southeast-asia
• Sanchari Ghosh on india-s-ocean-new-report-charts-delhi-s-maritime-direction
• Erica Yague et al on youth-are-revolting-asia-s-gerontocracy-showing-its-age

Wonk

• astral codex ten on what-is-man-that-thou-art-mindful-of-him Thanks Nick
• Sophie Pinken on propaganda-of-the-deed Thanks Nick
• Izabells Watts on un-80-broke-blocked-still-indispensable
• Brad De Long on on-figuring-out-what-your-comparative-advantage-is
• Nicholas Wood and  Debra Kennedy on its-ok-to-use-paracetamol-in-pregnancy-heres-what-the-science-says-about-the-link-with-autism
• Nil Wheate and Jasmine Lee on what-is-leucovorin-the-drug-the-trump-administration-says-can-treat-autism
• noahopinion on why-every-country-needs-to-master-the=electric-tech-stack , tech-can-fix-most-of-our-problems-(if-we-let-it)
• Isel Ras and Jana De Kluiver on show-or-substance-african-union-s-g20-test
• the conversable economist on snapshots-of-the-global-robot-population , do-rules-to-limit-high-government-debt-work
• Jenny Gordon on why-we-need-international-institutions
• Tyler Cowen on why-is-milei-begging-for-a-bailout

General

• David Appell on lunar-occultations-of-saturn
  
• Tim Harford on my-date-with-an-octopus
• Alfred Wilson-Spencer on earths-inner-core-nobody-knows-exactly-what-its-made-of-now-weve-started-to-uncover-the-truth

Climate

• real climate on but-you-said-the-ice-was-going-to-disappear-in-10-years
• skeptical science on koonin-providing-clarity-on-climate?? , fact-brief-has-the-IPCC-underestimated-climate-change-impacts
• Terrence Mullan on history-s-warning-climate-chaos-can-expose-fragility-world-order
• Mehebub Sahana on the-ganges-river-is-drying-faster-than-ever-heres-what-it-means-for-the-region-and-the-world

Andrew Gelman ( mostly stats)

• monty-hall-and-generative-modeling-drawing-the-tree-is-the-most-important-step
  
• who-gets-listed-first-on-a-collaborative-article-or-book
  
• its-jama-time-junk-science-presented-as-public-health-research
  
• protecting-data-from-the-public-and-ourselves
  
• bridging-prediction-and-intervention-in-social-systems
  
• more-on-the-decline-and-fall-of-steven-levitt
  
• on-the-poor-statistical-properties-of-the-p-curve-meta-analytic-procedure
  
• a-selective-history-of-political-polling-and-election-forecasting
  
• statschat on panadol-scare
• Kaiser Fung on migration-update-thread , proof-by-absurdity , a-second-look-at-that-axis , notes-on-vibe-coding-3

Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)

• nuttin
• great-power-transitions-and-the-role-of-technology
  

Vox Wonk

• ripples-presaging-financial-tsunami
  
•  understanding-inflation-textual-analysis-how-news-about-commodities-improves 
• how-real-time-data-misled-policymakers-during-post-covid-recovery 
  
• how-manage-migration-ageing-country
  
• return-inflation-why-look-through-can-backfire-under-incomplete-information
  
• economic-impact-european-capital-market-integration
  
• 25%-inflation-50-years
  
• working-hours-around-world
  
• soviet-communism-was-not-more-successful-reducing-inequality-other-regimes
  
• classroom-heat-widens-achievement-gap
  
• how-us-south-caught-century-manufacturing-productivity-convergence